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Jockey profile

Lee Stephens

452 rides in the lifetime window · 194 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Sep 2012 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
25–452
Wins / Runs
5.5%
Strike rate
n=452
65 (14%)
Placed
1.01
Fair A/E
n=452 · 0.86 incl. margin
−134.69
£1 level stake
n=452 at SP · −29.8%
£179k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01).

Deterministic profile computed from 452 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Apr–May Ann Price: 7.6% from 79 Claiming: 6%
The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0.8% (n=124, Fair A/E 0.21). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.61 and −138.05 to a £1 stake over 164 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Ann Price supplied 17% of the rides and edges the rider's average (7.6% vs 5.5%, A/E 1.53) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 8-14-day break (13.8%, n=80) and beyond 3m (13.3%, n=30). The market has also underrated the rider in Class 3: Fair A/E 1.85 across 88 rides (10.2% strike, +34.50 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 47 rides, 5.5pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Tyup Pompey (IRE) — 6 wins from 54 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3%−2.5
n=164 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −138.05
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
25%+19.5
n=24 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +10.45
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
2.9%−2.6
n=103 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −2.62
When favourite
50%
n=12 · A/E 1.40 · £1 +1.81
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6%+0.5
n=419 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −101.69
Big fields · 14+ runners
0.8%−4.7
n=124 · A/E 0.21 · £1 −107.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 13.8% vs 5.5% · n=80
With David Evans 12.1% vs 5.5% · n=66
Beyond 3m 13.3% vs 5.5% · n=30
In NH Flat races 0% vs 5.5% · n=47
In Class 3 10.2% vs 5.5% · n=88
With Nikki Evans 0% vs 5.5% · n=40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 248 11 4.4% −87.92
Chase 156 14 9% +1.23
NH Flat 47 0 0% −47.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 185 14 7.6% +35.95
Good to Soft 84 2 2.4% −74.75
Soft 78 3 3.8% −33.50
Good to Firm 76 4 5.3% −52.39
Heavy 25 2 8% −6.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ludlow 84 7 8.3% +15.00
Hereford 69 1 1.4% −62.50
Chepstow 56 3 5.4% −32.50
Worcester 34 1 2.9% −28.00
Uttoxeter 29 2 6.9% +75.00
Newton Abbot 26 1 3.8% −17.00
Stratford 18 1 5.6% −13.00
Exeter 14 0 0% −14.00
Ffos Las 14 0 0% −14.00
Huntingdon 12 3 25% +5.61
Taunton 11 0 0% −11.00
Wincanton 11 0 0% −11.00
Bangor-on-Dee 9 1 11.1% +6.00
Towcester 9 0 0% −9.00
Fontwell 8 1 12.5% −6.43

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 218 12 5.5% −53.57
Class 5 103 3 2.9% −84.62
Class 3 88 9 10.2% +34.50
Class 6 32 0 0% −32.00
Class 2 8 1 12.5% +4.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 6 46.2% 1.31 +0.81
2nd–3rd fav 43 5 11.6% 0.85 −12.00
4th–6th fav 123 6 4.9% 0.80 −50.50
7th+ in betting 273 8 2.9% 1.18 −73.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.2% completed · 404 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 156 78.8% 4 3 26 0 0
Hurdle 248 84.3% 2 9 28 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tyup Pompey (IRE) 43 6 10 24 Jun 12
Brimley (GB) 18 0 3 24 Jun 12
Victory Gunner (IRE) 14 2 3 9 Mar 10
Dere Lyn (GB) 10 1 2 20 Sep 09
Novikov (GB) 9 2 2 2 Sep 12
Lyster (IRE) 9 2 2 28 Apr 11
Salford Rose (IRE) 6 0 2 10 Oct 10
Billy Beetroot (USA) 6 0 1 21 Jul 10
Twocute (IRE) 6 0 0 8 Mar 10
Storm Alert (GB) 5 0 0 22 Apr 12
Mister Twirley (IRE) 5 0 0 5 Apr 12
Grasscutter (IRE) 5 0 1 5 Mar 12
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 194 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
642131508110224
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardAnn Price
17% of all rides
7.6% SR · A/E 1.53
TrainerRWSR£1
Ann Price 79 6 7.6% +2.50
David Evans 66 8 12.1% −5.05
Tim Vaughan 49 4 8.2% −27.64
C Roberts 43 2 4.7% −24.00
Nikki Evans 40 0 0% −40.00
Katie Stephens 34 0 0% −34.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
60
Archived wins
£426k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 19 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Victory Gunner (IRE) — Western Daily Press Handicap Chase Chepstow · Feb 2009 · Class 2
£13,010
Tyup Pompey (IRE) — Totesportcasino.com Handicap Chase Ludlow · Apr 2009 · Class 3
£7,828
Tyup Pompey (IRE) — Tanners Wines Handicap Chase Ludlow · May 2010 · Class 3
£7,514
Notable horses
Tyup Pompey (IRE) Victory Gunner (IRE) Dere Lyn (GB) Casalani (IRE) Ouh Jay (GB) Paddy The Optimist (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Docksider (USA) 14% · 6–43
Progeny have won 7.6% of 569 runs since 2008 (42 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13% from 123.
Bandmaster (USA) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 5.5% of 274 runs since 2008 (35 horses).
Karinga Bay (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Old Vic (GB) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Awesome (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 5% of 20 runs since 2008 (3 horses). A small sample.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 996 · newest first

