What is Samuel Drinkwater's strike rate?

Samuel Drinkwater has won 37 of 390 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Who rides most for Samuel Drinkwater?

Robert Dunne, with 116 runners since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (7.8%).

Is Samuel Drinkwater in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Samuel Drinkwater's Fair A/E?

0.78, from 388 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Samuel Drinkwater

390 runners in the last 5 seasons · 52 individual horses

As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago 95% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2022

37–390

Wins / Runs

9.5%

Strike rate

n=390

105 (27%)

Placed

0.78

Fair A/E

n=388 · 0.69 incl. margin

−157.27

£1 level stake

n=390 at SP · −40.3%

£473k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.78).

Deterministic profile computed from 390 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 26 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov 35.3% when favourite Robert Dunne: 7.8% from 116 Claiming riders: 9.9% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 7.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −65.30 to a £1 stake over 118 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Robert Dunne rides 30% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.8%, A/E 0.71). The yard also reads well in Chase races (18.9%, n=74) and in Class 3 (16%, n=50). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 34 runners, 9.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.51 across 60 runners (5% strike, −47.05 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Gallic Geordie (GB) — 7 wins from 30 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.6%−1.9

n=118 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −65.30

New recruits · first run for the yard

17.6%+8.1

n=17 · A/E 1.60 · £1 −3.25

Debutants · first career start

5.6%−3.9

n=18 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −14.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.8%−4.7

n=21 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −15.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.7%+1.2

n=28 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −5.00

When favourite

35.3%

n=34 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +4.07

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.9%+0.4

n=141 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −63.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−9.5

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Chase races 18.9% vs 9.5% · n=74

In NH Flat races 0% vs 9.5% · n=34

With C&D winners 16.7% vs 9.5% · n=36

In Class 3 16% vs 9.5% · n=50

With a new jockey booking 13.3% vs 9.5% · n=158

Off a 61-180-day break 5% vs 9.5% · n=60

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 261 22 8.4% −140.54

Chase 74 14 18.9% +34.07

NH Flat 34 0 0% −34.00

Flat 21 1 4.8% −16.80

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 133 14 10.5% −59.96

Soft 101 9 8.9% −58.17

Good to Soft 96 10 10.4% −4.84

Heavy 37 3 8.1% −15.50

Standard (AW) 20 1 5% −15.80

Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 22 2 9.1% −6.00

Cheltenham 21 0 0% −21.00

Chepstow 20 2 10% −14.84

Newbury 19 4 21.1% +6.33

Hereford 17 3 17.6% −2.25

Lingfield 16 3 18.8% +11.33

Taunton 16 2 12.5% −3.00

Worcester 15 0 0% −15.00

Ffos Las 15 2 13.3% −7.25

Wetherby 14 3 21.4% +2.83

Fakenham 13 3 23.1% +34.63

Fontwell 12 3 25% −3.00

Sedgefield 12 1 8.3% −7.00

Market Rasen 11 0 0% −11.00

Stratford 10 1 10% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 161 12 7.5% −100.29

Class 4 126 14 11.1% −53.92

Class 3 50 8 16% −1.26

Class 2 28 2 7.1% +19.00

Class 6 17 1 5.9% −12.80

Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 40 12 30% 0.98 −1.93

2nd–3rd fav 107 16 15% 0.81 −29.34

4th–6th fav 143 8 5.6% 0.66 −67.00

7th+ in betting 100 1 1% 0.33 −59.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87.2% completed · 335 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 74 83.8% 2 3 7 0 0

Hurdle 261 88.1% 6 4 18 2 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sawpit Sienna (GB)from Richard J Bandey 32 3 7 1 Apr 26

