Horse profile
Could Be Trouble (IRE)
by Yeats (IRE) out of She's No Trouble (IRE) (Zaffaran)
46 runs · 28 courses · from May 2019
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 8 Oct 2025 — 381 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Oct 2025 · 4th of 5
8 wins · 8 courses
Last raced off OR 108
KTB Profile
Could Be Trouble is 8 from 46 on turf, with all wins over 1m5f to 3m. Six of those came at 2m1f to 2m4f, four on good ground and two on good to soft. She won a Class 4 mares handicap hurdle at Haydock in Mar 2025 off an official rating of 108 and finished fourth of five at Sedgefield in Oct 2025 in a Class 4 handicap hurdle. Aged 10 at her last run in Oct 2025, she usually led.
Based on 46 archived runs · run-style from 11 commented runs since Sep 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically led
OR ↓ 17lb off peak
- 8–46Wins / Runs
- 17.4%Strike rate
- 15 (32.6%)Placed
- +4.38£1 level staken=46 at SP
- 1.53Fair A/E n=45 · 1.33 incl. margin
- 125Highest OR
- 52dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating108↓ 17lb off peak
108
105–125
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 121
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 18 | 132A | 102.5 | — |
| Soft | 11 | 115B | 87 | — |
| Good to Soft | 8 | 132A | 101.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 27 | 132A | 94 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 6 | 132A | 104.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 104B | 95.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 123A | 115.5 | — |
Of 46 runs looked at, 7 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (3) · did not complete (2) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 39 figures from 46 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 11 analysed runs since Sep 2024
- Led 9 (82%) · 2 wins
- Prominent 2 (18%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 9,817 runs since Jan 2008 (705 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest at trips beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 0 | 0% | −11.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 222 | 28 | 12.6% | +0.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 3,435 | 476 | 13.9% | +2 | 4 from 20 |
| Good to Soft | 1,958 | 212 | 10.8% | −1.1 | 2 from 11 |
| Soft | 2,839 | 305 | 10.7% | −1.2 | 1 from 13 |
| Heavy | 1,155 | 136 | 11.8% | −0.1 | 1 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 203 | 14 | 6.9% | −5 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 28 | 1 | 3.6% | −8.3 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 86 | 6 | 7% | −4.9 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 263 | 26 | 9.9% | −2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,434 | 274 | 11.3% | −0.6 | 1 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3,285 | 352 | 10.7% | −1.2 | 6 from 30 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2,903 | 387 | 13.3% | +1.4 | 1 from 7 |
| Over 3m | 818 | 125 | 15.3% | +3.4 | 0 from 3 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 24 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
She's No Trouble (IRE) (Zaffaran)
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Hes No Trouble (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 2m–2m4f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Hes No Trouble (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hes No Trouble (IRE) | 13 | 3 | 2m–2m4f | Class 3 |
| Wishes And Stars (IRE) | 18 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 20 | 4 | 20% | +8.38 |
| Soft | 13 | 1 | 8% | −4.50 |
| Good to Soft | 11 | 2 | 18% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 22 | 4 | 18% | +9.50 |
| Class 3 | 10 | 2 | 20% | −3.12 |
