What is Jerry O'Dwyer's strike rate?

Jerry O'Dwyer has won 68 of 938 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jerry O'Dwyer do best at?

Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 16 wins from 158 rides (10.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jerry O'Dwyer ride most for?

Michael Quinlan, with 106 rides since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (4.7%).

What is Jerry O'Dwyer's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 934 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jerry O'Dwyer

938 rides in the lifetime window · 458 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Aug 2010 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

68–938

Wins / Runs

7.2%

Strike rate

n=938

216 (23%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=934 · 0.82 incl. margin

−280.88

£1 level stake

n=938 at SP · −29.9%

£374k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 310 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (73 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 938 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Dec–Feb 20.6% when favourite Michael Quinlan: 4.7% from 106 LTO winners: 13.7% Claiming: 7.5% Rode the favourite in 4% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.7% (n=73, Fair A/E 1.04), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.5% (n=142, Fair A/E 0.80). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 7.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −101.46 to a £1 stake over 214 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Michael Quinlan supplied 11% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (4.7% vs 7.2%, A/E 0.74). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (16.9%, n=83). The record read poorly on Soft going — 0% over 41 rides, 7.2pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Investec Surrey Stakes at Epsom Downs (Jun 2009, £22,708). Seasonally, the rider fired Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.6%−1.6

n=430 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −90.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.7%+6.5

n=73 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −0.92

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.7%−1.5

n=123 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −22.00

When favourite

20.6%

n=34 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −12.04

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.5%+0.3

n=214 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −101.46

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.5%−3.7

n=142 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −65.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.8%+4.6

n=17 · A/E 2.25 · £1 +18.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 16.9% vs 7.2% · n=83

With Marco Botti 16.9% vs 7.2% · n=59

On last-time-out winners 13.7% vs 7.2% · n=73

With horses switching code 0% vs 7.2% · n=42

On Soft going 0% vs 7.2% · n=41

With John Ryan 13.5% vs 7.2% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 565 49 8.7% −101.63

Good to Firm 158 11 7% −94.75

Good 116 4 3.4% −17.00

Soft 41 0 0% −41.00

Good to Soft 37 3 8.1% −10.50

Firm 14 0 0% −14.00

Heavy 7 1 14.3% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 219 18 8.2% −55.75

Kempton (AW) 158 16 10.1% +20.75

Lingfield (AW) 88 7 8% −21.42

Southwell (AW) 67 6 9% −30.21

Yarmouth 64 4 6.3% −33.50

Chelmsford (AW) 33 2 6.1% −15.00

Leicester 27 0 0% −27.00

Newmarket 27 0 0% −27.00

Nottingham 26 3 11.5% +34.50

Lingfield 23 1 4.3% −14.00

Doncaster 19 0 0% −19.00

Brighton 18 0 0% −18.00

Newmarket 16 1 6.3% −12.25

Warwick 16 1 6.3% −11.00

Folkestone 15 2 13.3% +0.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 396 34 8.6% −88.63

Class 5 329 20 6.1% −84.00

Class 4 124 5 4% −96.25

Class 7 33 4 12.1% −4.50

Class 3 26 1 3.8% −20.50

Class 1 17 2 11.8% +18.00

Class 2 11 2 18.2% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 49 12 24.5% 0.96 −7.54

2nd–3rd fav 142 27 19% 1.21 +15.16

4th–6th fav 288 21 7.3% 0.97 −49.50

7th+ in betting 459 8 1.7% 0.58 −239.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bahamian Lad (GB) 15 3 8 21 Aug 10

The Graig (GB) 13 1 5 27 May 10

Nautical (GB) 13 2 4 12 Mar 09

Zalkani (IRE) 12 2 4 13 Jul 09

Ocean's Minstrel (GB) 11 3 3 4 Jun 10

Bell's Ocean (USA) 10 1 4 1 Jun 10

Pure Crystal (GB) 8 0 1 12 Jul 10

Ocean Legend (IRE) 8 1 5 25 Aug 09

Director's Chair (GB) 8 0 2 17 Jul 09

Interchoice Star (GB) 7 1 3 10 Aug 10

Rough Rock (IRE) 7 1 3 13 Jul 10

Royal Premier (IRE) 7 1 1 10 Mar 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 458 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1115834738104514

