What is Oscar Palmer's strike rate?

Oscar Palmer has won 17 of 163 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Is Oscar Palmer in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Oscar Palmer's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 162 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Oscar Palmer

163 rides in the last 5 seasons · 95 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 91% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

17–163

Wins / Runs

10.4%

Strike rate

n=163

39 (24%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=162 · 0.93 incl. margin

−32.75

£1 level stake

n=163 at SP · −20.1%

£146k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08). First rides on a horse are a strength: 14% on the first captured pairing (95 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 163 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 11.4% First rides: 13.7%

The read

First rides on a horse have been a positive signal at 13.7% (n=95, Fair A/E 1.49). The rider also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (15.1%, n=53) and on Good to Soft going (14.3%, n=42). The market has also underrated the rider in Class 4: Fair A/E 1.26 across 52 rides (13.5% strike, +2.00 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 7.4% over 94 rides, 3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

13.7%+3.3

n=95 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +0.75

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.4%+11.0

n=14 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +18.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.4%+1.0

n=44 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +4.75

When favourite

27.3%

n=11 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −3.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.2%−1.2

n=152 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −43.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.3%−2.1

n=12 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 2m5f – 3m 15.1% vs 10.4% · n=53

On first rides for the horse 13.7% vs 10.4% · n=95

On Good to Soft going 14.3% vs 10.4% · n=42

In Class 5 7.4% vs 10.4% · n=94

In Class 4 13.5% vs 10.4% · n=52

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 8.2% vs 10.4% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 111 12 10.8% −21.25

Chase 27 2 7.4% −17.50

Flat 15 2 13.3% −5.00

NH Flat 10 1 10% +11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 86 8 9.3% −29.25

Good to Soft 42 6 14.3% +3.50

Soft 17 1 5.9% −7.00

Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Standard (AW) 7 1 14.3% −1.00

Heavy 4 1 25% +8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hereford 11 1 9.1% −7.25

Market Rasen 11 0 0% −11.00

Wincanton 10 0 0% −10.00

Hexham 8 0 0% −8.00

Stratford 8 1 12.5% −0.50

Uttoxeter 8 1 12.5% +11.00

Fontwell 7 0 0% −7.00

Doncaster 7 3 42.9% +10.00

Bangor-on-Dee 6 1 16.7% +2.50

Worcester 6 0 0% −6.00

Southwell 6 0 0% −6.00

Huntingdon 5 0 0% −5.00

Taunton 5 1 20% +2.00

Warwick 4 1 25% +17.00

Wetherby 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 94 7 7.4% −34.75

Class 4 52 7 13.5% +2.00

Class 3 10 1 10% −3.00

Class 6 6 2 33.3% +4.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 14 3 21.4% 0.75 −6.25

2nd–3rd fav 29 6 20.7% 1.22 +1.50

4th–6th fav 64 6 9.4% 1.20 −12.00

7th+ in betting 56 2 3.6% 1.12 −16.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

89.9% completed · 138 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 27 92.6% 0 0 2 0 0

Hurdle 111 89.2% 2 1 9 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Annie Nail (IRE) 6 1 3 2 Nov 26

Porridge (IRE) 6 0 0 13 Oct 26

The Kings Soldier (IRE) 6 0 0 6 Sep 26

Miss Fedora (IRE) 5 1 1 12 Dec 24

Copper Beach (IRE) 4 0 2 5 Jul 26

Blue Bear (GB) 4 0 0 19 May 26

Fidux (FR) 4 1 3 22 Apr 24

It's Maisy (IRE) 3 1 1 12 Nov 26

Ladronne (FR) 3 1 1 31 Oct 26

Born Like Me (FR) 3 0 1 20 Jul 26

Idefix De Ciergues (FR) 3 2 2 8 May 26

Tara Iti (GB) 3 0 0 16 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 95 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 10

Only 10 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1372022001420051214

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith 28 5 17.9% −4.50

Alan King 19 1 5.3% −12.00

Tracey Leeson 18 1 5.6% −14.50

Seamus Mullins 16 1 6.3% −6.00

David Killahena & Graeme McPherson 8 1 12.5% +13.00

Andrew Crook 7 0 0% −7.00

Barry Brennan 7 0 0% −7.00

Richard Phillips 6 0 0% −6.00

Henry Oliver 5 1 20% +2.50

Stuart Coltherd 4 0 0% −4.00

Syd Hosie 4 0 0% −4.00

Joe Tickle 4 0 0% −4.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

£149k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 7 wins

Fidux (FR) — Visit Irish Store Sales With Itm Veterans' Handicap Chase Newbury · Mar 2024 · Class 3

£10,744

Cornish Storm (GB) — Musgrove Park Hospital League Of Friends Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Taunton · Dec 2025 · Class 4

£5,545

Ladronne (FR) — Racing To School Conditional Jockeys' Veterans' Handicap Chase Catterick · Jan 2026 · Class 4

£5,281

Notable horses

Romeo Brown (GB) Idefix De Ciergues (FR) Annie Nail (IRE) Miss Fedora (IRE) Fidux (FR) Ladronne (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,033 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,900 runs since 2013 (687 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Blue Bresil (FR) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,568 runs since 2013 (469 horses).

Casamento (IRE) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,633 runs since 2016 (299 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.

Doyen (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,391 runs since 2009 (607 horses).

Helmet (AUS) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,852 runs since 2016 (351 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 148.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 170 · newest first

The latest 50 of 170 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 December 2018 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Nov 26 Market Rasen It's Maisy (IRE)T: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith PricedUp Boosts And BOG Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 13/2

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Ciel D'azur (IRE)T: Andrew Crook Book Your Christmas Party Here Mares' Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 150/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Ebarayna (GB)T: Henry Oliver Download The Matchbook App Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 9th 80/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle The Paddy Pie (IRE)T: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith Equine Products National Hunt Trainers League Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 7th 40/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Aire Spray (IRE)T: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith Racing At The Heart Of Our Community Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 4th 3/1F

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Captain Bruce (IRE)T: Andrew Crook Green Howards Museum Richmond Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 6th 50/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Zara's Universe (GB)T: Andrew Crook Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 125/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Annie Nail (IRE)T: Tracey Leeson Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 40/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester Some Scope (GB)T: Richard Hobson Copybet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 40/1

31 Oct 26 Wetherby Ladronne (FR)T: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith Position Payout At Bet365 Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 14/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Jeepydoff Meel (FR)T: Lisa Harrison Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 4th 14/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Aire Spray (IRE)T: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith Spooktacular Family Day Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 1st 15/2

24 Oct 26 Kelso Berwick Law (FR)T: Iain Jardine Racingtv/freetrial Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Race (go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier) (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 4 · 22.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 12/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Captain Bruce (IRE)T: Andrew Crook Visit racingtv.com Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 150/1

13 Oct 26 Hereford Porridge (IRE)T: Tracey Leeson Betting.Bet Play Champion Tipster Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 28/1

04 Oct 26 Kelso Lone Star (GB)T: Philip Kirby Join Racing Tv Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 7/2

02 Oct 26 Hexham Time Was (IRE)T: Philip Kirby Martin Bowler Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 4th 14/1

20 Sep 26 Plumpton Porridge (IRE)T: Tracey Leeson Only Horsepower Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 28/1

06 Sep 26 Fontwell The Kings Soldier (IRE)T: Tracey Leeson Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 6 ran 5th 10/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Porridge (IRE)T: Tracey Leeson Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 5th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Oscar Palmer's strike rate?: Oscar Palmer has won 17 of 163 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Oscar Palmer in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Oscar Palmer's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 162 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.