| Class 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.50 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| Ayr | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Worcester | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Wetherby | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Musselburgh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Aintree | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Catterick | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.50 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ludlow | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Clonmel | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sedgefield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Hexham | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cartmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.88 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Downpatrick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 30 | 6 | 20% | +10.38 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 7 | 1 | 14% | −0.50 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.50 |
| Over 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Gillard | 19 | 4 | 21% | +9.38 |
| Brian Hughes | 5 | 2 | 40% | +5.00 |
| Charlie Maggs | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| William Maggs | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Abbie McCain | 4 | 1 | 25% | +4.50 |
| Mr Derek O'Connor | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Peter Kavanagh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Miss R Murphy | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.50 |
| Mr B O'Neill | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tommy Brett | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr Seamus Perry | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 12 | 5 | 42% | +8.38 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 11 | 2 | 18% | +12.50 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Tongue tie + visor | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.50 |
| None | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −0.50 |
| 2024 | 9 | 2 | 22% | +14.50 |
| 2023 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2022 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −6.12 |
| 2021 | 7 | 4 | 57% | +10.50 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2019 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 37 | 7 | 19% | +10.50 |
| Chase | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.12 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 08 Oct 25+33d | Sedgefield | Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Hurdle Went straight to the front - lost the advantage and was driven with three to jump - faded quickly two out - came home well beaten in 4th | 4/5 | 14 | 11-13 | 108 | 97C | 97C | Theo Gillard | 8/1 |
| 05 Sep 25+47d | Worcester | Scaffolding MDS Handicap Hurdle Sat close up early - hit front 3rd - stumbled 4 out and lost advantage - sat behind new pacesetter and asked for effort into home turn - lost place 2 out and finished well held in 7th | 7/8 | 5 | 10-12 | 109 | 92A | 100A | Charlie Maggs | 9/1 |
| 20 Jul 25+72d | Stratford | Hiorns Hats Handicap Hurdle Went straight to front hugging rail - deposed three out - kept tabs on eventual winner - pressed for effort at home turn - lost momentum through closing stages to finish second | 2/8 | 17 | 11-4 | 110 | 85A | 115B | Theo Gillard | 11/1 |
| 09 May 25+22d | Hereford | DragonBet Oncourse Values Online Mares' Handicap Hurdle Sent clear early - lost front spot after 3rd - held second spot until pace kicked clear from 8th - blundered 3 out and faded to finish third | 3/4 | 8 | 11-12 | 111 | 108C | 101C | Theo Gillard | 11/2 |
| 17 Apr 25+29d | Cheltenham | Catesby Estates Mares' Challenger Series Final Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Went in front after the opening fence - lost the advantage before two out - dropped away steadily on the run-in | 9/16 | nk | 10-6 | 112 | 121B | 112A | Brian Hughes | 33/1 |
| 19 Mar 25+21d | Haydock | Le Willows Mares' Handicap Hurdle Set the pace from the off - fenced cleanly the whole way - kicked on to open a big gap approaching 3 out - edged back in a bit before the last - driven out to re-establish the advantage on the run-in and score comfortably | 1/5 | 11-13 | 108 | 131C | 126B | Theo Gillard | 11/2 | |
| 26 Feb 25+89d | Wetherby | Racing TV For The Cheltenham Festival Mares' Handicap Hurdle Set the pace early before settling just behind - regained the front at the 7th - overtaken shortly after - lost touch approaching 3 out and well held at the finish | 9/10 | 13 | 11-6 | 109 | 60C | 102C | William Maggs | 25/1 |
