What is Pat Dobbs's strike rate?

Pat Dobbs has won 107 of 854 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Pat Dobbs do best at?

Sandown by strike rate: 9 wins from 57 rides (15.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Pat Dobbs ride most for?

Richard Hannon, with 608 rides since 2022 — 71% of the total. That pairing has won 71 (11.7%).

Is Pat Dobbs in form?

In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 12.5% since 2022.

What is Pat Dobbs's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 846 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Pat Dobbs

854 rides in the last 5 seasons · 473 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

107–854

Wins / Runs

12.5%

Strike rate

n=854

281 (33%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=846 · 0.92 incl. margin

−190.87

£1 level stake

n=854 at SP · −22.4%

£3.11m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 170 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). Rides mostly for Richard Hannon — 71% of rides in the window. The rider is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 854 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 38.1% when favourite Richard Hannon: 11.7% from 608 Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

It is weakest at Ascot (6.7% over 89 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.5% (n=124, Fair A/E 1.15). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 7.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −63.28 to a £1 stake over 107 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 0 from 15 rides in the last 14 days (0%, 12.5pts below the 12.5% baseline). Richard Hannon supplies 71% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.7%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well in Class 6 (21.6%, n=51) and at trips under 6f (17.5%, n=97). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 6.5% over 46 rides, 6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.76 across 102 rides (7.8% strike, −14.90 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 57 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Investec Coronation Cup at Epsom Downs (Jun 2015, £212,663). The standout partner of the record: Chindit (IRE) — 7 wins from 21 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

12.1%−0.4

n=430 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −73.02

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.3%+0.8

n=98 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −24.93

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.5%−5.0

n=107 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −63.28

When favourite

38.1%

n=84 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +0.09

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.5%−6.0

n=124 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −35.30

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11%−1.5

n=100 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −58.71

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 6 21.6% vs 12.5% · n=51

At Ascot 6.7% vs 12.5% · n=89

Off a 61-180-day break 6.5% vs 12.5% · n=46

At trips under 6f 17.5% vs 12.5% · n=97

Off a 8-14-day break 17.1% vs 12.5% · n=140

On Good to Soft going 7.8% vs 12.5% · n=102

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 283 38 13.4% −32.03

Good to Firm 279 34 12.2% −105.44

Standard (AW) 105 14 13.3% −33.77

Good to Soft 102 8 7.8% −14.90

Soft 76 12 15.8% +2.17

Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Firm 3 1 33.3% −0.90

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newbury 146 20 13.7% +24.46

Ascot 89 6 6.7% −53.78

Goodwood 87 12 13.8% +14.25

Salisbury 63 8 12.7% −15.79

Kempton (AW) 58 8 13.8% −21.72

Windsor 58 9 15.5% −22.86

Sandown 57 9 15.8% −11.13

Newmarket 42 6 14.3% −16.94

Newmarket 31 4 12.9% +13.87

Doncaster 24 1 4.2% −21.00

Bath 24 7 29.2% −1.43

Lingfield 20 1 5% −12.50

Lingfield (AW) 19 2 10.5% −12.50

Haydock 17 2 11.8% −1.50

Nottingham 17 4 23.5% +1.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 272 38 14% −37.16

Class 5 174 19 10.9% −70.41

Class 2 155 16 10.3% +5.63

Class 1 100 11 11% −58.71

Class 3 100 12 12% −26.00

Class 6 51 11 21.6% −2.22

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 99 39 39.4% 1.26 +10.80

2nd–3rd fav 204 33 16.2% 0.93 −46.17

4th–6th fav 309 31 10% 1.24 −8.50

7th+ in betting 242 4 1.7% 0.47 −147.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Classic (GB) 22 3 7 17 Oct 26

