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Jockey profile

Cian MacRedmond

691 rides in the last 5 seasons · 257 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Sep 2024 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2022
29–691
Wins / Runs
4.2%
Strike rate
n=691
119 (17%)
Placed
0.66
Fair A/E
n=689 · 0.54 incl. margin
−424.17
£1 level stake
n=691 at SP · −61.4%
£546k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 140 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.66). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 7% (42 rides). Rides mostly for Adrian McGuinness — 60% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 691 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Fresh horses: 4.5% Adrian McGuinness: 6% from 418 LTO winners: 7.1% Claiming: 4.6%
The read

The record is strongest at Gowran Park (13.9%, n=36), clear of the rider's 4.2% baseline. It is weakest at Curragh (0% over 80 rides) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 1.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.37 and −166.00 to a £1 stake over 226 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Adrian McGuinness supplies 60% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6%, A/E 0.86). The rider also reads well over 6f – 7f (7.6%, n=264). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 43 rides, 4.2pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Is That Love (IRE) — 6 wins from 30 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
1.8%−2.4
n=226 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −166.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
7.1%+2.9
n=42 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −9.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
4.5%+0.3
n=112 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −82.17
When favourite
17.4%
n=23 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −13.02
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4.6%+0.4
n=582 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −334.42
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.1%−2.1
n=385 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −277.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Gowran Park 13.9% vs 4.2% · n=36
Over 6f – 7f 7.6% vs 4.2% · n=264
With C&D winners 8.2% vs 4.2% · n=110
At Curragh 0% vs 4.2% · n=80
With new recruits 0% vs 4.2% · n=49
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 4.2% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 224 14 6.3% −131.92
Good 196 4 2% −160.50
Soft 146 7 4.8% −55.00
Heavy 66 2 3% −28.75
Good to Soft 44 1 2.3% −38.00
Good to Firm 15 1 6.7% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 208 13 6.3% −118.42
Curragh 80 0 0% −80.00
Leopardstown 47 2 4.3% −24.00
Naas 46 2 4.3% −25.50
Navan 37 0 0% −37.00
Gowran Park 36 5 13.9% +41.00
Cork 28 0 0% −28.00
Fairyhouse 24 1 4.2% −9.00
Limerick 22 0 0% −22.00
Bellewstown 21 3 14.3% −5.25
Galway 20 1 5% −13.50
Roscommon 19 0 0% −19.00
Tipperary 19 0 0% −19.00
Sligo 17 0 0% −17.00
Down Royal 13 0 0% −13.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 30 5 16.7% 0.67 −15.52
2nd–3rd fav 78 11 14.1% 0.94 −23.15
4th–6th fav 137 5 3.6% 0.48 −84.50
7th+ in betting 446 8 1.8% 0.57 −301.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Spanish Tenor (IRE) 29 4 9 30 Jul 24
Dream Today (IRE) 28 3 9 16 Sep 24
Skontonovski (GB) 25 1 5 17 Jul 24
Current Option (IRE) 16 1 2 4 Aug 24
Hightimeyouwon (GB) 16 3 7 27 Jul 24
Eglish (GB) 12 0 4 16 Mar 23
Distillate (GB) 11 1 1 27 Aug 24
Is That Love (IRE) 11 0 3 11 Nov 22
Harry's Bar (GB) 9 3 3 29 Aug 24
Leclerc (GB) 9 0 1 7 Jul 23
Form Of Praise (IRE) 9 1 4 13 Jan 23
Clarinbridge (IRE) 9 0 2 21 Oct 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 257 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
6415401565350
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardAdrian McGuinness
60% of all rides
6% SR · A/E 0.86
TrainerRWSR£1
Adrian McGuinness 418 25 6% −218.67
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
61
Archived wins
£955k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 19 wins
Current Option (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Ahonoora' Handicap Galway · Jul 2022
£64,900
Current Option (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Ahonoora' Handicap Galway · Aug 2021
£59,000
Sirjack Thomas (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Handicap Curragh · Jun 2021
£29,500
Notable horses
Is That Love (IRE) Dream Today (IRE) Spanish Tenor (IRE) Hightimeyouwon (GB) War Hero (IRE) Harry's Bar (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lope De Vega (IRE) 13.3% · 4–30