| 2024 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 29 Nov 24+31d | Musselburgh | Musselburgh Racecourse Premium Annual Membership Mares' Handicap Hurdle In front and two lengths to the good 3 out - challenged for the advantage and still marginally ahead 2 out - soon overtaken and in pursuit of the front pair - one-paced on the run-in and third | 3/10 | 5 | 11-4 | 109 | 132A | 123A | Theo Gillard | 22/1 |
| 29 Oct 24+25d | Bangor-on-Dee | Wrexham Business & Community Awards Mares' Handicap Hurdle Shared front spot early - went clear before the 3rd - hit an awkward one 3 out - pressed and lost the advantage soon after - slipped to 4th by 2 out and faded approaching the last | 4/7 | 18 | 11-3 | 109 | 79A | 103B | Theo Gillard | 10/1 |
| 04 Oct 24+23d | Hexham | equestrianeye.com For All Things Equine Mares' Handicap Hurdle Set the pace from the start - stumbled slightly at the final obstacle - kept finding more under pressure to hold on | 1/7 | 11-9 | 105 | 102A | 123A | Theo Gillard | 14/1 | |
| 11 Sep 24+89d | Worcester | FBC Manby Bowdler Handicap Hurdle Held up handy early - dropped back around the 7th - urged on but weakened before the following fence - eventually beaten a long way in 8th | 8/13 | 12 | 11-0 | 107 | 84C | 95C | Charlie Maggs | 14/1 |
| 14 Jun 24+28d | Market Rasen | Block Free Services Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle | 5/11 | 3½ | 11-10 | 109 | 103B | 110A | Abbie McCain | 12/1 |
| 17 May 24+42d | Aintree | HA Civils Franny Blennerhassett Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 6/14 | 1¾ | 11-0 | 111 | — | 111A | Abbie McCain | 25/1 |
| 05 Apr 24+38d | Musselburgh | Go North Lady Buttons Mares' Hurdle Series Final (Handicap Hurdle) (GBB Race) | 12/12 | 10 | 11-0 | 112 | 81C | 89C | Abbie McCain | 10/1 |
| 27 Feb 24+48d | Catterick | Racing To School Female Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle | 1/11 | 11-9 | 105 | 115B | 130A | Abbie McCain | 15/2 | |
| 10 Jan 24+15d | Doncaster | Watch Off The Fence On attheraces.com Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 4/7 | 7 | 11-0 | 107 | 94C | 97C | Charlie Maggs | 9/2 |
| 2023 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 23+32d | Aintree | William Hill Double Your Odds Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 3/9 | 19 | 10-9 | 108 | 111A | 101A | Charlie Maggs | 17/2 |
| 24 Nov 23+52d | Catterick | Racing To School Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle | 2/7 | 1½ | 10-10 | 108 | — | 119B | William Maggs | 16/5F |
| 03 Oct 23+129d | Southwell | Sponsorship Branding At signsolutions.org Handicap Hurdle | 3/6 | 2¼ | 11-8 | 108 | 106A | 112B | Theo Gillard | 5/1 |
| 27 May 23+37d | Cartmel | Oakmere Homes Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 5/6 | 1¾ | 12-0 | 110 | 123A | 105B | Theo Gillard | 11/2 |
| 20 Apr 23+19d | Cheltenham | NAF Challenger Series Mares' Hurdle Final Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 5/17 | 2 | 10-13 | 112 | 121B | 125A | Theo Gillard | 66/1 |
| 01 Apr 23+39d | Uttoxeter | Bruce White Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 5/5 | 28 | 11-11 | 116 | 78C | 99C | Theo Gillard | 7/1 |
| 21 Feb 23+24d | Market Rasen | Follow Us On Twitter At BetRhino Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 4/6 | 4 | 11-9 | 118 | 114A | 120B | Theo Gillard | 11/1 |
| 28 Jan 23+33d | Doncaster | Happy 60th Birthday Neil Young Handicap Hurdle (Div 1) | 4/9 | 7 | 11-5 | 121 | 92A | 111A | William Maggs | 14/1 |
| 2022 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 22+47d | Wetherby | William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle | F/9 | — | 10-11 | 122 | — | — | William Maggs | 25/1 |
| 09 Nov 22+116d | Ayr | Virgin Bet Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 3/5 | 5 | 11-10 | 121 | 93C | 113B | Peter Kavanagh | 11/4 |
| 16 Jul 22+31d | Market Rasen | Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 4/7 | 8 | 10-12 | 121 | 132A | 110A | Theo Gillard | 17/2 |
| 15 Jun 22+22d | Uttoxeter | Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 3/3 | 1¼ | 11-1 | 122 | — | 108C | Theo Gillard | 13/8 |
