What is Chris Hayes's strike rate?

Chris Hayes has won 271 of 3,325 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Chris Hayes do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 10 wins from 76 rides (13.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Chris Hayes ride most for?

D K Weld, with 989 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 118 (11.9%).

Is Chris Hayes in form?

In the last 14 days: 29 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 10.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.2% since 2022.

What is Chris Hayes's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 3,321 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Chris Hayes

3,325 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,413 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

271–3,325

Wins / Runs

8.2%

Strike rate

n=3,325

898 (27%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=3,321 · 0.73 incl. margin

−1,274.32

£1 level stake

n=3,325 at SP · −38.3%

£9.18m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 670 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.90). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (279 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,325 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 29.3% when favourite D K Weld: 11.9% from 989 LTO winners: 12.9% Group/Graded: 12.6% Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.9% (n=279, Fair A/E 0.95). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 5.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −671.69 to a £1 stake over 1,446 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. D K Weld supplies 30% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.9% vs 8.2%, A/E 0.91). The rider also reads well on Good to Firm going (13.9%, n=101). 119 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Comer Group International Irish St. Leger at Curragh (Sep 2019, £342,000). The standout partner of the record: Solo Performer (IRE) — 7 wins from 27 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.7%−1.5

n=1,277 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −462.20

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.9%+4.7

n=279 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −74.77

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8%−0.2

n=597 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −199.68

When favourite

29.3%

n=246 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −49.84

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.9%−2.3

n=1,446 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −671.69

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.6%+4.4

n=325 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −55.71

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Kevin Thomas Coleman 0% vs 8.2% · n=40

With William Durkan 16.1% vs 8.2% · n=31

On last-time-out winners 12.9% vs 8.2% · n=279

On Good to Firm going 13.9% vs 8.2% · n=101

With Luke Comer 3.3% vs 8.2% · n=183

With D K Weld 11.9% vs 8.2% · n=989

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 60.2% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,128 94 8.3% −332.08

Soft 861 74 8.6% −353.43

Standard (AW) 721 46 6.4% −332.25

Heavy 259 18 6.9% −128.37

Good to Soft 255 25 9.8% −115.81

Good to Firm 101 14 13.9% −12.38

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 714 45 6.3% −332.25

Curragh 534 42 7.9% −216.13

Leopardstown 295 30 10.2% −94.27

Naas 248 27 10.9% +2.28

Gowran Park 238 10 4.2% −190.80

Navan 200 16 8% −45.62

Cork 172 14 8.1% −77.40

Galway 135 14 10.4% −58.69

Killarney 96 10 10.4% −50.77

Roscommon 95 7 7.4% +11.53

Bellewstown 90 8 8.9% −24.09

Down Royal 76 10 13.2% −19.94

Fairyhouse 68 5 7.4% −20.75

Tipperary 65 5 7.7% −11.50

Limerick 60 6 10% −21.30

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 326 41 12.6% −56.71

Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 306 83 27.1% 0.99 −67.59

2nd–3rd fav 655 91 13.9% 0.90 −150.23

4th–6th fav 1,001 73 7.3% 0.99 −253.00

7th+ in betting 1,363 24 1.8% 0.56 −803.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gegenpressing (GB) 25 4 8 22 Oct 25

Coeur d'Or (IRE) 24 4 11 28 Jun 26

Grappa Nonino (IRE) 18 2 5 5 Sep 25

Tachos (IRE) 17 2 5 12 Sep 26

Temperance (IRE) 15 1 4 9 Oct 26

So Majestic (IRE) 14 0 3 1 Sep 24

Cleopatra's Needle (IRE) 13 1 5 12 Aug 26

Tai Tam Bay (IRE) 13 1 4 3 Apr 26

Livio Milo (IRE) 13 1 6 20 Oct 24

Moltophino (IRE) 12 2 6 15 Oct 26

Zaragoza (IRE) 12 1 2 25 Jul 25

Harbour Wind (IRE) 11 4 7 12 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,413 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

3 from 29 10.3% · +2.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days10.3%

