What is Marvin Grandin's strike rate?

Marvin Grandin has won 112 of 1,299 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Marvin Grandin do best at?

Vichy (FR) by strike rate: 12 wins from 87 rides (13.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Marvin Grandin ride most for?

C Escuder, with 115 rides since 2022 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (11.3%).

Is Marvin Grandin in form?

In the last 14 days: 60 rides, 5 winners, a strike rate of 8.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.6% since 2022.

What is Marvin Grandin's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 1,294 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Marvin Grandin

1,299 rides in the last 5 seasons · 703 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2022

112–1,299

Wins / Runs

8.6%

Strike rate

n=1,299

343 (26%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=1,294 · 0.77 incl. margin

−234.39

£1 level stake

n=1,297 at SP · −18.1%

£3.46m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 260 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (103 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,299 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 30.7% when favourite C Escuder: 11.3% from 115 LTO winners: 13.6% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Vichy (FR) (13.8%, n=87), clear of the rider's 8.6% baseline. It is weakest at Lyon Parilly (FR) (2.8% over 36 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.6% (n=103, Fair A/E 1.23). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 7.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −142.92 to a £1 stake over 301 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. C Escuder supplies 9% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.3% vs 8.6%, A/E 0.89). 17 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Du Conseil De Paris at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2026, £67,830). Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.6%+0.0

n=697 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −121.26

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.6%+5.0

n=103 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −20.98

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.3%−1.3

n=301 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −142.92

When favourite

30.7%

n=101 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −15.12

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.3%−2.3

n=496 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −129.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.8%+0.2

n=181 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +75.40

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Vichy (FR) 13.8% vs 8.6% · n=87

On last-time-out winners 13.6% vs 8.6% · n=103

With P Cottier 13.3% vs 8.6% · n=105

At Lyon Parilly (FR) 2.8% vs 8.6% · n=36

With S Kobayashi 14.3% vs 8.6% · n=35

With M Krebs 3.8% vs 8.6% · n=53

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,298 112 8.6% −234.39

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 435 33 7.6% −143.10

Soft 352 35 9.9% +13.89

Good to Soft 245 20 8.2% −26.45

Good 133 12 9% −56.70

Heavy 124 12 9.7% −13.03

Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville 305 24 7.9% +6.70

Chantilly 234 15 6.4% −132.90

Saint-Cloud 196 16 8.2% +22.20

Longchamp (FR) 169 12 7.1% −33.80

Vichy (FR) 87 12 13.8% +26.68

Lyon Parilly (FR) 36 1 2.8% −19.00

Marseille Borely (FR) 28 8 28.6% +25.12

Compiegne 26 0 0% −26.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 24 1 4.2% −17.70

Toulouse (FR) 22 2 9.1% −15.27

Marseille Pont-de-Vivaux (FR) 21 2 9.5% −10.50

Clairefontaine (FR) 19 2 10.5% +1.00

Dieppe (FR) 18 1 5.6% −13.00

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 17 7 41.2% +14.50

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 17 1 5.9% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 200 17 8.5% +59.40

Class 3 79 7 8.9% −17.27

Class 4 70 8 11.4% −13.87

Class 2 30 4 13.3% −9.13

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 108 33 30.6% 1.00 −16.62

2nd–3rd fav 242 35 14.5% 0.97 −51.27

4th–6th fav 403 18 4.5% 0.60 −215.00

7th+ in betting 544 25 4.6% 1.31 +48.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Game Run (FR) 19 3 8 8 Jan 26

Talentuoso (USA) 16 1 7 27 Oct 26

Saint Hellier (FR) 11 1 1 12 Nov 24

Beetlejuice (FR) 10 1 5 27 Aug 26

Melbora (FR) 9 0 4 3 May 26

Zelzari (FR) 8 4 7 11 Oct 26

Art Piece (FR) 8 0 3 9 Sep 26

My Way (FR) 8 1 3 13 Aug 26

Campacite (FR) 8 2 3 9 Aug 26

Like Lindy (USA) 7 0 0 9 Nov 26

Everstar (FR) 7 1 1 19 Oct 26

Square d'Anvers (FR) 7 1 2 13 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 703 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

5 from 60 8.3% · −0.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days8.3%

5-season base8.6%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

7459105141079106

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardC Escuder

9% of all rides
11.3% SR · A/E 0.89

TrainerRWSR£1

C Escuder 115 13 11.3% −44.90

P Cottier 105 14 13.3% +48.50

M Krebs 53 2 3.8% −29.00

Elias Mikhalides 53 4 7.5% −12.68

L Baudron 47 3 6.4% +8.10

L Gadbin 44 4 9.1% −21.50

S Kobayashi 35 5 14.3% +45.90

J-C Rouget 35 4 11.4% −20.40

Mme J Soudan 31 4 12.9% +34.90

R Fradet 31 2 6.5% −8.00

Pierre-Etienne Dubois 30 2 6.7% −15.70

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

116

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.63m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 75 wins