| 24 May 22+17d | Bangor-on-Dee | eclipse-marketing.uk Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 2/4 | 4 | 11-7 | 122 | 115C | 131B | Theo Gillard | 7/4 |
| 07 May 22+35d | Warwick | Peter Elvis Allsopp Heavenly Birthday Mares' Novices' Chase (GBB Race) | 1/5 | 10-11 | 122 | 58C | 112B | Theo Gillard | 15/8 | |
| 02 Apr 22+30d | Ayr | Trump Turnberry 'Hands & Heels' Finale Handicap Hurdle (Conditional/Amateur) | 2/10 | 1 | 11-9 | 121 | 110A | 139A | Peter Kavanagh | 15/2 |
| 03 Mar 22+22d | Ludlow | George Rickards 30th Birthday Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 2/6 | 7½ | 11-7 | 122 | 115A | 123B | Theo Gillard | 9/1 |
| 09 Feb 22+67d | Ludlow | Suzuki ATV Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 3/6 | 1¼ | 11-1 | 123 | 94A | 115B | Theo Gillard | 10/1 |
| 2021 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Dec 21+24d | Sandown | Racing Is Everyone's Sport Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 10/12 | 22 | 11-9 | 125 | 53C | 100C | Brian Hughes | 16/1 |
| 10 Nov 21+15d | Bangor-on-Dee | Yorton Stallions Mares' Novices' Chase (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) (GBB Race) | PU/8 | — | 11-0 | 125 | — | — | Brian Hughes | 5/1 |
| 26 Oct 21+149d | Bangor-on-Dee | Yorton Stud Mares' Handicap Hurdle | 1/9 | 11-12 | 120 | 109A | 141A | Brian Hughes | 4/1 | |
| 30 May 21+26d | Uttoxeter | Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/11 | 11-3 | 122 | 92A | 118A | Theo Gillard | 3/1 | |
| 04 May 21+53d | Ayr | Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/9 | 11-6 | — | 82A | 120B | Brian Hughes | 4/1 | |
| 12 Mar 21+11d | Gowran Park | Best Of Luck To The Irish At Cheltenham Mares Maiden Hurdle | 1/16 | 11-2 | — | 104B | 122A | Miss R Murphy | 5/2 | |
| 01 Mar 21+220d | Punchestown | Moate Field Mares Maiden Hurdle | 5/16 | ¾ | 10-8 | — | 83B | 109A | Miss R Murphy | 200/1 |
| 2020 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 24 Jul 20+9d | Cork | Fermoy Fillies Flat Race | 11/13 | 11 | 11-9 | — | 87C | 90C | Mr B O'Neill | 33/1 |
| 15 Jul 20+286d | Downpatrick | Toals Dial-A-Bet On 02890 321 721 Mares Maiden Hurdle | 9/12 | 4¼ | 11-2 | — | 42C | 78C | Tommy Brett | 18/1 |
| 2019 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 03 Oct 19+23d | Clonmel | Clonmel Flat Race | 7/11 | 2¼ | 11-3 | — | 89A | 88A | Mr Derek O'Connor | 3/1 |
| 10 Sep 19+14d | Listowel | Kerry Petroleum Flat Race | 5/16 | ½ | 10-7 | — | — | 54A | Mr Seamus Perry | 25/1 |
| 27 Aug 19+103d | Ballinrobe | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Flat Race | 4/8 | 4½ | 11-5 | — | — | 67B | Mr Derek O'Connor | 4/1 |
| 16 May 19 | Clonmel | Friday June 7th BBQ At Clonmel Races Mares Flat Race | 3/10 | 1¾ | 11-1 | — | 102A | 113A | Mr Derek O'Connor | 10/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Could Be Trouble won?
- Could Be Trouble (IRE) won 8 of 46 archived starts between 2019 and 2025, a strike rate of 17.4%. Placed 15 times in total (32.6% of starts).
- Who trained Could Be Trouble?
- Could Be Trouble (IRE) was trained by Donald McCain on the most recent run on record, at Sedgefield on 8 October 2025.
- Who is Could Be Trouble's sire?
- Could Be Trouble (IRE) is by Yeats (IRE) out of She's No Trouble (IRE), whose sire is Zaffaran.
- What going does Could Be Trouble prefer?
- Could Be Trouble (IRE) has the best record on good going: 4 wins from 20 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Could Be Trouble's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 108, from the run on 8 October 2025. The highest on record is 125.
- What is Could Be Trouble's sire's record?
- Yeats (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 9,817 runs since Jan 2008 (705 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest at trips beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.
- Who are Could Be Trouble's siblings?
- Out of She's No Trouble (IRE), Could Be Trouble (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Hes No Trouble (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Hes No Trouble (IRE)). The wins came over 2m–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.