What is Daniel James Murphy's strike rate?

Daniel James Murphy has won 44 of 440 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Daniel James Murphy do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 24 wins from 164 runners (14.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Daniel James Murphy?

Shane Foley, with 64 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (15.6%).

Is Daniel James Murphy in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Daniel James Murphy's Fair A/E?

1.09, from 439 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Daniel James Murphy

440 runners in the last 5 seasons · 77 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)

from 1 Jan 2022

44–440

Wins / Runs

10%

Strike rate

n=440

120 (27%)

Placed

1.09

Fair A/E

n=439 · 0.89 incl. margin

−70.19

£1 level stake

n=440 at SP · −16.0%

£797k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.09).

Deterministic profile computed from 440 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 31.4% when favourite Shane Foley: 15.6% from 64 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 2.4% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.40). Shane Foley rides 15% of the entries and beats the yard's average (15.6% vs 10%, A/E 1.50) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (15.8%, n=139). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Hill Top Price Guarantee Mercury Stakes at Dundalk (AW) (Oct 2024, £32,450).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.7%−3.3

n=75 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −37.84

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.9%−2.1

n=38 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −3.25

Debutants · first career start

2.4%−7.6

n=41 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −26.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.4%−7.6

n=41 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −35.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

20.7%+10.7

n=29 · A/E 1.94 · £1 +6.08

When favourite

31.4%

n=35 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −6.68

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.4%−1.6

n=143 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −75.04

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.7%−2.3

n=26 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +67.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Colin Keane 23.7% vs 10% · n=38

With C&D winners 22% vs 10% · n=50

On last-time-out winners 21.1% vs 10% · n=38

Off a 15-30-day break 15.8% vs 10% · n=139

With debutants 2.4% vs 10% · n=41

With first-time headgear 2.4% vs 10% · n=41

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 439 44 10% −69.19

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 170 26 15.3% +44.15

Good 117 12 10.3% −6.17

Soft 72 4 5.6% −38.67

Good to Soft 35 1 2.9% −30.50

Good to Firm 24 0 0% −24.00

Heavy 22 1 4.5% −15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 164 24 14.6% +43.48

Curragh 75 6 8% −25.67

Cork 39 2 5.1% −30.50

Navan 38 1 2.6% −29.50

Naas 37 4 10.8% −7.00

Gowran Park 12 1 8.3% +3.00

Fairyhouse 10 1 10% −5.67

Tipperary 9 0 0% −9.00

Bellewstown 8 2 25% +28.00

Down Royal 8 0 0% −8.00

Galway 7 0 0% −7.00

Sligo 6 1 16.7% −2.00

Leopardstown 6 0 0% −6.00

Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00

Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 26 2 7.7% +67.00

Class 6 3 2 66.7% +3.67

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 41 12 29.3% 1.06 −8.18

2nd–3rd fav 84 14 16.7% 1.04 −21.51

4th–6th fav 136 9 6.6% 0.85 −55.50

7th+ in betting 179 9 5% 1.82 +15.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Eclairage (IRE) 20 4 7 2 Oct 26

Unique Journey (IRE) 19 4 9 15 Oct 26

Tribal Moon (IRE)from Charlie Appleby · then Noel C Kelly 17 2 8 24 Oct 25

Erosandpsyche (IRE)from P Twomey 16 0 5 26 Sep 26

Go Out (FR)from Harry Charlton 15 0 5 16 Oct 26

Crystal Luna (IRE) 15 2 5 21 Mar 25

Eichan San (IRE) 14 0 3 15 Oct 26

Sovereign Cry (IRE) 14 2 3 21 Sep 26

Ostraka (IRE)from M Halford & T Collins 14 3 4 13 Jun 25

Tam Lin (IRE)then Alice Haynes 14 2 4 29 May 25

This Guy (IRE)from Clive Cox 11 0 5 19 Jun 26

Kilmood Susan (IRE)then Michael Mulvany 11 1 5 1 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 77 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Kieran P Cotter (5) and A P O'Brien (2); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1314414544159102513

