As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2006100% of runners over jumps
Archive record 2005–2006
No runners from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 11 Jan 2005 to 11 Nov 2006. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−4.7
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase3425.9%−17.00
Hurdle900%−9.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft1317.7%−2.00
Good to Soft1218.3%−6.00
Good1000%−10.00
Heavy500%−5.00
Good to Firm300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Chepstow10220%+7.00
Bangor-on-Dee800%−8.00
Towcester600%−6.00
Hereford600%−6.00
Uttoxeter500%−5.00
Warwick300%−3.00
Leicester300%−3.00
Worcester100%−1.00
Ludlow100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 42913.4%−23.00
Class 510110%+1.00
Class 3400%−4.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav900%0.00−9.00
4th–6th fav16212.5%1.56+1.00
7th+ in betting1800%0.00−18.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m2129.5%−4.00
2m1f – 2m4f1900%−19.00
2m5f – 3m300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20052600%−26.00
200617211.8%+0.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps3825.3%−21.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners1915.3%−8.00
5-7 runners1119.1%−5.00
11-13 runners700%−7.00
14-16 runners600%−6.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 11 horses listed, 5 have since run for another yard; 6 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. Where a horse came from is not stated on an archive-era record: our archive cannot see before 2005. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, 2005–2006
JFMAMJJASOND
1700130····000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Fantasmic (GB) — John Smith's Extra Cold Handicap Chase Chepstow · Apr 2006 · Class 4
£4,400
Advance East (GB) — Letheby & Christopher Handicap Chase Chepstow · Jan 2006 · Class 5
Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,338 runs since 2005 (257 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.5% from 400. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 6.8% from 250. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.6% from 137.
Polish Precedent (USA)12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,165 runs since 2005 (166 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.4% from 264.
Broken Hearted (GB)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7% of 1,399 runs since 2005 (153 horses).
Broadsword (USA)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 7.8% of 90 runs since 2005 (17 horses).
Lord Americo (IRE)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.5% of 4,424 runs since 2005 (444 horses).
Royal Vulcan (IRE)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 5.6% of 36 runs since 2005 (8 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 43 archived runs · newest first
Every one of M J M Evans's 43 archived runners, from 11 January 2005 to 11 November 2006, newest first — 2 winners among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is M J M Evans's strike rate?
M J M Evans has won 2 of 43 runners between 2005 and 2006, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
What is M J M Evans's Fair A/E?
0.61, from 43 runners with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2006. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
M J M Evans·SR 4.7%·A/E 0.61
KTB
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