Dawn Coming (IRE)
Dawn Coming is a maiden who has placed seven times from 13 starts on turf. His best effort came when second of 12 at Thurles in Jan 2026. Typically held up, he was the beaten favourite when last seen at Kilbeggan in Sep 2026 off an official rating of 116. He has raced on good to soft, good, soft and heavy ground.
- 0–13Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 7 (53.8%)Placed
- −13.00£1 level staken=13 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=13 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 119Highest OR
- 36dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 105
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 3 | 121A | 87 | 3 runs · 121 / 87 |
| Soft | 2 | 105B | 90.5 | 2 runs · 105 / 90.5 |
| Good | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 105B | 80 | 4 runs · 105 / 80 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 121A | 104 | 2 runs · 121 / 104 |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 105A | 66 | 1 run · — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 105A | 66 | 1 run · — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 101C | 88 | — |
Of 13 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 13 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 13 analysed runs since Jun 2025
- Prominent 10 (77%) · 0 wins
- Held up 3 (23%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,606 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +8.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 341 | 43 | 12.6% | +1.5 | — |
| Good | 873 | 99 | 11.3% | +0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 435 | 56 | 12.9% | +1.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 697 | 71 | 10.2% | −0.9 | 0 from 5 |
| Heavy | 274 | 25 | 9.1% | −2 | 0 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 981 | 104 | 10.6% | −0.5 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 81 | 7 | 8.6% | −2.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 847 | 95 | 11.2% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,049 | 107 | 10.2% | −0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 788 | 94 | 11.9% | +0.8 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 536 | 71 | 13.2% | +2.1 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 232 | 22 | 9.5% | −1.6 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 63 | 2 | 3.2% | −7.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 10 | 1 | 10% | −1.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Heavy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cork | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Limerick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Curragh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kilbeggan (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thurles | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Byrnes | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Declan McDonogh | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Darragh O'Keeffe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Phillip Enright | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Adam Caffrey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Eoin Staples | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Flanagan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Tongue tie | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Flat | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Sep 26+39d | Kilbeggan (IRE) | WTW Willis Maiden Hurdle Sat close to the pace - under pressure in 3rd approaching 2 out - held that spot with no further progress - came down at the final fence | F/13 | — | 11-10 | 116 | — | — | Philip Byrnes | 1/1F |
| 27 Jul 26+11d | Galway (IRE) | Galmont Hotel & The Galway Bay Hotel Novice Hurdle Held up towards the back of the pack - shaken up and made progress before being severely hampered 2 out - driven in a modest 5th at the last - up to 4th inside the final furlong and ran on | 4/11 | 5½ | 11-0 | 117 | — | 110A | Darragh O'Keeffe | 25/1 |
| 16 Jul 26+27d | Killarney (IRE) | INCO Broking Maiden Hurdle Settled in 6th towards the back of the pack at halfway - made ground out wide before 2 out to move into 4th - up to 3rd before the last and stayed on at an even gallop up the run-in | 3/9 | 2¼ | 10-13 | 118 | 84A | 114A | Phillip Enright | 7/4F |
| 19 Jun 26+92d | Limerick | Racing Again On 2nd July Handicap Settled towards the back - pushed into 6th with 2f left - unable to threaten leaders in 4th and stayed on one gear to finish 4th | 4/8 | 2¼ | 9-7 | 73 | 105A | 75A | Adam Caffrey | 15/2 |
| 19 Mar 26+49d | Cork | Kearney's Coaches Maiden Hurdle Sharing front rank early - lost advantage momentarily after 1st - forged clear again - sketchy at 3rd - surrendered position after 4th - back contesting the pace before 3 out - pressure applied and ousted before 2 out where also untidy - nothing more to offer on the run-in and finished 3rd | 3/14 | ½ | 11-7 | 119 | 76B | 123A | Philip Byrnes | 10/11F |
| 29 Jan 26+26d | Thurles | Thurles Maiden Hurdle Sat close to front group early - 4th at halfway then driven up to 2nd at the last - unable to challenge winner and stayed on same gait to finish 2nd | 2/12 | 9 | 10-8 | — | 121A | 125A | Eoin Staples | 6/1 |
| 03 Jan 26+8d | Cork | Happy New Year From All At Cork Maiden Hurdle Sat behind front group early - third at halfway - moved into second after 3 out then pressed for effort with little response - stayed on same gear to the finish for 2nd | 2/17 | 4¾ | 10-13 | — | 105B | 112A | Philip Byrnes | 11/4 |
| 2025 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 25+19d | Limerick | Aqua Process Solutions At Limerick 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle Sat close to the front group early - 6th at halfway - driven with no gain approaching 2 out - held on for third but one-paced late | 3/11 | 2¾ | 11-0 | — | 87A | 117A | Sean Flanagan | 10/1 |
| 07 Dec 25+49d | Cork | BAR 1 Betting 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle Sat behind the front group early - 5th at halfway - improved into the straight - 4th and driven after two out - up to 3rd at the last and stayed on same rate to finish third | 3/11 | 1 | 11-0 | — | 30B | 120A | Philip Byrnes | 28/1 |
| 19 Oct 25+6d | Leopardstown | Fruit Shoot Maiden Sat close to the front group early - third at halfway - driven on entering the straight - fourth a furlong out and unable to find more | 6/13 | 5 | 9-8 | 75 | 75C | 73A | Declan McDonogh | 11/1 |
| 13 Oct 25+16d | Roscommon | Gary's Gardening Services Maiden Away in good order and sat behind the front group - 5th at halfway - into 6th and asked for more entering the straight without gaining ground 1 1/2f out - stayed on at one speed to finish 4th | 4/11 | 2¾ | 9-8 | — | 62A | 66A | Declan McDonogh | 9/2 |
| 27 Sep 25+92d | Curragh | Fitzpatrick's Mercedes-Benz Maiden (Div 1) Sat close to the pace early travelling keenly - third at halfway - dropped to 6th and asked for effort over 2f out - unable to find more inside the final furlong - faded to finish 11th | 11/17 | ¾ | 9-8 | — | 66C | 56A | Declan McDonogh | 13/2 |
| 27 Jun 25 | Curragh | Silken Thomas Kildare Town Irish European Breeders Fund Median Auction Maiden Travelled keenly close up early - second at the midpoint before slipping to third and driven approaching final 2f - stayed on at one gait to finish third | 3/14 | 1¼ | 9-8 | — | 101C | 85A | Declan McDonogh | 18/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Dawn Coming won?
- Dawn Coming (IRE) has yet to win, from 13 archived starts between 2025 and 2026. Placed 7 times in total (53.8% of starts).
- Who trains Dawn Coming?
- Dawn Coming (IRE) is trained by C Byrnes, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 4 September 2026.
- Who is Dawn Coming's sire?
- Dawn Coming (IRE) is by Make Believe (GB) out of Come At Dawn (IRE), whose sire is Dawn Approach.
- What is Dawn Coming's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 116, from the run on 4 September 2026. The highest on record is 119.
- What is Dawn Coming's sire's record?
- Make Believe (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,606 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses), Flat and jumps together.