Certainly Elusive (IRE)
Certainly Elusive (IRE) is yet to win from 5 starts.
- 0–5Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −5.00£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=5 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 49Highest OR
- 27dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.7% of 8,419 runs since Jan 2008 (636 horses).
Weakest on soft going: 6.4% from 1,122.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | +18.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 905 | 101 | 11.2% | +1.5 | — |
| Good | 1,463 | 127 | 8.7% | −1 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 898 | 72 | 8% | −1.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 1,122 | 72 | 6.4% | −3.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 327 | 23 | 7% | −2.7 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3,658 | 412 | 11.3% | +1.6 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 998 | 104 | 10.4% | +0.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 4,117 | 437 | 10.6% | +0.9 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,273 | 204 | 9% | −0.7 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 689 | 52 | 7.5% | −2.2 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 210 | 15 | 7.1% | −2.6 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 97 | 6 | 6.2% | −3.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 33 | 2 | 6.1% | −3.6 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −9.7 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walk Right Back (IRE) | 15 | 0 | — | — |
| Glenbuck Lass (IRE) | 14 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Redcar | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P J McDonald | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Andrew Elliott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Garry Whillans | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Sullivan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blinkers | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| None | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug 12+67d | Beverley | Malton Racing Association Open Day Handicap | 7/12 | 6 | 8-7 | 46 | 39C | Andrew Elliott | 14/1 |
| 20 Jun 12+14d | Hamilton | Saints & Sinners Racenight Next Week Handicap | 9/13 | ¾ | 8-10 | 49 | 47A | P J McDonald | 16/1 |
| 06 Jun 12+16d | Ripon | Sis Live Maiden Stakes | 7/10 | 2¼ | 8-11 | — | 51C | P J McDonald | 66/1 |
| 21 May 12+9d | Redcar | Ladies' Day On Saturday 23rd June Median Auction Maiden Stakes | 6/11 | 1¼ | 8-10 | — | 30C | Garry Whillans | 10/1 |
| 12 May 12 | Thirsk | Abf The Soldiers' Charity Maiden Stakes | 10/14 | 2½ | 8-13 | — | 48A | James Sullivan | 40/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Certainly Elusive (IRE) won?
- Certainly Elusive (IRE) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts in 2012.
- Who trained Certainly Elusive (IRE)?
- Certainly Elusive (IRE) was trained by Alan Swinbank on the most recent run on record, at Beverley on 26 August 2012.
- Who is Certainly Elusive (IRE)'s sire?
- Certainly Elusive (IRE) is by Elusive City (USA) out of Certainlei (IRE), whose sire is Definite Article.
- What is Certainly Elusive (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 46, from the run on 26 August 2012. The highest on record is 49.
- What is Certainly Elusive (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Elusive City (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.7% of 8,419 runs since Jan 2008 (636 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on soft going: 6.4% from 1,122.
- Who are Certainly Elusive (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Certainlei (IRE), Certainly Elusive (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.