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderShane Foley

15% of all rides
15.6% SR · A/E 1.50

RiderRWSR£1

Shane Foley 64 10 15.6% +19.66

Colin Keane 38 9 23.7% +7.61

Terry Casey 34 3 8.8% −16.25

Oisin McSweeney 33 5 15.2% +5.80

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£797k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 20 wins

Ostraka (IRE) — William Hill Top Price Guarantee Mercury Stakes (Group 3) Dundalk (AW) · Oct 2024 · Group 3

£32,450

Dun Na Sead (IRE) — Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Pat Smullen Mercury Stakes (Group 3) Dundalk (AW) · Oct 2023 · Group 3

£32,450

Ocean Baroque (IRE) — Irish Ebf Auction Series Nursery Handicap Cork · Sep 2023

£29,500

Notable horses

Eclairage (IRE) Unique Journey (IRE) Ostraka (IRE) Prairie Girl (IRE) Tribal Moon (IRE) Crystal Luna (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Ten Sovereigns (IRE) 12.1% · 4–33

Progeny have won 11% of 1,578 runs since 2008 (239 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.2% from 157. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.4% from 148.

Caravaggio (USA) 23.8% · 5–21

Progeny have won 11.7% of 1,769 runs since 2008 (201 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.4% from 165.

Kuroshio (AUS) 20% · 4–20

Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,298 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.8% from 288.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 17.6% · 3–17

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,147 runs since 2008 (659 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,187.

Teofilo (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,070 runs since 2008 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.

Sepoy (AUS) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,372 runs since 2008 (279 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 440 · newest first

The latest 50 of 440 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 September 2023 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Frescobaldi (IRE)J: Terry Casey BAR 1 Betting 'Supporting Irish Racing' Handicap7f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 25/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Simmering Seas (IRE)J: Terry Casey Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 8/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Go Out (FR)J: Terry Casey Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 11/4F

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Blessed By Faith (IRE)J: Terry Casey Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden6f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 125/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Eichan San (IRE)J: Colin Keane Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 2nd 7/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Unique Journey (IRE)J: Terry Casey DNG Nationwide Handicap6f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 15/2

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Equus Victor (IRE)J: Shane Foley Irish Stallion Farms EBF Birdcatcher Premier Nursery Handicap6f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 10/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) American Cowboy (USA)J: Jamie Powell Irish EBF Median Sires Series (C & G) Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 9/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Eichan San (IRE)J: Ben Coen Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap6f · Yielding · 22 ran 5th 15/2

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Blessed By Faith (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Buy Now & Save With The Real Deal Bundle Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 8th 80/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Go Out (FR)J: Jamie Powell Business Plus Handicap6f · Soft · 22 ran 15th 40/1

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Bear On The Run (IRE)J: Ben Coen Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap7f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 100/30

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Equus Victor (IRE)J: Ben Coen Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 40/1

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Mutamarid Lsk (IRE)J: James Ryan Michael And Esther Cooney Memorial Nursery Handicap7f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 12/1

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Eclairage (IRE)J: Terry Casey BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Race5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 100/30

29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Simmering Seas (IRE)J: Ben Coen WTW Willis Handicap6f · Soft · 19 ran 17th 7/1

26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Unique Journey (IRE)J: Ben Coen Izuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding · 10 ran 8th 7/1

26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Erosandpsyche (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap5f · Yielding · 20 ran 19th 28/1

26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Frescobaldi (IRE)J: Terry Casey Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap5f · Yielding · 20 ran 16th 50/1

26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Jungle Wise (IRE)J: Ben Coen Market Square Monasterevin Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 8th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Daniel James Murphy's strike rate?: Daniel James Murphy has won 44 of 440 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Daniel James Murphy do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 24 wins from 164 runners (14.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Daniel James Murphy?: Shane Foley, with 64 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (15.6%).
Is Daniel James Murphy in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Daniel James Murphy's Fair A/E?: 1.09, from 439 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.