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Trainer profile

Stephen Michael Cox

117 runners in the lifetime window · 19 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2013
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
3–117
Wins / Runs
2.6%
Strike rate
n=117
21 (18%)
Placed
0.45
Fair A/E
n=117 · 0.34 incl. margin
−85.50
£1 level stake
n=117 at SP · −73.1%
£32,699
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.45).

Deterministic profile computed from 117 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also read well over 1m5f – 2m (6.5%, n=31) and in Hurdle races (5.6%, n=36). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.24 across 74 runners (1.4% strike, −53.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.6
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.6
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
20%+17.4
n=5 · A/E 2.69 · £1 −1.50
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.3%−1.3
n=78 · A/E 0.23 · £1 −57.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 6.5% vs 2.6% · n=31
In Hurdle races 5.6% vs 2.6% · n=36
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 2.6% · n=37
With claiming riders up 1.3% vs 2.6% · n=78 · A/E 0.23
In Flat races 1.4% vs 2.6% · n=74 · A/E 0.24
With a new jockey booking 1.4% vs 2.6% · n=72 · A/E 0.25
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 74 1 1.4% −53.00
Hurdle 36 2 5.6% −25.50
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 27 1 3.7% −23.50
Soft 25 0 0% −25.00
Good to Firm 18 1 5.6% +3.00
Heavy 18 1 5.6% −11.00
Standard (AW) 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Curragh 10 0 0% −10.00
Down Royal 8 0 0% −8.00
Tipperary 7 0 0% −7.00
Galway 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 6 0 0% −6.00
Roscommon 5 1 20% +16.00
Listowel 5 0 0% −5.00
Sligo 4 0 0% −4.00
Ballinrobe 4 0 0% −4.00
Thurles 4 0 0% −4.00
Cork 4 0 0% −4.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 1 1 100% +2.50
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 15 2 13.3% 1.06 −4.50
4th–6th fav 21 0 0% 0.00 −21.00
7th+ in betting 74 1 1.4% 0.40 −53.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Badger Or Bust (IRE)from Francis Ennis 32 0 11 3 Aug 13
Pretty Valira (IRE)from T M Walsh 13 1 2 1 Aug 11
Alwaystheoptimist (GB)from T K Geraghty · then Brendan W Duke 8 1 3 9 Apr 11
Chiefofthemowhawks (USA)from A P O'Brien 8 0 0 19 Dec 08
Bonington (IRE)from T Stack 7 0 0 20 Sep 08
Storms Over (USA)then Brendan W Duke 6 0 0 16 Aug 10
Whatwodmyrasay (IRE)from James J Kelly 6 1 2 16 Jul 08
Bradys Cottage (IRE) 5 0 0 23 Oct 11
Great Ability (IRE)then T Hogan 5 0 0 18 Aug 11
Balgriffin (IRE)from W T Farrell 5 0 1 22 Jun 08
Pagan Steps (IRE)from W McCreery 4 0 0 6 Oct 11
Le Diablo Rouge (IRE)from F Flood 4 0 0 10 Dec 10
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 19 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive; 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Brendan W Duke (2); 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0200005600000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mark Bolger 13 0 0% −13.00
James Sullivan 8 1 12.5% +13.00
Shane Gorey 7 0 0% −7.00
Tim Carroll 7 0 0% −7.00
Gary Carroll 7 0 0% −7.00
Pat Smullen 6 0 0% −6.00
Conor Hoban 5 0 0% −5.00
Sean Levey 4 0 0% −4.00
G Cotter 4 0 0% −4.00
Danny Grant 4 0 0% −4.00
John Cullen 3 0 0% −3.00
Julie Burke 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
3
Archived wins
£34,068
Prize money
2011
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Alwaystheoptimist (GB) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Punchestown · Feb 2011
£6,555
Whatwodmyrasay (IRE) — Ladies Day At Roscommon July 7th Handicap (45-60) Roscommon · Jun 2008
£5,874
Pretty Valira (IRE) — Morgan Spiced Mares' Novices' Hurdle Uttoxeter · Jul 2011 · Class 4
£2,534
Notable horses
Pretty Valira (IRE) Alwaystheoptimist (GB) Whatwodmyrasay (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Orpen (USA) 0% · 0–32
Progeny have won 9% of 4,037 runs since 2008 (381 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 113.
King's Theatre (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Giant's Causeway (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 11.6% of 3,018 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 394. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8.3% from 422.
Muhtarram (USA) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 12.3% of 837 runs since 2008 (64 horses). Strongest on Good going: 17.8% from 270. Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 156.
Grand Lodge (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,359 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 250. Weakest on Soft going: 4.4% from 182.
Gone West (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.9% of 549 runs since 2008 (61 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 141 · newest first