Belle Montrose (IRE) 22 3 6 21 Oct 26

Spike Jones (GB) 21 4 10 19 Feb 26

Twp Stori (GB)from Nikki Evans 19 2 6 2 Jul 26

Gallic Geordie (GB) 18 3 8 1 Mar 25

Rath Gaul Hill (IRE) 16 5 6 17 Mar 26

Max's Champ (FR) 16 1 2 25 Nov 25

Fontana Ellissi (FR)from Nigel Twiston-Davies 15 1 4 9 Mar 26

Ballybreeze (GB) 14 3 6 11 Apr 26

Parikarma (IRE)from John & Rhys Flint 12 1 4 8 Oct 26

No Rematch (IRE)from Evan Williams 12 1 2 25 May 26

Gentle Fire (GB)then James Evans 12 1 2 2 Oct 23

All 52 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 52 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tom Lacey (3) and Fergal O'Brien (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for James Evans (4) and Declan Queally (2); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

10817590001111116

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Dunne

30% of all rides
7.8% SR · A/E 0.71

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Dunne 116 9 7.8% −58.67

Danny Burton 37 4 10.8% −20.50

Benjamin Macey 32 4 12.5% −2.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

Archived wins

£751k

Prize money

2021

Best season · 14 wins

Belle Montrose (IRE) — Gamble Plant (Norfolk) Ltd Queen Boudicca Series Final Mares' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Fakenham · Jan 2026 · Class 2

£26,015

Tour Des Champs (FR) — Watch Live Racing On Betbright.com Handicap Chase Cheltenham · Jan 2017 · Class 2

£12,512

Rath Gaul Hill (IRE) — Howden Supporting West Berkshire Mencap Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Newbury · Feb 2025 · Class 3

£11,618

Notable horses

Gallic Geordie (GB) Spike Jones (GB) Rath Gaul Hill (IRE) Sawpit Sienna (GB) Russian Service (GB) Belle Montrose (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Blue Bresil (FR) 0% · 0–32

Progeny have won 12.2% of 3,504 runs since 2008 (457 horses).

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 9.4% · 3–32

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,491 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Champs Elysees (GB) 3.8% · 1–26

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,122 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.

Geordieland (FR) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 11.9% of 713 runs since 2008 (71 horses).

Milan (GB) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,855 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Walk In The Park (IRE) 16.7% · 4–24

Progeny have won 13.3% of 6,967 runs since 2008 (691 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 753 · newest first

The latest 50 of 753 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 May 2014 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Carrigmoorna Rowan (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 3/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Belle Montrose (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey BETTING.BET New Betting Sites Handicap Steeple Chase (Fontwell Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 18f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 11/1

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Delilah's Boy (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Sky Sports Racing Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 5th 10/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Farm Assured (GB)J: Benjamin Macey Lsl Racing Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 28/1

08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Park Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 8th 9/2

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Carrigmoorna Rowan (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings Christmas Parties 2026 At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 3/1

14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 27f · Good · 3 ran 3rd 9/4

10 Sep 26 Worcester Jessie Jump Jet (GB)J: Ben Poste CopyBet BOG Now For Doncaster Tomorrow Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 4th 11/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 1st 3/1F

15 Aug 26 Market Rasen Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Oddschecker Free Bets Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 11/2

19 Jul 26 Stratford Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Patrick's 60th Celebration Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 22f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 17/2

15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Jessie Jump Jet (GB)J: Ben Poste QuinnBet Daily Free Bet Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 6th 4/1

12 Jul 26 Perth Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Saints In The Community Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 7th 11/1

02 Jul 26 Perth Twp Stori (GB)J: Benjamin Macey Horizon Parking UK's Leading Parking Company Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 11/1

13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Noble Minds Counselling Services Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 5/1

13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Twp Stori (GB)J: Benjamin Macey moogangetsknighted Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 14/1

12 Jun 26 Market Rasen Jessie Jump Jet (GB)J: Robert Dunne Rase Vets Summer Party Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 13/2

30 May 26 Stratford Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 14/1

28 May 26 Market Rasen Jessie Jump Jet (GB)J: Robert Dunne Summer Plate Ladies Day Book Now Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 7/2

25 May 26 Cartmel No Rematch (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Johnny & Tony Connell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 22f · Good · 10 ran 9th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Samuel Drinkwater's strike rate?: Samuel Drinkwater has won 37 of 390 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Samuel Drinkwater?: Robert Dunne, with 116 runners since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (7.8%).
Is Samuel Drinkwater in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Samuel Drinkwater's Fair A/E?: 0.78, from 388 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.