Bear On The Run (IRE)
Bear On The Run is a filly who has won two of six starts, both over 6f – 7f. She took an Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden at Dundalk on standard going in Aug 2025 and the Mitsubishi Electric Handicap at Curragh on good ground in Aug 2026 off an official rating of 87. Each win came on a first visit to the course. She finished 7 of 8 in a Dundalk handicap off 88 in Oct 2026.
- 2–6Wins / Runs
- 33.3%Strike rate
- 2 (33.3%)Placed
- +10.91£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 1.66Fair A/E n=6 · 1.40 incl. margin
- 89Highest OR
- 33dBetween runs (median)longest 372 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 112
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 91A | 87 | 2 runs · 87 / 81.5 |
| Good | 3 | 112A | 98 | 2 runs · 112 / 105 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 112A | 89 | 4 runs · 112 / 92.5 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 5 Nov 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs since May 2025
- Led 2 (50%) · 1 win
- Held up 1 (25%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 1 (25%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 3,983 runs since Jun 2020 (391 horses).
Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 260.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | +17 | — |
| Good to Firm | 535 | 65 | 12.1% | +1.8 | — |
| Good | 1,029 | 109 | 10.6% | +0.3 | 1 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 380 | 34 | 8.9% | −1.4 | — |
| Soft | 544 | 51 | 9.4% | −0.9 | — |
| Heavy | 145 | 14 | 9.7% | −0.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,339 | 134 | 10% | −0.3 | 1 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 557 | 69 | 12.4% | +2.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2,254 | 240 | 10.6% | +0.3 | 2 from 6 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 736 | 64 | 8.7% | −1.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 260 | 19 | 7.3% | −3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 113 | 11 | 9.7% | −0.6 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 50 | 5 | 10% | −0.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 10 | 2 | 20% | +9.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −10.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2020 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Dun Na Sead (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 5f–7½f; the highest grade won is Group 3 (Dun Na Sead (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dun Na Sead (IRE) | 21 | 5 | 5f | Group 3 |
| Lord Dudley (IRE) | 19 | 4 | 6f–7½f | — |
| Wonderwalk (IRE) | 19 | 0 | — | — |
| Little Boo Thing (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.09 |
| Good | 3 | 1 | 33% | +12.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh (IRE) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.91 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Coen | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| G. F. Carroll | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dylan Browne McMonagle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Shane Foley | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.91 |
| Jamie Powell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +11.00 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.09 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 30 Oct 26+28d | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 50' Handicap | 7/8 | ½ | 9-3 | 88 | 87A | 84A | G. F. Carroll | 7/1 |
| 02 Oct 26+8d | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap | 5/5 | 5 | 9-6 | 89 | 76C | 71B | Ben Coen | 100/30 |
| 24 Sep 26+33d | Newmarket | British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap Stakes Held up towards the back - pushed along to close a little over a furlong out - stayed on at one speed inside the final 110yds - finished sixth beaten 3 lengths | 6/10 | 1½ | 9-7 | 89 | 98A | 82A | Ben Coen | 5/2F |
| 22 Aug 26+372d | Curragh (IRE) | Mitsubishi Electric Handicap Settled in the pack early - pushed along to move into contention with 1 1/2f left and up to 3rd inside the final furlong - found a gap to hit the front close home for the win | 1/10 | 8-13 | 87 | 112A | 103A | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 14/1 | |
| 2025 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 15 Aug 25+102d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden Fast start to hit the front - dominated in front with plenty in hand - urged forward two out - driven approaching final furlong - opened up a three length advantage close home - won without being extended | 1/9 | 8-12 | — | 91A | 98A | Shane Foley | 10/11F | |
| 05 May 25 | Curragh | Irish European Breeders Fund Median Sires Series Maiden Set the early gallop - urged to hold advantage but overtaken 2f out and slipped to 6th with a furlong left - stayed on steadily to finish fifth | 5/14 | nk | 8-8 | — | 75C | 75A | Jamie Powell | 4/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Bear On The Run won?
- Bear On The Run (IRE) won 2 of 6 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 33.3%. Placed 2 times in total (33.3% of starts).
- Who trains Bear On The Run?
- Bear On The Run (IRE) is trained by Daniel James Murphy, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 30 October 2026.
- Who is Bear On The Run's sire?
- Bear On The Run (IRE) is by Kodi Bear (IRE) out of Alice Thornton (GB), whose sire is Hurricane Run.
- What going does Bear On The Run prefer?
- Bear On The Run (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Bear On The Run's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 88, from the run on 30 October 2026. The highest on record is 89.
- What is Bear On The Run's sire's record?
- Kodi Bear (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 3,983 runs since Jun 2020 (391 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 260.
- Who are Bear On The Run's siblings?
- Out of Alice Thornton (GB), Bear On The Run (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Dun Na Sead (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Group 3 (Dun Na Sead (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–7½f. As at Nov 2026.