What is Darragh O'Keeffe's strike rate?

Darragh O'Keeffe has won 320 of 3,009 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Darragh O'Keeffe do best at?

Wexford by strike rate: 32 wins from 199 rides (16.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Darragh O'Keeffe ride most for?

Henry De Bromhead, with 929 rides since 2022 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 152 (16.4%).

Is Darragh O'Keeffe in form?

In the last 14 days: 34 rides, 7 winners, a strike rate of 20.6%. That is above the baseline of 10.6% since 2022.

What is Darragh O'Keeffe's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 3,008 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Darragh O'Keeffe

3,009 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,159 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 7 winners last 14 days Last ride 2 days ago 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2022

320–3,009

Wins / Runs

10.6%

Strike rate

n=3,009

930 (31%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=3,008 · 0.81 incl. margin

−723.12

£1 level stake

n=3,009 at SP · −24.0%

£7.29m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 600 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (287 rides). The rider is in form now — 7 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,009 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov Fresh horses: 11.9% 31.5% when favourite Henry De Bromhead: 16.4% from 929 LTO winners: 14.6% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wexford (16.1%, n=199), clear of the rider's 10.6% baseline. It is weakest at Bellewstown (0% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.6% (n=287, Fair A/E 0.90). Right now the rider is firing: 7 winners from 34 rides in the last 14 days (20.6%, 10pts above the 10.6% baseline). Henry De Bromhead supplies 31% of the rides and beats the rider's average (16.4% vs 10.6%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. 52 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ryanair Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2026, £211,425). The standout partner of the record: Solitary Man (IRE) — 5 wins from 16 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.1%−1.5

n=1,026 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −342.28

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.6%+4.0

n=287 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −97.42

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.9%+1.3

n=765 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −231.54

When favourite

31.5%

n=317 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −70.59

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.7%−2.9

n=1,394 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −368.32

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.9%−0.7

n=413 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −65.82

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Henry De Bromhead 16.4% vs 10.6% · n=929

At Bellewstown 0% vs 10.6% · n=35

With E Bolger 18.6% vs 10.6% · n=43

At Wexford 16.1% vs 10.6% · n=199

With W J Burke 4.1% vs 10.6% · n=73

At Leopardstown 4.5% vs 10.6% · n=89

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,993 189 9.5% −548.45

Chase 997 131 13.1% −155.67

Flat 16 0 0% −16.00

NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 1,076 95 8.8% −363.02

Good 830 115 13.9% −24.94

Good to Soft 658 71 10.8% −212.57

Heavy 442 39 8.8% −119.59

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 291 27 9.3% −121.85

Wexford 199 32 16.1% −60.43

Fairyhouse 196 22 11.2% +78.82

Tramore 193 26 13.5% −62.71

Limerick 160 16 10% −45.81

Killarney 141 21 14.9% −47.15

Clonmel 138 16 11.6% −33.98

Navan 135 9 6.7% −64.30

Thurles 134 19 14.2% +95.52

Cork 132 17 12.9% −52.82

Kilbeggan 127 17 13.4% +11.13

Ballinrobe 119 13 10.9% −48.00

Listowel 115 9 7.8% −44.96

Galway 109 7 6.4% −66.05

Naas 102 5 4.9% −80.60

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 441 43 9.8% −58.82

Class 2 26 3 11.5% +3.50

Class 3 10 1 10% +1.00

Class 4 8 2 25% −2.71

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 378 112 29.6% 1.00 −87.13

2nd–3rd fav 737 120 16.3% 1.02 −107.49

4th–6th fav 847 54 6.4% 0.86 −220.50

7th+ in betting 1,047 34 3.2% 1.06 −308.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

90.3% completed · 2,990 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 997 86.6% 41 8 80 4 1

Hurdle 1,993 92.2% 18 9 124 1 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Whatsavailable (IRE) 21 3 8 5 Jul 25

Mr Saxobeat (IRE) 20 0 6 8 Sep 25

Must Be Obeyed (IRE) 20 3 5 3 Aug 25

Listentillitellyea (IRE) 19 1 9 31 Dec 24

French Dynamite (FR) 18 2 5 7 Sep 26

Added Bonus (IRE) 18 2 4 10 Apr 25

Crowsatedappletart (IRE) 17 2 7 18 Oct 26

Indiana Jones (FR) 17 2 3 23 Nov 25

Solitary Man (IRE) 16 5 10 18 Jul 25

Gorgeous Tom (IRE) 15 5 9 14 Oct 26

Bowgate Street (IRE) 15 0 6 6 Oct 26

Jasko Des Dames (FR) 14 2 7 11 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,159 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

