What is Tadhg O'Shea's strike rate?

Tadhg O'Shea has won 7 of 47 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tadhg O'Shea do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 6 wins from 31 rides (19.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Tadhg O'Shea's Fair A/E?

1.47, from 47 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Tadhg O'Shea

47 rides in the last 5 seasons · 22 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2025 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

7–47

Wins / Runs

14.9%

Strike rate

n=47

13 (28%)

Placed

1.47

Fair A/E

n=47 · 1.28 incl. margin

−3.25

£1 level stake

n=47 at SP · −6.9%

£108k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

14.3%−0.6

n=21 · A/E 1.57 · £1 −5.75

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

50%+35.1

n=8 · A/E 2.78 · £1 +20.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−14.9

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

When favourite

75%

n=4 · A/E 2.54 · £1 +4.75

Big fields · 14+ runners

16.7%+1.8

n=6 · A/E 4.59 · £1 +9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Hamilton 19.4% vs 14.9% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 17 2 11.8% −8.50

Good to Soft 12 1 8.3% −9.00

Soft 9 2 22.2% +11.00

Good to Firm 8 1 12.5% +1.50

Standard (AW) 1 1 100% +1.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hamilton 31 6 19.4% +10.00

Ascot 6 0 0% −6.00

Curragh 2 0 0% −2.00

Lingfield (AW) 1 1 100% +1.75

Cork 1 0 0% −1.00

York 1 0 0% −1.00

Chester 1 0 0% −1.00

Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00

Leopardstown 1 0 0% −1.00

Naas 1 0 0% −1.00

Lingfield 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 18 4 22.2% −4.25

Class 2 9 1 11.1% +6.00

Class 4 8 2 25% +7.00

Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 5 3 60% 2.17 +3.75

2nd–3rd fav 9 2 22.2% 1.23 +1.50

4th–6th fav 15 1 6.7% 0.90 −5.50

7th+ in betting 18 1 5.6% 1.60 −3.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Wickywickywheels (IRE) 6 3 3 26 Jul 24

Jaminoz (IRE) 6 1 1 13 Jul 24

Two Auld Pals (IRE) 5 0 0 13 Jul 24

Clan Jock (IRE) 5 2 5 31 Aug 22

Pretty Liz (IRE) 3 0 0 22 Sep 25

Banner Road (IRE) 3 0 1 13 Jul 24

Zig Zag Zyggy (IRE) 3 0 1 31 Aug 22

Miss Dubai (GB) 2 1 1 13 Aug 24

Green Icon (FR) 1 0 0 21 Aug 25

Hell Left Loose (GB) 1 0 0 16 Aug 25

Justenzia (IRE) 1 0 0 16 Aug 25

Dream Composer (FR) 1 0 1 10 Aug 24

All 22 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

····0502310033··

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

Jim Goldie 29 6 20.7% +12.00

Denis Gerard Hogan 6 0 0% −6.00

Lucinda Russell 4 0 0% −4.00

Denis Coakley 2 1 50% +0.75

Roger Varian 1 0 0% −1.00

Richard Hannon 1 0 0% −1.00

Charlie Johnston 1 0 0% −1.00

James Fanshawe 1 0 0% −1.00

James Evans 1 0 0% −1.00

Michael Appleby 1 0 0% −1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

318

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.37m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 49 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Finjaan (GB) — Betfair Cup (Group 2) Goodwood · Jul 2009 · Group 2

£87,994

Carbon Dating (IRE) — Totepool Queen's Cup Handicap Musselburgh · Apr 2017 · Class 2

£64,690

Global Village (IRE) — Betfred Victoria Cup Handicap Ascot · May 2012 · Class 2

£52,913

Notable horses

Mr Hichens (GB) Dafaroun (IRE) Make My Dream (GB) South Cape (GB) Ajigolo (GB) Heywood (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

The Carbon Unit (USA) 20% · 4–20

Progeny have won 8.2% of 682 runs since 2008 (44 horses).

War Command (USA) 40% · 2–5

Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,273 runs since 2008 (200 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 285.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,778 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Make Believe (GB) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,597 runs since 2008 (297 horses).

Ribchester (IRE) 50% · 1–2

Progeny have won 9% of 2,742 runs since 2008 (261 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.5% from 116. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 212.

Australia (GB) 0% · 0–1

Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,636 runs since 2008 (563 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,515 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,515 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 22 September 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Sep 25 Fairyhouse Pretty Liz (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Fairyhouse.ie Nursery Handicap6f · Yielding · 10 ran 8th 28/1

24 Aug 25 Naas Pretty Liz (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 15 ran 9th 200/1

21 Aug 25 Leopardstown Green Icon (FR)T: Denis Gerard Hogan TOTE Handicap9f · Good · 15 ran 12th 15/2

16 Aug 25 Curragh Hell Left Loose (GB)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Kwiff: Supercharge Your Betting With Kwiff Handicap6f · Good · 13 ran 9th 25/1

16 Aug 25 Curragh Justenzia (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Robbie Dolan Melbourne Cup Winner Handicap8f · Good · 21 ran 14th 12/1

14 Aug 25 Cork Pretty Liz (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Good · 14 ran 13th 150/1

13 Aug 24 Lingfield Miss Dubai (GB)T: Denis Coakley Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 2/1

10 Aug 24 Ascot Tacarib Bay (GB)T: Richard Hannon Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) (Rnd)Class 2 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 22/1

10 Aug 24 Ascot Daring Legend (GB)T: Michael Appleby Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap)Class 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 16/1

10 Aug 24 Ascot Cracksking (GB)T: James Fanshawe Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap)Class 2 · 12f · Good · 10 ran 4th 17/2

10 Aug 24 Ascot Struth (IRE)T: Charlie Johnston Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap)Class 2 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 7th 13/2

10 Aug 24 Ascot Dream Composer (FR)T: James Evans Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap)Class 2 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 10/1

05 Aug 24 Lingfield (AW) Miss Dubai (GB)T: Denis Coakley Get Raceday Ready Handicap (AWT)Class 6 · 12f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 7/4F

26 Jul 24 Ascot Wickywickywheels (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell John Guest Racing Brown Jack HandicapClass 3 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 50/1

13 Jul 24 Hamilton Jaminoz (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Follow Us On X at hamiltonparkrc HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 11/2

13 Jul 24 Hamilton Banner Road (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell DX Home Improvements Ltd, Bellshill HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 28/1

13 Jul 24 Hamilton Two Auld Pals (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Dx Home Improvements HandicapClass 4 · 13f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 17/2

02 Oct 23 Hamilton Jaminoz (IRE)T: Jim Goldie Members Of Hamilton Park Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 4/1

02 Oct 23 Hamilton Banner Road (IRE)T: Jim Goldie Book Your Christmas Parties Here At hamilton-park.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 11/1

02 Oct 23 Hamilton Two Auld Pals (IRE)T: Jim Goldie Hampton By Hilton Hamilton Park HandicapClass 3 · 9f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tadhg O'Shea's strike rate?: Tadhg O'Shea has won 7 of 47 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tadhg O'Shea do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 6 wins from 31 rides (19.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Tadhg O'Shea's Fair A/E?: 1.47, from 47 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.