1:40 Sandown
This Class 2 Tattersalls £40,000 EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes over 7f at Sandown on good ground brings together a field of nine two-year-olds where public form is limited and many runners arrive with little or no racecourse experience. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched, underlining the open nature of the contest and the reliance on pedigree, stable form and trainer strike rates at the track. Harry Charlton's operation in particular stands out with a 20% strike rate at Sandown from 25 runs, while several powerful yards are represented.
How the race shapes up
With the pace shape rated unclear and low confidence across the small field, it is difficult to be certain how the race will unfold. Several runners including Tall Trees and Bassrah are noted as usually held up, suggesting the early tempo could be modest. The key question is whether any horse can impose itself from the front or whether the race will be decided by those delivered late.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Lady Ranya KTB Selection57/100Harry Charlton has a strong 20% strike rate at Sandown from 25 runs.
- 2Ortanique55/100Sir Mark Prescott's newcomer showed little on debut when finishing seventh and now steps up into a competitive Class 2.
- 3Victoria Night51/100Richard Hannon's newcomer is a first-time-out runner with no racecourse form to go on.
- 4Tall Trees51/100Useful performer who has shown consistent form in four starts, most recently finishing third over this trip at Sandown.
- 5Alanah Bananah50/100William Haggas has a solid 19% strike rate at Sandown from a big sample and Rossa Ryan takes the ride.
- 6Bassrah50/100Bassrah showed some promise when second on debut over 6f and backed that up with a solid sixth in a stronger race last time.
- 7Flower Show47/100Flower Show is a newcomer from the powerful Charlie Appleby yard which has a solid 24% strike rate at Sandown from 221 runs.
- 8Thi Qar45/100Thi Qar showed promise when second on debut over this trip and should improve as a 2-year-old.
- 9Empress Jingu44/100Empress Jingu is a newcomer from a powerful yard and with Oisin Murphy booked.
The contenders
Lady Ranya KTB Fit 57/100
Lady Ranya is the KTB selection. Harry Charlton has a 20% strike rate at Sandown from 25 runs and this well-related newcomer from a top yard is likely to have been readied for this debut. The combination of pedigree and stable form makes her of significant interest on her first start. Limited public evidence beyond that pedigree and the yard's record makes firm conclusions difficult, yet the trainer and jockey combination of Lewis Edmunds carries plenty of appeal with the latter boasting a 17% strike rate at Sandown from 48 rides.
Ortanique KTB Fit 55/100
Ortanique showed little on debut when finishing seventh and now steps up into this competitive Class 2. Sir Mark Prescott's yard maintains a solid 26% strike rate at Sandown from 171 runs, which is a positive. With only one run on the clock and a small sample on both going and trip this remains very much an unknown quantity. Luke Morris takes the ride and the yard's overall record with him stands at 18% from a large sample.
Victoria Night KTB Fit 51/100
Victoria Night is a first-time-out runner with no racecourse form to go on. The pedigree and sales background offer the only clues here and the low data confidence means any conclusions are tentative at best. Richard Hannon's yard has a 12% strike rate at Sandown from 557 runs, which is respectable, and Pat Dobbs rides with a similar 12% strike rate at the track from 409 rides. Overall the trainer and jockey combination stands at 12% from a very large sample.
Tall Trees KTB Fit 51/100
Tall Trees is a useful performer who has shown consistent form in four starts, most recently finishing third over this trip at Sandown. The placed effort here last time is a clear positive on a track where connections have a solid history, though he remains without a win. The trip looks suitable on the balance of his efforts while the going remains an unknown with such a light record. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he drops in class and Jamie Spencer rides.
The rest of the field
Alanah BananahKTB Fit 50/100
Alanah Bananah is a newcomer bred to have speed and was a breeze-up purchase. William Haggas has a solid 19% strike rate at Sandown from a big sample and Rossa Ryan takes the ride, though with no racecourse evidence the level of ability remains unknown and data confidence is low.
BassrahKTB Fit 50/100
Bassrah showed some promise when second on debut over 6f and backed that up with a solid sixth in a stronger race last time. He now steps up to 7f for the first time, which asks a fresh question of him. Usually held up, the yard has a fair 12% strike rate at Sandown from 33 runs and he has been competitive on good ground without winning.
Flower ShowKTB Fit 47/100
Flower Show is a newcomer from the powerful Charlie Appleby yard which has a solid 24% strike rate at Sandown from 221 runs. William Buick takes the ride, and with no racecourse form to go on the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
Thi QarKTB Fit 45/100
Thi Qar showed promise when second on debut over this trip and should improve as a 2-year-old. The Gosden yard has a solid 22% strike rate at Sandown from 170 runs. With only one run on the board the overall picture remains tentative.
Empress JinguKTB Fit 44/100
Empress Jingu is a newcomer from a powerful yard and with Oisin Murphy booked. Andrew Balding has a solid 13% strike rate at Sandown from a large sample. With no racecourse form and only low data confidence the rest is guesswork based on pedigree and sales price.
KTB verdict
Lady Ranya is the KTB selection in a race where several runners arrive with little or no public form. The Harry Charlton yard's 20% strike rate at Sandown from 25 runs, allied to her strong pedigree, makes her the one to beat on debut. Main dangers include the consistent Tall Trees, who has already placed over course and distance, and the promising Thi Qar who showed plenty when second on debut. Ortanique, Victoria Night and the well-bred newcomers from the Appleby, Haggas and Balding yards add further depth to what looks a competitive heat.
KTB Selection Lady Ranya
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 29 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Lady Ranya | 22/1 | William Hill |
| Ortanique | 40/1 | 7Bet |
| Victoria Night | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Tall Trees | 5/2 | Bet365 |
| Alanah Bananah | 12/1 | William Hill |
| Bassrah | 12/1 | 7Bet |
| Flower Show | 7/2 | 7Bet |
| Thi Qar | 3/1 | William Hill |
| Empress Jingu | 11/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 1:40 Sandown. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Sandown racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Sandown results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course and distance experience in this field?
Tall Trees has run once at Sandown, finishing third over this 7f trip.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Sandown in this race?
Sir Mark Prescott has a 26% strike rate at Sandown from 171 runs.
Which runners are noted as usually held up?
Tall Trees is usually held up with medium confidence, while Bassrah is usually held up with low confidence.
Which horse is dropping in class?
Tall Trees is dropping in class.
Which horse is stepping up in class?
Ortanique is stepping up in class.
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