Confirmation Bias (IRE)
Confirmation Bias (IRE) is 2 from 11. Hasn't won since Mar 2021. Last raced off 112, 8lb below the career-high mark.
- 2–11Wins / Runs
- 18.2%Strike rate
- 6 (54.5%)Placed
- −4.25£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 1.08Fair A/E n=11 · 0.89 incl. margin
- 120Highest OR
- 86dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 111
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 3 | 112B | 75 | — |
| Good | 3 | 111A | 108 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 112B | 108 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 84C | 75 | — |
Of 11 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1) · no standard for this course, surface and code on the window (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11% of 20,050 runs since Jan 2008 (1,686 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 24.3% from 136.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 62 | 13 | 21% | +10 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,240 | 171 | 13.8% | +2.8 | — |
| Good | 7,022 | 840 | 12% | +1 | 1 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 3,503 | 321 | 9.2% | −1.8 | 1 from 4 |
| Soft | 5,327 | 545 | 10.2% | −0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 2,760 | 274 | 9.9% | −1.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 136 | 33 | 24.3% | +13.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −11 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −11 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 62 | 6 | 9.7% | −1.3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4,727 | 517 | 10.9% | −0.1 | 2 from 7 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6,697 | 722 | 10.8% | −0.2 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 6,537 | 742 | 11.4% | +0.4 | — |
| Over 3m | 2,018 | 210 | 10.4% | −0.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them El Bandit (IRE) (7 wins).
The wins came over 1m6f–3m2f; the highest grade won is Grade 2 (El Bandit (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Bandit (IRE) | 15 | 7 | 2m3½f–3m2f | Grade 2 |
| Lleyton (IRE) | 58 | 6 | 1m6f–2m3f | Class 5 |
| Rogue Trader (IRE) | 17 | 5 | 2m–2m6f | — |
| Buck Barrow (IRE) | 6 | 1 | 2m | — |
| The Outlaw (IRE) | 13 | 1 | 2m4½f | Class 4 |
| Bonnie Golightly (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Blackwater (IRE) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.00 |
| Good | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.25 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.25 |
| Class 5 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wincanton | 4 | 2 | 50% | +2.75 |
| Taunton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 2 | 29% | −0.25 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Cobden | 7 | 2 | 29% | −0.25 |
| Lorcan Williams | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bryony Frost | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bryan Carver | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 9 | 1 | 11% | −5.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.75 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2021 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.25 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2019 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.25 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| Chase | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Confirmation Bias won?
- Confirmation Bias (IRE) won 2 of 11 archived starts between 2019 and 2022, a strike rate of 18.2%. Placed 6 times in total (54.5% of starts).
- Who trained Confirmation Bias?
- Confirmation Bias (IRE) was trained by Paul Nicholls on the most recent run on record, at Doncaster on 18 March 2022.
- Who is Confirmation Bias's sire?
- Confirmation Bias (IRE) is by Presenting (GB) out of Bonnie Parker (IRE), whose sire is Un Desperado.
- What going does Confirmation Bias prefer?
- Confirmation Bias (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Confirmation Bias's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 112, from the run on 18 March 2022. The highest on record is 120.
- What is Confirmation Bias's sire's record?
- Presenting (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11% of 20,050 runs since Jan 2008 (1,686 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 24.3% from 136.
- Who are Confirmation Bias's siblings?
- Out of Bonnie Parker (IRE), Confirmation Bias (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: El Bandit (IRE) (7). Highest grade won: Grade 2 (El Bandit (IRE)). The wins came over 1m6f–3m2f. As at Oct 2026.