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Trainer profile

M J M Evans

43 runners in our archive record, 2005–2006 · 11 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2006 100% of runners over jumps
Archive record 2005–2006
No runners from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 11 Jan 2005 to 11 Nov 2006. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
2–43
Wins / Runs
4.7%
Strike rate
n=43
8 (19%)
Placed
0.61
n=43 · 0.54 incl. margin
−26.00
£1 level stake
n=43 at SP · −60.5%
£16,175
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.8%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−4.7
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 34 2 5.9% −17.00
Hurdle 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 13 1 7.7% −2.00
Good to Soft 12 1 8.3% −6.00
Good 10 0 0% −10.00
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chepstow 10 2 20% +7.00
Bangor-on-Dee 8 0 0% −8.00
Towcester 6 0 0% −6.00
Hereford 6 0 0% −6.00
Uttoxeter 5 0 0% −5.00
Warwick 3 0 0% −3.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Worcester 1 0 0% −1.00
Ludlow 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 29 1 3.4% −23.00
Class 5 10 1 10% +1.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
4th–6th fav 16 2 12.5% 1.56 +1.00
7th+ in betting 18 0 0% 0.00 −18.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
62.8% completed · 43 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 34 61.8% 4 0 9 0 0
Hurdle 9 66.7% 0 0 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Look To The Future (IRE) 10 0 1 18 Apr 06
Advance East (GB) 7 1 2 20 Jan 06
Fantasmic (GB) 4 1 1 11 Nov 06
Call Me Jack (IRE) 4 0 1 6 Mar 06
Baie des Singes (GB) 4 0 2 23 Mar 05
The Hearty Joker (IRE)then J R Pike 3 0 0 8 May 06
Saragann (IRE)then Neil King 3 0 0 14 May 05
Lunar Lord (GB) 3 0 1 10 Mar 05
Neophyte (IRE)then S Turner 2 0 0 6 May 06
Special Agenda (IRE)then M D Jones 2 0 0 16 Oct 05
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 5 have since run for another yard; 6 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. Where a horse came from is not stated on an archive-era record: our archive cannot see before 2005. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 2005–2006
JFMAMJJASOND
1700130····000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Stephen Craine 15 0 0% −15.00
Lee Stephens 9 0 0% −9.00
Ollie McPhail 6 1 16.7% +0.00
James Diment 4 0 0% −4.00
Paul W Flynn 3 0 0% −3.00
Richard Johnson 2 1 50% +9.00
Paddy Brennan 1 0 0% −1.00
William Kennedy 1 0 0% −1.00
John Pritchard 1 0 0% −1.00
Timmy Murphy 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
2
Archived wins
£16,175
Prize money
2006
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Fantasmic (GB) — John Smith's Extra Cold Handicap Chase Chepstow · Apr 2006 · Class 4
£4,400
Advance East (GB) — Letheby & Christopher Handicap Chase Chepstow · Jan 2006 · Class 5
£3,253

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Roselier (FR) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,338 runs since 2005 (257 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.5% from 400. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 6.8% from 250. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.6% from 137.
Polish Precedent (USA) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,165 runs since 2005 (166 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.4% from 264.
Broken Hearted (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7% of 1,399 runs since 2005 (153 horses).
Broadsword (USA) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 7.8% of 90 runs since 2005 (17 horses).
Lord Americo (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.5% of 4,424 runs since 2005 (444 horses).
Royal Vulcan (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 5.6% of 36 runs since 2005 (8 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 43 archived runs · newest first

Every one of M J M Evans's 43 archived runners, from 11 January 2005 to 11 November 2006, newest first — 2 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Nov 06 Uttoxeter Fantasmic (GB)J: Ollie McPhail GAC Benair Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran PU 10/1
08 Apr 06 Chepstow Fantasmic (GB)J: Ollie McPhail John Smith's Extra Cold Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 5/1
12 Mar 06 Warwick Fantasmic (GB)J: James Diment Conditionals' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 25/1
12 Feb 06 Hereford Call Me Jack (IRE)J: Lee Stephens Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran F 10/1
06 Jan 06 Towcester Advance East (GB)J: Lee Stephens SIS Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 13 ran PU 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M J M Evans's strike rate?
M J M Evans has won 2 of 43 runners between 2005 and 2006, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
What is M J M Evans's Fair A/E?
0.61, from 43 runners with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2006. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008). This profile has no runs from 2008, so every figure on this page counts from the start of the archive instead.