Horse profile
Don Rafael (IRE)
by Always Dreaming (USA) out of Palinodie (FR) (Doctor Dino)
18 runs · 12 courses · from Nov 2023
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won last time out
4 wins · Hereford & Stratford
Last run 18 Mar 2026 · 1st of 7
Last raced off OR 103
KTB Profile
Don Rafael is a gelding who has won four of 18 starts on turf. All four wins came in handicap or maiden hurdles, three of them at Hereford and one at Stratford, with three on good ground and one on good to soft. He won last time out when leading to take the Hereford Bull Trail Launch 2026 Handicap Hurdle over 3m in March 2026 off an official rating of 103. He had previously won twice over 2m1f to 2m4f at Hereford.
Based on 18 archived runs · run-style from 12 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
- 4–18Wins / Runs
- 22.2%Strike rate
- 7 (38.9%)Placed
- −2.42£1 level staken=18 at SP
- 1.42Fair A/E n=18 · 1.22 incl. margin
- 107Highest OR
- 50dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating103↓ 4lb off peak
103
102–107
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 127
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 12 | 128B | 110.5 | 2 runs · 127 / 120.5 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 112B | 99 | 1 run · — |
| Heavy | 2 | 113A | 96 | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 8 | 115C | 112 | 3 runs · 114 / 113 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 128B | 99 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 18 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 17 figures from 18 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 12 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 6 (50%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 5 (42%) · 2 wins
- Held up 1 (8%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Always Dreaming (USA)
Progeny in our archive have won 21.1% of 19 runs since Jan 2008 (2 horses). A small sample.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 12 | 3 | 25% | +3.9 | 3 from 12 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | +12.2 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −21.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −21.1 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −21.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −21.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | −6.8 | 1 from 7 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | +1.1 | 2 from 9 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −21.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 1 | 1 | 100% | +78.9 | 1 from 1 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Graecia (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 7f–2m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Graecia (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graecia (IRE) | 23 | 2 | 7f–2m | Class 4 |
| Calcifer (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 12 | 3 | 25% | +0.08 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.50 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 12 | 2 | 17% | −3.67 |
| Class 5 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +3.25 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | 6 | 3 | 50% | +5.25 |
| Stratford | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.33 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 9 | 2 | 22% | −1.75 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 1 | 14% | −2.67 |
| Over 3m | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bowen | 5 | 1 | 20% | −0.67 |
| Daire McConville | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.50 |
| Benjamin Macey | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| Freddie Keighley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Oscar Palmer | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Harry Atkins | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Adam Wedge | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Tudor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| 2025 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.25 |
| 2024 | 10 | 2 | 20% | −2.17 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 15 | 4 | 27% | +0.58 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Mar 26+35d | Hereford | Hereford Bull Trail Launch 2026 Handicap Hurdle Settled in the pack early - improved into third by the 8th - lost touch briefly after 3 out - rallied to the last and surged in front on the line | 1/7 | 10-11 | 103 | 127A | 117B | Benjamin Macey | 3/1F | |
| 11 Feb 26+59d | Hereford | Green Dragon Hotel Hereford Handicap Hurdle Settled in the pack early - improved into contention two out - stayed on through the finish but unable to match the front two after the last | 3/7 | 11 | 10-8 | 104 | 113A | 109B | Benjamin Macey | 13/2 |
| 2025 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Dec 25+41d | Southwell | Grace & Dotty Country Clothing Handicap Hurdle Settled mid-pack early - within range of front group by the 5th - well placed after three out - urged forward approaching two out - lost ground soon after - kept plugging on from the last to finish third | 3/7 | 4½ | 10-11 | 104 | 112B | 109B | Benjamin Macey | 11/2 |