The latest 50 of 996 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 January 2005 to 2 September 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Sep 12 Newton Abbot Novikov (GB)T: Chris Down Bet On Live Cricket At totepool.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Soft · 6 ran PU 25/1
11 Jul 12 Worcester Look For Love (GB)T: Sue Gardner PP Business Improvement Consultants Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 50/1
03 Jul 12 Stratford Highland Park (IRE)T: Sue Gardner Basil Nightingale Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 40/1
26 Jun 12 Newton Abbot Novikov (GB)T: John Panvert Dave Chillery Retirement Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 28/1
24 Jun 12 Hereford Tyup Pompey (IRE)T: Ann Price mobile.freebets.co.uk Free Bets Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 5th 16/1
24 Jun 12 Hereford Brimley (GB)T: Ann Price Warren 'Goat' Morgan Memorial Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 5th 66/1
14 Jun 12 Hereford Tyup Pompey (IRE)T: Ann Price Bulmers Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 14/1
15 May 12 Hereford Tyup Pompey (IRE)T: Ann Price Level Peaks Associates Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 14/1
22 Apr 12 Wincanton Storm Alert (GB)T: Sue Gardner Bathwick Tyres Yeovil 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 5th 33/1
09 Apr 12 Chepstow Novikov (GB)T: David Evans Freebets.co.uk Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 12/1
05 Apr 12 Ludlow Mister Twirley (IRE)T: Ann Price Alfa Aggregates Products Novices' ChaseClass 3 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 6th 200/1
04 Apr 12 Exeter Storm Alert (GB)T: Sue Gardner Percy Browne Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 4th 50/1
29 Mar 12 Ffos Las Red Flash (IRE)T: Sue Gardner Victorian House Window Group Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 15 ran PU 150/1
28 Mar 12 Ludlow Tyup Pompey (IRE)T: Ann Price Eddie Mapp Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 4th 8/1
24 Mar 12 Newbury Novikov (GB)T: David Evans Rowena Bourne 21 Years At Ultima Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 12/1
21 Mar 12 Hereford Storm Alert (GB)T: Sue Gardner Severn Valley Catering Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 66/1
20 Mar 12 Exeter Slick Trader (GB)T: Sue Gardner BHEST Racing To School Novices' Selling HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran PU 100/1
18 Mar 12 Newton Abbot Red Flash (IRE)T: Sue Gardner Cats Protection Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 15 ran 11th 100/1
12 Mar 12 Stratford Aviso (GER)T: David Evans DC Catering Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran UR 11/1
09 Mar 12 Sandown Novikov (GB)T: David Evans Charles Stanley Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 15.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lee Stephens's strike rate?
Lee Stephens has won 25 of 452 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lee Stephens do best at?
Ludlow by strike rate: 7 wins from 84 rides (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Lee Stephens ride most for?
Ann Price, with 79 rides since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (7.6%).
What is Lee Stephens's Fair A/E?
1.01, from 452 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).