7 from 34 20.6% · +10.0pts vs baseline

Last 14 days20.6%

5-season base10.6%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

8109101271111815147

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardHenry De Bromhead

31% of all rides
16.4% SR · A/E 1.01

TrainerRWSR£1

Henry De Bromhead 929 152 16.4% −107.38

Thomas Gibney 286 20 7% −158.75

M F Morris 102 12 11.8% −42.22

David Kenneth Budds 78 5 6.4% −25.50

P J Rothwell 77 9 11.7% −12.75

Brendan Maurice Walsh 74 7 9.5% −35.09

W J Burke 73 3 4.1% −47.00

Andrew McNamara 57 5 8.8% +65.00

Paul O'Flynn 47 4 8.5% −29.50

D M Christie 46 7 15.2% −0.92

Ross O'Sullivan 46 4 8.7% −17.50

E J O'Grady 45 4 8.9% −30.17

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

476

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£9.85m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 87 wins

Heart Wood (FR) — Ryanair Chase (Registered As The Festival Trophy) (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2026 · Grade 1

£211,425

Bob Olinger (IRE) — Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2026 · Grade 1

£176,700

Hiddenvalley Lake (IRE) — Ivy Liverpool Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2025 · Grade 1

£140,353

Notable horses

Solitary Man (IRE) Gorgeous Tom (IRE) Velvet Elvis (IRE) Shumaker (IRE) Mon Storm (IRE) Heart Wood (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 12.4% · 17–137

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,929 runs since 2008 (688 horses).

Mahler (GB) 12.8% · 12–94

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Yeats (IRE) 10.1% · 9–89

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.

Champs Elysees (GB) 22.2% · 18–81

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,118 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 9.1% · 6–66

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,811 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Shirocco (GER) 6.2% · 4–65

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,161 runs since 2008 (920 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,649 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,649 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 March 2017 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Echoing Silence (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 3rd 4/9F

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Zurich (FR)T: Henry de Bromhead STL Logistics Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 5th 3/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Anyway (GER)T: David Kenneth Budds BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran F 9/2J

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Crowsatedappletart (IRE)T: M Winters Limerick Show Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 6th 14/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Global Submission (GB)T: Henry de Bromhead Irish Wire Products (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 11/10F

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Brickfield Belle (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead PwC Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 2nd 4/7F

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Blackwater Soldier (IRE)T: David Richard Barry Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div II)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 13th 11/2

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Silent Flight (IRE)T: Philip M Byrne Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div I)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 11th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Individualism (GB)T: E McNamara Master Chefs Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 9th 20/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Tountinna (IRE)T: Maike Magnussen Master Chefs Novice Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 21.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 1st 10/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Majestic Force (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cailin Alainn Mares Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 23.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 5th 9/2

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Lyrical Park (IRE)T: G. O'Leary #Thisisracing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 8th 9/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Trubshaw (GB)T: Henry de Bromhead Follow Us On Instagram Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding · 16 ran 5th 7/2

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Gorgeous Tom (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Matchbook Betting Exchange Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 23f · Good · 4 ran 1st 4/6F

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) The Dotski (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Matchbook Betting Exchange Mares Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 1/1F

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Whisky Lads (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 3/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Rich Treasure (IRE)T: A D Leahy Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle19f · Good · 6 ran 5th 5/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Pat O's Rock (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran 1st 7/4

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Latopix (FR)T: Henry de Bromhead William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran PU 18/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Sea Of Dubka (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead William Hill Challenge Series 3-Y-O Hurdle16f · Good · 9 ran 1st 2/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Darragh O'Keeffe's strike rate?: Darragh O'Keeffe has won 320 of 3,009 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Darragh O'Keeffe do best at?: Wexford by strike rate: 32 wins from 199 rides (16.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Darragh O'Keeffe ride most for?: Henry De Bromhead, with 929 rides since 2022 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 152 (16.4%).
Is Darragh O'Keeffe in form?: In the last 14 days: 34 rides, 7 winners, a strike rate of 20.6%. That is above the baseline of 10.6% since 2022.
What is Darragh O'Keeffe's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 3,008 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.