Harry Charlton
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 15% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.92).
A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=52, Fair A/E 0.29). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.61 and −82.12 to a £1 stake over 107 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Trevor Whelan rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (14.7%, A/E 1.24) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (25.8%, n=31). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Geoffrey Freer Stakes at Newbury (Aug 2026, £56,710). The stable star of the record: Ten Pounds (IRE) — 5 wins from 10 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 734 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 734 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 January 2024 to 22 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Harry Charlton's strike rate?
- Harry Charlton has won 107 of 734 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.6% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Harry Charlton do best at?
- Newmarket by strike rate: 7 wins from 30 runners (23.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Harry Charlton?
- Trevor Whelan, with 156 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (14.7%).
- Is Harry Charlton in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Harry Charlton's Fair A/E?
- 0.92, from 730 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.