| 03 Nov 25+176d | Hereford | BetWright Bet The Wright Way 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditional & Amateur Jockeys) Settled midpack early - stumbled at 1st - shook up to join front group after 4th - edged in front 4 out - driven out with 2f left - handed back in front soon after - trailed clear-cut in second when handed the advantage at last - drifted approaching the line but rallied under pressure to score | 1/9 | 11-13 | 104 | 114A | 121B | Oscar Palmer | 11/4F | |
| 11 May 25+29d | Plumpton | J H Builders Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Settled second early - dropped back a place before two out - pressed for effort approaching that point - stayed on but unable to match front two after the last | 3/5 | 5 | 10-5 | 105 | 115C | 104B | Freddie Keighley | 11/4 |
| 12 Apr 25+34d | Bangor-on-Dee | Pentraeth Subaru Handicap Hurdle Sat close to the front pack - pushed along before 2 out - hampered when a rival came down 2 out and unable to respond - soon well held | 6/10 | 5½ | 11-3 | 106 | 112C | 99C | Daire McConville | 4/1J |
| 09 Mar 25+79d | Warwick | Barbers Flooring Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Wide early behind the pace - up to second then back to fourth - hit front three out - driven and overtaken straightening for home - eased back again before two out - found little and beaten in the closing stages | 4/7 | 1½ | 11-1 | 107 | 97A | 121A | Daire McConville | 6/1 |
| 2024 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 20 Dec 24+23d | Ascot | Howden Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Settled in midfield - improved into contention 4 out - urged forward and in touch with front group at the home turn - lost ground 2 out to finish ninth | 9/13 | 2 | 10-0 | 107 | 94B | 102A | Daire McConville | 14/1 |
| 27 Nov 24+23d | Hereford | HCD Ltd Handicap Hurdle Up with the early pace - jumped awkwardly at the 4th - pressed the front before 4 out - hit the front after 3 out - driven after 2 out and gradually pulled and forged ahead - kept on strongly to win with authority | 1/9 | 11-5 | 102 | 99B | 121B | Daire McConville | 5/2 | |
| 04 Nov 24+58d | Hereford | Join The Hereford Racing Club 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditional & Amateur Jockeys) Restrained at the back - pulled hard early - moved up smoothly to challenge 3 out and hit the front approaching the following fence - soon under pressure when caught - lost advantage before the last - stuck on through the run-in - just found the front pair too strong | 3/7 | 3¾ | 11-6 | 103 | 103B | 110B | Freddie Keighley | 3/1 |
| 07 Sep 24+21d | Stratford | Power Utilities Group Handicap Hurdle Settled in 3rd early - moved up behind pace after 4 out - went ahead on the home turn but soon under pressure - overtaken before the last and lost out when faltering at the final flight | 2/9 | 8 | 11-4 | 102 | 128B | 125A | Sean Bowen | 11/4 |
| 17 Aug 24+34d | Market Rasen | C&L Fairburn Property Development Handicap Hurdle Sat behind the front group - moved to front before 2 out - pressed and lost advantage at 2 out - dropped to 3rd on the run-in | 3/13 | 1½ | 11-9 | 102 | 105C | 122A | Sean Bowen | 9/2F |
| 14 Jul 24+29d | Stratford | Jebbo Becomes A Septuagenarian 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/12 | 11-0 | — | 99A | 123A | Sean Bowen | 10/3 | |
| 15 Jun 24+22d | Uttoxeter | Cannock Chemicals Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) | 2/9 | 2½ | 10-12 | — | 112A | 115A | Sean Bowen | 7/2 |
| 24 May 24+30d | Hereford | Daily Racing Specials At PlanetSportBet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 6/14 | 9½ | 10-12 | — | 91B | 96A | Sean Bowen | 7/1 |
| 24 Apr 24+114d | Ludlow | 1985 Lager Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 6/16 | nk | 10-2 | — | 109B | 104A | Harry Atkins | 16/1 |
| 01 Jan 24+51d | Cheltenham | Family Fun 'Junior' NH Flat Race (Standard Open NH Flat Race) (Listed) (GBB Race) | 10/11 | 1½ | 11-0 | — | 79A | 107A | Adam Wedge | 33/1 |
| 2023 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 11 Nov 23 | Aintree | BoyleSports Extra Place Races 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 4/8 | 12 | 11-0 | — | — | 107B | Jack Tudor | 11/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Don Rafael won?
- Don Rafael (IRE) won 4 of 18 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 22.2%. Placed 7 times in total (38.9% of starts).
- Who trains Don Rafael?
- Don Rafael (IRE) is trained by Samuel Drinkwater, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 18 March 2026.
- Who is Don Rafael's sire?
- Don Rafael (IRE) is by Always Dreaming (USA) out of Palinodie (FR), whose sire is Doctor Dino.
- What going does Don Rafael prefer?
- Don Rafael (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Don Rafael's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 103, from the run on 18 March 2026. The highest on record is 107.
- What is Don Rafael's sire's record?
- Always Dreaming (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 21.1% of 19 runs since Jan 2008 (2 horses), Flat and jumps together. A small sample.
- Who are Don Rafael's siblings?
- Out of Palinodie (FR), Don Rafael (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Graecia (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Graecia (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–2m. As at Oct 2026.