Skip to content
Trainer profile

M Swinnens

48 runners in the lifetime window · 7 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 38 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–48
Wins / Runs
4.2%
Strike rate
n=48
9 (19%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=48 · 0.86 incl. margin
−34.80
£1 level stake
n=48 at SP · −72.5%
£42,417
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.2
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.2
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.2
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 4.57 · £1 +2.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.1%+2.9
n=28 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −14.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 18 2 11.1% −4.80
Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00
Good 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 18 1 5.6% −14.20
Deauville (FR) 13 1 7.7% −3.60
Longchamp (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Amiens (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Vittel (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 1 100% 4.57 +2.80
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 6 1 16.7% 2.46 +3.40
7th+ in betting 39 0 0% 0.00 −39.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Snow Ghost (FR)from E Lyon 18 1 4 5 Oct 26
Valley Kid (FR)from Stal't Neerhof 13 1 3 5 Mar 22
Chacha Boy (FR)from Y Barberot 8 0 0 7 Jul 22
Nughaya Fal (IRE)from Mme L Pontoir 3 0 0 27 Sep 26
King's Risk (FR)from Stal't Neerhof 3 0 1 25 Sep 19
Minotor (FR)from Yoann Bonnefoy 2 0 1 2 Apr 26
Arven Anne (FR)from A Schutz 1 0 0 11 Oct 19
All 7 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 7 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Stal't Neerhof (2).

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
20250000000000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Michelle Swinnens 12 0 0% −12.00
Mlle Frida Valle Skar 11 2 18.2% +2.20
Jerome Claudic 6 0 0% −6.00
Delphine Santiago 4 0 0% −4.00
Fabien Lefebvre 4 0 0% −4.00
Mlle Mickaelle Michel 3 0 0% −3.00
Glen Braem 2 0 0% −2.00
Frau Lize Ghys-Dieteren 2 0 0% −2.00
Marvin Grandin 1 0 0% −1.00
Mme Perrine Cheyer 1 0 0% −1.00
Robin Haedens 1 0 0% −1.00
Mme Morgane Tevels 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
2
Archived wins
£42,417
Prize money
2025
Best season · 1 win
Snow Ghost (FR) — Prix de la Seulles (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Jan 2025
£9,504
Valley Kid (FR) — Prix de Villaines-Sous-Bois (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Feb 2020
£7,203
Notable horses
Snow Ghost (FR) Valley Kid (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Donjuan Triumphant (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 4.2% of 95 runs since 2023 (23 horses).
Kendargent (FR) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,255 runs since 2011 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 256.
Myboycharlie (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 7.8% of 3,313 runs since 2013 (315 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 225. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.1% from 195.
Ghaiyyath (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 15.6% of 1,151 runs since 2024 (192 horses). Strongest on Good going: 18.9% from 307. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 12.2% from 312.
My Risk (FR) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.2% of 974 runs since 2008 (148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.5% from 110. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.9% from 287. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.8% from 129. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5% from 140.
Goken (FR) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,123 runs since 2020 (249 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.6% from 246. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15% from 200.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 48 archived runs · newest first

Every one of M Swinnens's 48 archived runners, from 5 March 2019 to 5 October 2026, newest first — 2 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Frau Lize Ghys-Dieteren Prix Au-dela Des PistesClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 12/1
27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Nughaya Fal (IRE)J: Mme Morgane Tevels Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'union Moreuil (Prix Des Jardins Flottants)8f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 100/1
19 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Du Roi Des ManuscritsClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 18/1
25 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Frau Lize Ghys-Dieteren Prix Hotel Barriere Le Royal Deauville - Trophee Studio HarcourtClass 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 40/1
23 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Nughaya Fal (IRE)J: Fabien Lefebvre Sumbe Prix De La Foret De Rouvray8f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 8th 25/1
19 Jul 26 Vittel (FR) Nughaya Fal (IRE)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Vittel Thermal SpaClass 3 · 8f · Good · 8 ran 8th 40/1
02 Apr 26 Chantilly (FR) Minotor (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix de la Route Millard (Handicap) (Turf)6f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 44/5
30 Jan 26 Deauville (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix du Treport (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 33/1
30 Jan 26 Deauville (FR) Minotor (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix de la Cour Oriot (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 35/1
18 Dec 25 Deauville (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix du Massif Armoricain (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 5th 32/5
26 Nov 25 Deauville (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix de l'Auberge des Peintres (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 7th 25/1
14 Oct 25 Chantilly (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix de la Vierge de Lorette (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf)6f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 53/1
20 Sep 25 Chantilly (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix de la Galerie de la Peinture (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf)6f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 49/1
04 Sep 25 Longchamp (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Michelle Swinnens Prix de la Rue de l'Abreuvoir (Handicap) (4yo) (New Course) (Turf)7f · Very Soft · 13 ran UR 17/1
06 May 25 Chantilly (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Mme Mickaelle Michel Prix des Chataigniers (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)6f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 10th 16/1
14 Apr 25 Chantilly (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix du Bourget (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)6f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 4th 9/1
20 Feb 25 Chantilly (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix de l'Allee des Philosophes (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 13th 61/1
31 Jan 25 Deauville (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix du Cap de la Hague (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 8th 69/10
03 Jan 25 Deauville (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix de la Seulles (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 1st 84/10
19 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) Snow Ghost (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix du Massif Armoricain (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 59/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Swinnens's strike rate?
M Swinnens has won 2 of 48 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is M Swinnens's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 48 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).