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Trainer profile

Harry Charlton

734 runners in the last 5 seasons · 145 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 7.3% of 259 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 24 Oct 2026.
Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
107–734
Wins / Runs
14.6%
Strike rate
n=734
273 (37%)
Placed
0.92
n=730 · 0.79 incl. margin
−161.54
£1 level stake
n=734 at SP · −22.0%
£2.34m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
15.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 15% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.92).

Deterministic profile computed from 734 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 34.6% when favourite Trevor Whelan: 14.7% from 156 New recruits: 15.8% Sends off the favourite in 22% of races
The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=52, Fair A/E 0.29). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.61 and −82.12 to a £1 stake over 107 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Trevor Whelan rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (14.7%, A/E 1.24) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (25.8%, n=31). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Geoffrey Freer Stakes at Newbury (Aug 2026, £56,710). The stable star of the record: Ten Pounds (IRE) — 5 wins from 10 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
13.1%−1.5
n=130 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −22.01
New recruits · first run for the yard
15.8%+1.2
n=38 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −19.92
Debutants · first career start
4.7%−9.9
n=107 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −82.12
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.8%−10.8
n=52 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −45.87
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
50%+35.4
n=6 · A/E 2.94 · £1 +45.62
When favourite
34.6%
n=162 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −20.17
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.5%−10.1
n=44 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −37.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
9.6%−5.0
n=52 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −36.05

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 27.4% vs 14.6% · n=95
With debutants 4.7% vs 14.6% · n=107
With first-time headgear 3.8% vs 14.6% · n=52
Over 1m5f – 2m 25.8% vs 14.6% · n=31
With claiming riders up 4.5% vs 14.6% · n=44
With Millie Wonnacott 4.9% vs 14.6% · n=41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 267 35 13.1% −120.52
Good to Firm 181 30 16.6% −17.20
Good 169 24 14.2% +9.52
Soft 50 5 10% −15.92
Good to Soft 48 11 22.9% −6.50
Heavy 15 2 13.3% −6.92
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 109 10 9.2% −63.75
Newbury 63 5 7.9% −36.00
Southwell (AW) 48 8 16.7% −18.13
Newcastle (AW) 43 7 16.3% −19.99
Ascot 40 4 10% +7.75
Salisbury 37 4 10.8% −25.94
Newmarket 30 7 23.3% +10.12
Wolverhampton (AW) 30 3 10% −17.12
Yarmouth 28 4 14.3% −15.08
Sandown 26 5 19.2% −8.92
Doncaster 25 3 12% −13.30
Lingfield (AW) 23 6 26.1% +3.97
Haydock 21 2 9.5% +62.25
Newmarket 19 2 10.5% −12.75
Windsor 19 4 21.1% +19.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 246 32 13% −13.64
Class 5 206 35 17% −54.12
Class 2 106 13 12.3% −35.42
Class 3 95 13 13.7% −25.45
Class 1 52 5 9.6% −36.05
Class 6 29 9 31% +3.14

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 175 60 34.3% 0.99 −17.42
2nd–3rd fav 191 31 16.2% 0.91 −43.12
4th–6th fav 220 10 4.5% 0.60 −131.00
7th+ in betting 148 6 4.1% 1.29 +30.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tryfan (GB)from Brian Ellison 15 3 7 14 Oct 26
Mighty Quiet (GB) 14 2 4 22 Aug 26
Madjid (GB) 12 2 4 12 Oct 26
Opening Bat (GB) 12 1 3 8 Jul 26
Kiniro (GB)then Dan Horsford 12 2 7 14 Oct 25
Navid (GB) 12 1 3 30 Sep 25
So Quiet (GB) 12 1 4 13 Mar 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 145 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Harry & Roger Charlton (15); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Donald McCain (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 12
Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1401818171215141714415
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTrevor Whelan
21% of all rides
14.7% SR · A/E 1.24
RiderRWSR£1
Trevor Whelan 156 23 14.7% −27.89
Lewis Edmunds 115 17 14.8% −36.34
Callum Rodriguez 48 11 22.9% −13.66
Oisin Murphy 41 9 22% −18.00
Millie Wonnacott 41 2 4.9% −34.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
107
Archived wins
5
Pattern / graded wins
£2.34m
Prize money
2025
Best season · 37 wins
Wine Dark Sea (GB) — Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Newbury · Aug 2026 · Group 3
£56,710
Hand Of God (GB) — Golden Gates Stakes (Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2024 · Class 2
£56,694
King's Gambit (IRE) — Trade Nation London Gold Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Newbury · May 2024 · Class 2
£51,540

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kingman (GB) 17.5% · 10–57
Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,478 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 960. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
Frankel (GB) 22% · 9–41
Progeny have won 18% of 7,509 runs since 2008 (876 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.6% from 326. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.3% from 268.
Bated Breath (GB) 15.6% · 5–32
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,139 runs since 2008 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 847.
Kodiac (GB) 3.1% · 1–32
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,548 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Sea The Stars (IRE) 10% · 3–30
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,945 runs since 2008 (1,112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 455. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Ulysses (IRE) 24.1% · 7–29
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,974 runs since 2008 (293 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 734 · newest first

The latest 50 of 734 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 January 2024 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Oct 26 Leicester That's Random (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Join Racing TV Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 8th 9/2J
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Madjid (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Aks Skip Hire Services Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 7/1
09 Oct 26 Newmarket Bintola (GB)J: Callum Rodriguez HKJC World Pool Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Harry Charlton's strike rate?
Harry Charlton has won 107 of 734 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.6% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Harry Charlton do best at?
Newmarket by strike rate: 7 wins from 30 runners (23.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Harry Charlton?
Trevor Whelan, with 156 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (14.7%).
Is Harry Charlton in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Harry Charlton's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 730 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).