5-season base8.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

77118881099676

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardD K Weld

30% of all rides
11.9% SR · A/E 0.91

TrainerRWSR£1

D K Weld 989 118 11.9% −361.67

E & P Harty 183 15 8.2% +2.33

Luke Comer 183 6 3.3% −116.50

Noel Meade 155 7 4.5% −102.75

Edward Lynam 81 10 12.3% +11.50

Kevin Prendergast 69 4 5.8% −52.34

Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 59 8 13.6% −7.97

A Oliver 58 3 5.2% −40.00

Miss Kate McGivern 54 6 11.1% +10.00

Gavin Cromwell 50 3 6% −20.78

P J F Murphy 46 2 4.3% −32.50

E J O'Neill 44 3 6.8% −25.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,089

Archived wins

119

Pattern / graded wins

£28.8m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 78 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Search For A Song (IRE) — Comer Group International Irish St. Leger (Group 1) Curragh · Sep 2019 · Group 1

£342,000

Tahiyra (IRE) — Coronation Stakes (Fillies' Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Rnd) Ascot · Jun 2023 · Group 1

£340,260

Ezeliya (FR) — Betfred Oaks (Fillies' Group 1) (British Champions Series) Epsom Downs · May 2024 · Group 1

£311,905

Notable horses

Solo Performer (IRE) Count Of Carabass (IRE) Panama Hat (GB) Sruthan (IRE) Awtaad (IRE) Tahiyra (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lope De Vega (IRE) 10.3% · 9–87

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,233 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Profitable (IRE) 6.3% · 5–79

Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,449 runs since 2021 (358 horses).

Frankel (GB) 13.9% · 10–72

Progeny have won 18% of 7,544 runs since 2016 (882 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 5.9% · 4–68

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,987 runs since 2013 (1,118 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 459. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Elzaam (AUS) 7.9% · 5–63

Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,531 runs since 2016 (374 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.2% from 328.

Kingman (GB) 16.1% · 10–62

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,532 runs since 2018 (779 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 970. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 122.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 13,115 · newest first

The latest 50 of 13,115 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Polanco (IRE)T: P F O'Donnell BAR 1 Betting Bet Builder Boost Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 7/2

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Oro Blanco (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington BAR 1 Betting '2Up Early Payout' Handicap8f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 4/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Shivling (USA)T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 25/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Emiza (FR)T: D K Weld BAR 1 Betting 'Your First For Football' Maiden5f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 9/2

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Glen Breeze (IRE)T: Patrick Magee Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 10/1

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Creature Of Habit (GB)T: Edward Lynam Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Median Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 33/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Zadawa (FR)T: D K Weld QuinnBet Finale Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Yielding · 12 ran 10th 22/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Footstepstoglory (IRE)T: David Harry Kelly Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 4th 14/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Harana (IRE)T: D K Weld Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 17th 12/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Abbotsford (GB)T: D K Weld QuinnBet Loughbrown Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 16.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 11/2

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Hazdann (IRE)T: D K Weld Ryans Cleaning Race7f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 11/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Magical Vision (IRE)T: Aidan Anthony Howard Mongey Communications Sprint Handicap5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 4th 14/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Adversity (GB)T: Miss Natalia Lupini Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 5th 13/2

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Gavoo (IRE)T: David Marnane Happy Halloween Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 15/2

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Cape Blue Point (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 150/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Mehman (GB)T: P J F Murphy BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 50' Handicap6f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 4/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Yacht Club (IRE)T: Daniel McLoughlin Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 25/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Free Solo (IRE)T: P J F Murphy See You At The GR1 Double Header 21 & 22 November Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)7f · Yielding · 12 ran 10th 10/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Sibaza (IRE)T: D K Weld Premiere Weekend Two-Day Ticket Just €35 Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 7th 16/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Gabby Hayes (IRE)T: Noel Meade Premiere Weekend Race & Dine Packages From €75pp Nursery Handicap7f · Yielding · 6 ran 6th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 6 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 7 runs (won 3) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 1) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Chris Hayes's strike rate?: Chris Hayes has won 271 of 3,325 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Chris Hayes do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 10 wins from 76 rides (13.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Chris Hayes ride most for?: D K Weld, with 989 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 118 (11.9%).
Is Chris Hayes in form?: In the last 14 days: 29 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 10.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.2% since 2022.
What is Chris Hayes's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 3,321 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.