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMichael Quinlan

11% of all rides
4.7% SR · A/E 0.74

TrainerRWSR£1

Michael Quinlan 106 5 4.7% −53.67

Jeff Pearce 82 9 11% −32.50

John Holt 61 4 6.6% +7.50

Marco Botti 59 10 16.9% +37.75

Reg Hollinshead 46 4 8.7% −19.50

Amy Weaver 38 2 5.3% −16.00

John Ryan 37 5 13.5% +16.75

Julia Feilden 34 2 5.9% −16.00

Karen George 33 3 9.1% −15.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

107

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£552k

Prize money

2009

Best season · 36 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Ocean's Minstrel (GB) — Investec Surrey Stakes (Listed) Epsom Downs · Jun 2009 · Listed

£22,708

Ocean's Minstrel (GB) — freebets.co.uk Grand National Bet - International Trial Stakes () Lingfield (AW) · Apr 2009 · Listed

£22,708

Skylla (GB) — John And Alison Fitzgibbons Anniversary Nursery Handicap Haydock · Aug 2009 · Class 2

£11,333

Notable horses

Bahamian Lad (GB) Ocean's Minstrel (GB) Mac Dalia (GB) Sabre Light (GB) Agilete (GB) Mujamead (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 11.5% · 3–26

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Josr Algarhoud (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,548 runs since 2008 (146 horses).

Bertolini (USA) 0% · 0–19

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Choisir (AUS) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 10.7% of 5,779 runs since 2008 (392 horses).

Cadeaux Genereux (GB) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,919 runs since 2008 (203 horses).

Dubai Destination (USA) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,486 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,486 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 April 2005 to 26 August 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Aug 10 Lingfield Bookiebasher Babe (IRE)T: Mick Quinn Felbridge Claiming StakesClass 6 · 9f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 8/1

26 Aug 10 Lingfield (AW) Sodashy (IRE)T: Amy Weaver Jacksbridge Nursery (AW)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 9/1

24 Aug 10 Leicester Loch Ordie (GB)T: Michael Quinlan Potters Superstore NurseryClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 15/2

21 Aug 10 Chester Bahamian Lad (GB)T: Reg Hollinshead totepool Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 7/1

20 Aug 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Bid For Glory (GB)T: Hugh Collingridge Coral Tv HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 16/1

17 Aug 10 Kempton (AW) Allanit (GER)T: Barney Curley Panoramic Bar & Restaurant HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 12/1

16 Aug 10 Kempton (AW) Bohemian Melody (GB)T: Marco Botti Epsom Trainers Open Day August 22nd HandicapClass 2 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 13/2

15 Aug 10 Bath Dr Wintringham (IRE)T: Karen George European Breeders' Fund Dick Hern Fillies' Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 9th 66/1

13 Aug 10 Newmarket Tell Halaf (GB)T: Michael Quinlan Ngk Spark Plugs HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 25/1

13 Aug 10 Newmarket Loch Ordie (GB)T: Michael Quinlan Racing Uk Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 5th 40/1

12 Aug 10 Chepstow Prickles (GB)T: Karen George Mont Ventoux Maiden HandicapClass 6 · 18f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 9/1

12 Aug 10 Chepstow Outshine (GB)T: Karen George Lindley Catering Maiden HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 15th 18/1

12 Aug 10 Chepstow Angelena Ballerina (IRE)T: Karen George Kam And Sally At Breakfast Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 18/1

12 Aug 10 Chepstow Belle Park (GB)T: Karen George Red Dragon FM HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 1st 9/2F

11 Aug 10 Yarmouth Whotsit (IRE)T: Amy Weaver Merrivale Model Village Great Yarmouth HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 15 ran 11th 25/1

10 Aug 10 Nottingham Interchoice Star (GB)T: Reg Hollinshead Nottingham Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 5th 7/1

08 Aug 10 Leicester Number Theory (GB)T: John Holt E.b.f. Bagworth Maiden StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 100/1

07 Aug 10 Haydock Interchoice Star (GB)T: Reg Hollinshead TurfTV.co.uk Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 16/1

06 Aug 10 Newmarket Agapanthus (GER)T: Barney Curley Honeytrap At Talk Night Club HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 12 ran 5th 9/1

06 Aug 10 Newmarket Loch Ordie (GB)T: Michael Quinlan Firestone Building Products Selling StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jerry O'Dwyer's strike rate?: Jerry O'Dwyer has won 68 of 938 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jerry O'Dwyer do best at?: Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 16 wins from 158 rides (10.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jerry O'Dwyer ride most for?: Michael Quinlan, with 106 rides since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (4.7%).
What is Jerry O'Dwyer's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 934 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.