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,219 runs since 2014 (1,108 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.
Dream Ahead (USA) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,710 runs since 2015 (529 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.
Harbour Watch (IRE) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,553 runs since 2016 (236 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.5% from 322. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 463.
Camelot (GB) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,727 runs since 2017 (761 horses).
Dark Angel (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,941 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Fast Company (IRE) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,601 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,125 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,125 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 August 2017 to 16 September 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Sep 24 Laytown (AW) Beauty Bella (IRE)T: Jack W Davison Tote.ie Claiming Race7f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 13/2
16 Sep 24 Laytown (AW) Chummie (IRE)T: T M Walsh Gilna's Cottage Inn Handicap (47-65)6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 20/1
16 Sep 24 Laytown (AW) Dream Today (IRE)T: Jack W Davison Download The New Tote App Handicap (50-75)6f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 7/2F
11 Sep 24 Cork Lucky Queen (IRE)T: Anthony Mullins Mallow Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)7f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 10th 14/1
11 Sep 24 Cork Never Shout Never (IRE)T: Jack W Davison Follow Us On Instagram Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 3rd 11/1
10 Sep 24 Galway Intend (IRE)T: Patrick Martin Galway Apprentice Handicap (47-70)12f · Yielding · 15 ran 9th 25/1
10 Sep 24 Galway Casanova (GB)T: Adrian McGuinness Donnellys Of Barna Rated Race8.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 5th 20/1
07 Sep 24 Navan Dontspoilasale (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness Rathkenny Handicap5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 28/1
07 Sep 24 Navan Hezahunk (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness Simonstown Handicap5f · Good · 15 ran 4th 50/1
03 Sep 24 Gowran Park Cordouan (FR)T: R Donohoe Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap8f · Good · 15 ran 14th 14/1
01 Sep 24 Tipperary Vittorio Micheli (IRE)T: P F McEnery Breens Farm Machinery Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)9f · Good · 15 ran 6th 50/1
31 Aug 24 Curragh I'm Spartacus (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Apprentice Handicap6f · Good · 17 ran 4th 11/1
29 Aug 24 Navan Harry's Bar (GB)T: Jack W Davison Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap6f · Good · 13 ran 10th 50/1
27 Aug 24 Bellewstown Distillate (GB)T: Adrian McGuinness Gibneys Malahide Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 12th 33/1
25 Aug 24 Naas Castleheath (IRE)T: Ciaran Murphy Hartes Group Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)10.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 10th 25/1
25 Aug 24 Naas Vivacious Lady (IRE)T: M Halford & T Collins Hartes Group Apprentice Handicap (Div 1)10.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 11th 12/1
24 Aug 24 Curragh She's Smart (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness FBD Hotels And Resorts Saturday Series Handicap5f · Good · 13 ran 4th 11/1
22 Aug 24 Leopardstown Enough Already (GB)T: Adrian McGuinness Shamrock Enterprises Handicap9f · Good · 15 ran 14th 20/1
22 Aug 24 Leopardstown Eddie G (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness Aer Lingus College Football Handicap7f · Good · 18 ran 5th 14/1
20 Aug 24 Roscommon Jawhary (GB)T: Adrian McGuinness Sean Cleary Memorial Handicap (47-70)12f · Heavy · 15 ran 13th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Cian MacRedmond's strike rate?
Cian MacRedmond has won 29 of 691 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Cian MacRedmond do best at?
Gowran Park by strike rate: 5 wins from 36 rides (13.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Cian MacRedmond ride most for?
Adrian McGuinness, with 418 rides since 2022 — 60% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (6%).
What is Cian MacRedmond's Fair A/E?
0.66, from 689 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).