Rembrand To Go (FR) — Prix Du Conseil De Paris (Group 2) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2026 · Group 2

£67,830

Game Run (FR) — Prix du Gros-Chene (3yo+) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2023 · Group 2

£65,575

Campacite (FR) — Criterium du Fonds Europeen de l'Elevage () (2yo) (Round Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2025 · Listed

£53,719

Notable horses

Zelzari (FR) Game Run (FR) Rembrand To Go (FR) Campacite (FR) Indian Pacific (FR) Cambronne (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Zelzal (FR) 17.4% · 8–46

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,736 runs since 2021 (228 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.5% from 110.

Goken (FR) 11.6% · 5–43

Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,124 runs since 2020 (249 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.6% from 247. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15% from 200.

Galiway (GB) 14.3% · 5–35

Progeny have won 11.7% of 1,765 runs since 2019 (294 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.4% from 267. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 402. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.5% from 236. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.7% from 493.

Le Havre (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30

Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,894 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 530.

Olympic Glory (IRE) 11.1% · 3–27

Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,074 runs since 2018 (264 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 151.

Zarak (FR) 8% · 2–25

Progeny have won 15.2% of 2,055 runs since 2021 (331 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.8% from 378. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 20.1% from 264. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.9% from 204.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,360 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,360 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 January 2017 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Hakaste (FR)T: Mme Stephanie Nigge Prix Du Plateau De Saclay10f · Heavy · 13 ran 9th 16/1

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Shambhalla (FR)T: S Kobayashi Prix Du Haras D'ouilly12f · Heavy · 14 ran 10th 13/2

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Stir Crazy (FR)T: Mme J Soudan Prix De La Goubiniere12f · Heavy · 14 ran 4th 6/1

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Golden Blush (FR)T: C Escuder Prix De Juziers12.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 11/2

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Expressora (FR)T: L Gadbin Prix Pharsale10f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 13/2

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Kini (FR)T: Elias Mikhalides Prix Kantar10f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 12/1

12 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Heracles (FR)T: M Rulec Prix Du Carrefour Des Hautes CoutumesClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 9/2

12 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Trophane (FR)T: E Libaud Prix De La Remise Des LilasClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 4/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Follow You (FR)T: C Martinon Prix De La Cote Pavee12f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 5/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Nous Trois (FR)T: J Andreu Prix Comfort Aparthotel Toulouse Metropole12f · Soft · 15 ran 12th 10/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Fonromy (FR)T: Antonio Jose Baptista Ribeiro De Abreu Prix Jerome Rambaud12f · Soft · 16 ran 10th 16/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Lohengreen (FR)T: C Escuder Prix De La Ville De Toulouse12f · Soft · 16 ran 7th 15/2

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Frissonante (IRE)T: P Sogorb Criterium Du Languedoc - Prix Bernard De Marmiesse8f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 22/1

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Hur Cat (FR)T: M Krebs Prix De Chateau-Landon6f · Very Soft · 15 ran 12th 18/1

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Drogo (FR)T: Mme V Dissaux Prix Guy Thibault6f · Very Soft · 15 ran 2nd 28/1

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) May It Be (IRE)T: H-F Devin Prix Denisy15f · Very Soft · 13 ran 8th 33/1

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Hollyhock (FR)T: Sofie Lanslots Prix Fontainebleau Ville du Cheval6f · Very Soft · 14 ran 4th 40/1

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Interactiv (IRE)T: Alicja Karkosa Prix Roland Fougedoire6f · Very Soft · 16 ran 13th 18/1

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Emilie Romagne (IRE)T: Gavin Hernon Prix de La Lande de Bruyere7f · Very Soft · 11 ran 8th 28/1

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Stargator (TUR)T: Alicja Karkosa Prix De La Porte Nadon10f · Very Soft · 7 ran 7th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Marvin Grandin's strike rate?: Marvin Grandin has won 112 of 1,299 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Marvin Grandin do best at?: Vichy (FR) by strike rate: 12 wins from 87 rides (13.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Marvin Grandin ride most for?: C Escuder, with 115 rides since 2022 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (11.3%).
Is Marvin Grandin in form?: In the last 14 days: 60 rides, 5 winners, a strike rate of 8.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.6% since 2022.
What is Marvin Grandin's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 1,294 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.