Boyfriend (GB) 13 3 8 14 Oct 26

Son (GB) 11 1 1 12 Apr 25

Chindit (IRE) 11 3 6 29 Sep 23

Morcar (GB) 9 2 5 24 Aug 26

Rich (GB) 8 1 2 29 Aug 24

Bang On The Bell (GB) 7 2 4 14 Jun 24

Skallywag Bay (GB) 7 2 4 12 Jul 23

Land Of Summer (IRE) 7 0 2 7 Jun 23

Signcastle City (IRE) 6 1 2 13 Aug 26

Houstonn (GB) 6 1 2 26 May 25

Voyage (GB) 6 1 2 7 Sep 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 473 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 15 0% · −12.5pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

5-season base12.5%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

···1019121310107··

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Hannon

71% of all rides
11.7% SR · A/E 1.03

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Hannon 608 71 11.7% −138.48

Richard Hughes 38 3 7.9% −18.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

732

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£11.5m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 64 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Pether's Moon (IRE) — Investec Coronation Cup (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2015 · Group 1

£212,663

Elnawin (GB) — DBS 300000 St Leger Yearling Stakes Newmarket · Aug 2008 · Class 2

£160,621

Rougemont (IRE) — 250,000 Tattersalls Millions 3-Y-O Trophy Newmarket · Apr 2012 · Class 2

£135,275

Notable horses

Chindit (IRE) Magic Warrior (GB) Annes Rocket (IRE) Blue Surf (GB) Saborido (USA) Classic (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dubawi (IRE) 20% · 7–35

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,930 runs since 2008 (1,520 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Kodiac (GB) 13.8% · 4–29

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,530 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Mehmas (IRE) 11.5% · 3–26

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,086 runs since 2008 (746 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 8.3% · 2–24

Progeny have won 10% of 19,684 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Wootton Bassett (GB) 16.7% · 4–24

Progeny have won 13.1% of 5,623 runs since 2008 (786 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.1% from 161.

Dark Angel (IRE) 19% · 4–21

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,868 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,596 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,596 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Ascot Classic (GB)T: Richard Hannon Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 16th 28/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Prince Of India (IRE)T: Marco Botti Qatar Racing British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 5th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Theheatison (GB)T: Nick Scholfield Qatar Racing British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 5th 200/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Harry Brown (GB)T: Peter Crate Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 15/2

15 Oct 26 Brighton Curious Minx (GB)T: Richard Hannon bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 5th 9/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Passerine (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Each Way Extra At bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 5/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Boyfriend (GB)T: Richard Hannon Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 10/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Pierpoint (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 6 ran 6th 25/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Radical Bay (GB)T: Amanda Perrett Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 10th 12/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Dark Issue (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 10th 12/1

07 Oct 26 Nottingham Sapphire Steps (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Watch Racing Tv Now Handicap Stakes (Div II) (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 40/1

07 Oct 26 Nottingham Spell Catcher (GB)T: Richard Hannon Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 4th 9/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester King's Code (GB)T: David Evans Paul & Margo Barley Mow Cosgrove Farewell Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 8/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester Lunar Storm (FR)T: Richard Hannon British EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 18/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester Passerine (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 4th 12/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Virtue Patience (GB)T: Amanda Perrett Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 3rd 5/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Star Chorus (IRE)T: Mike Murphy Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 1st 15/8J

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lucky Luna (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 9th 10/1

03 Oct 26 Ascot Realign (FR)T: William Haggas Betmgm Challenge Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 3rd 12/1

03 Oct 26 Ascot Prince Of India (IRE)T: Marco Botti John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 2nd 3/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Pat Dobbs's strike rate?: Pat Dobbs has won 107 of 854 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Pat Dobbs do best at?: Sandown by strike rate: 9 wins from 57 rides (15.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Pat Dobbs ride most for?: Richard Hannon, with 608 rides since 2022 — 71% of the total. That pairing has won 71 (11.7%).
Is Pat Dobbs in form?: In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 12.5% since 2022.
What is Pat Dobbs's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 846 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.