The latest 50 of 141 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 April 2007 to 3 August 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Aug 13 Galway Badger Or Bust (IRE)J: Ben Curtis Ladbrokes Feeling Lucky Handicap (50-80)12f · Soft · 17 ran 13th 33/1
30 Jun 13 Curragh Badger Or Bust (IRE)J: Miss K J Harrison Boylesports.com Ladies Derby Handicap12f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 12th 25/1
18 Jun 13 Sligo Badger Or Bust (IRE)J: Ben Curtis Family Day 14th July At Sligo Claiming Race10f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 7th 14/1
03 Feb 12 Dundalk (AW) Badger Or Bust (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Group Bookings At Dundalk Rated Race10.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 33/1
26 Dec 11 Down Royal Badger Or Bust (IRE)J: Tim Carroll Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Heavy · 10 ran 9th 7/1
26 Dec 11 Limerick A Fine Young Man (IRE)J: Paddy Kennedy Anglo Printers Maiden Hurdle22f · Heavy · 12 ran 5th 15/8J
11 Dec 11 Punchestown A Fine Young Man (IRE)J: Tim Carroll 2012 Annual Membership Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 20 ran 3rd 4/1
24 Nov 11 Thurles A Fine Young Man (IRE)J: John Cullen Holycross Maiden Hurdle18f · Heavy · 18 ran 2nd 6/1
11 Nov 11 Dundalk (AW) Badger Or Bust (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Group Discounts At Dundalk Handicap (47-65)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 15/2
23 Oct 11 Galway Bradys Cottage (IRE)J: Tim Carroll Corrib Food Products Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 11 ran 7th 33/1
22 Oct 11 Galway Badger Or Bust (IRE)J: Tim Carroll CCTV Venue Control Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 11 ran 5th 25/1
06 Oct 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Pagan Steps (IRE)J: Cathy Gannon Chris O'Keeffe Memorial Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 20/1
06 Oct 11 Worcester Bradys Cottage (IRE)J: Paddy Brennan Ladbrokes Intermediate Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 5th 25/1
05 Oct 11 Navan Badger Or Bust (IRE)J: Colin Keane Meath Handicap (55-80)10f · Soft · 22 ran 10th 12/1
16 Sep 11 Listowel Badger Or Bust (IRE)J: Johnny Murtagh L.M. Carey & Company Handicap (50-80)9f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 5/1
16 Sep 11 Listowel Pagan Steps (IRE)J: Colin Keane John & Terry Moriarty Memorial Handicap (47-65)6.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 6th 14/1
11 Sep 11 Curragh Badger Or Bust (IRE)J: Antonio Fresu European Association Of Racing Schools Apprentice Handicap (50-80)7f · Soft · 17 ran 5th 12/1
29 Aug 11 Galway Badger Or Bust (IRE)J: Joseph O'Brien Paschal Corrigan Memorial Handicap (50-70)8.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 13/2
20 Aug 11 Perth Bradys Cottage (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Tesco Bank Supporting The Prince's Charities Standard NH Flat Race (Conditionals/Amateurs)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 33/1
18 Aug 11 Southwell (AW) Great Ability (IRE)J: Tadhg O'Shea Enhanced Win Odds From Noon At Coral.co.uk Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stephen Michael Cox's strike rate?
Stephen Michael Cox has won 3 of 117 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Stephen Michael Cox's Fair A/E?
0.45, from 117 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).