Capitulation (IRE)
Capitulation (IRE) is 1 from 12. Hasn't won since Aug 2021. The win came on good or faster ground (0 from 7 on softer).
- 1–12Wins / Runs
- 8.3%Strike rate
- 4 (33.3%)Placed
- −2.00£1 level staken=12 at SP
- 1.04Fair A/E n=12 · 0.88 incl. margin
- 75Highest OR
- 33dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 99
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 13 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 83C | 72 | — |
| Good | 5 | 86A | 81 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 99A | 86.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 13 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 99A | 82 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 74A | 64 | — |
| Under 6f | 2 | 81A | 51 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 12 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 4,508 runs since Jan 2008 (371 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 322.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 1 | 10% | +0.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 464 | 54 | 11.6% | +2.4 | — |
| Good | 1,113 | 85 | 7.6% | −1.6 | 1 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 461 | 47 | 10.2% | +1 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 861 | 74 | 8.6% | −0.6 | 0 from 5 |
| Heavy | 291 | 25 | 8.6% | −0.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,308 | 130 | 9.9% | +0.7 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 408 | 47 | 11.5% | +2.3 | 0 from 2 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,768 | 165 | 9.3% | +0.1 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,114 | 98 | 8.8% | −0.4 | 1 from 6 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 698 | 75 | 10.7% | +1.5 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 322 | 15 | 4.7% | −4.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 152 | 15 | 9.9% | +0.7 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 39 | 0 | 0% | −9.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +5.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 13 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them French Ship (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 1m7½f–2m4½f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (French Ship (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| French Ship (GB) | 14 | 5 | 1m7½f–2m4½f | Class 2 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Good | 5 | 1 | 20% | +5.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Down Royal | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Leopardstown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bellewstown | 2 | 1 | 50% | +8.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thurles | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 1 | 17% | +4.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Hayes | 4 | 1 | 25% | +6.00 |
| Cian MacRedmond | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Gavin Ryan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Adam Caffrey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Foley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ronan Whelan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 11 | 1 | 9% | −1.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2021 | 9 | 1 | 11% | +1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun 22+9d | Down Royal | Barclay Communications Handicap | 4/9 | ½ | 9-4 | 72 | 80A | 67A | Cian MacRedmond | 12/1 |
| 09 Jun 22+23d | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap | 5/10 | shd | 8-6 | 73 | 99A | 67A | Cian MacRedmond | 14/1 |
| 17 May 22+212d | Killarney | Irish Examiner Handicap | 10/13 | 1¼ | 9-2 | 75 | 72C | 54A | Adam Caffrey | 22/1 |
| 17 Oct 21+10d | Naas | Irish EBF Auction Series Race Final | 7/16 | nk | 8-10 | 75 | 58C | 74A | Gavin Ryan | 33/1 |
| 07 Oct 21+16d | Thurles | Thurles Nursery Handicap | 3/5 | ½ | 8-6 | 75 | 60C | 71B | Cian MacRedmond | 4/1 |
| 21 Sep 21+28d | Listowel | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Premier Nursery Handicap (Premier Handicap) | 2/5 | 1 | 9-1 | 75 | 83C | 71B | Chris Hayes | 7/2 |
| 24 Aug 21+12d | Bellewstown | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden | 1/11 | 8-8 | 74 | 86A | 74A | Chris Hayes | 9/1 | |
| 12 Aug 21+12d | Leopardstown | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden | 3/12 | ¾ | 8-10 | 69 | 74A | 69A | Chris Hayes | 12/1 |
| 31 Jul 21+21d | Galway | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap | 4/9 | 1¼ | 8-6 | 70 | 64A | 76A | Chris Hayes | 18/1 |
| 10 Jul 21+9d | Navan | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden | 9/11 | 1¼ | 8-10 | — | 21A | 45A | Shane Foley | 13/2 |
| 01 Jul 21+12d | Bellewstown | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden | 3/13 | 3½ | 8-11 | — | 81C | 74A | Gavin Ryan | 18/1 |
| 19 Jun 21 | Down Royal | Lagan Valley Steels Maiden | 4/8 | ½ | 9-2 | — | 81A | 73A | Ronan Whelan | 12/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Capitulation (IRE) won?
- Capitulation (IRE) won 1 of 12 archived starts between 2021 and 2022, a strike rate of 8.3%. Placed 4 times in total (33.3% of starts).
- Who trained Capitulation (IRE)?
- Capitulation (IRE) was trained by Adrian McGuinness on the most recent run on record, at Down Royal on 18 June 2022.
- Who is Capitulation (IRE)'s sire?
- Capitulation (IRE) is by Elzaam (AUS) out of Starlit Cantata (GB), whose sire is Oratorio.
- What going does Capitulation (IRE) prefer?
- Capitulation (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Capitulation (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 72, from the run on 18 June 2022. The highest on record is 75.
- What is Capitulation (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Elzaam (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 4,508 runs since Jan 2008 (371 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 322.
- Who are Capitulation (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Starlit Cantata (GB), Capitulation (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: French Ship (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 2 (French Ship (GB)). The wins came over 1m7½f–2m4½f. As at Oct 2026.