Dun Bay Creek (GB)
Dun Bay Creek won his only race from 29 starts in the Class 4 At The Races Sky 415 Novices Hurdle at Newton Abbot over 2m5f-3m on good ground in Jun 2016. All 29 runs came on turf. He has not won since. The gelding, who raced off an official rating of 64 at his last run at Warwick in Mar 2023, was 54lb below his highest ever mark of 118.
- 1–29Wins / Runs
- 3.4%Strike rate
- 2 (6.9%)Placed
- −20.00£1 level staken=29 at SP
- 1.52Fair A/E n=29 · 1.27 incl. margin
- 118Highest OR
- 48dBetween runs (median)longest 665 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 41
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 112C | 28 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 70C | 54 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 105C | 28 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 112C | 41 | — |
Of 24 runs looked at, 12 have no figure: did not complete (9) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 24 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11% of 6,950 runs since Jan 2008 (521 horses).
Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 43 | 6 | 14% | +3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 977 | 108 | 11.1% | +0.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 1,811 | 176 | 9.7% | −1.3 | 1 from 13 |
| Good to Soft | 909 | 98 | 10.8% | −0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 1,241 | 128 | 10.3% | −0.7 | 0 from 9 |
| Heavy | 492 | 58 | 11.8% | +0.8 | 0 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,477 | 190 | 12.9% | +1.9 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 136 | 23 | 16.9% | +5.9 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,109 | 118 | 10.6% | −0.4 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,139 | 126 | 11.1% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,377 | 164 | 11.9% | +0.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,379 | 140 | 10.2% | −0.8 | 0 from 11 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,006 | 106 | 10.5% | −0.5 | 0 from 13 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 657 | 68 | 10.4% | −0.6 | 1 from 5 |
| Over 3m | 147 | 19 | 12.9% | +1.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Bohemian Birch (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m2f–2m5f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemian Birch (IRE) | 3 | 2 | 2m2f–2m5f | — |
| Over Presented (IRE) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 1 | 8% | −4.00 |
| Soft | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 15 | 0 | 0% | −15.00 |
| Class 4 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +1.00 |
| Class 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warwick | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Worcester | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Leicester | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Ayr | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 1 | 100% | +8.00 |
| Kempton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 13 | 0 | 0% | −13.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 1 | 20% | +4.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Noonan | 16 | 0 | 0% | −16.00 |
| Wayne Hutchinson | 4 | 1 | 25% | +5.00 |
| Ben Poste | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Graham Watters | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Harry Reed | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Patrick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rex Dingle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Bellamy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 19 | 0 | 0% | −19.00 |
| None | 9 | 1 | 11% | +0.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2022 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2020 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2019 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +7.00 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 17 | 0 | 0% | −17.00 |
| Hurdle | 10 | 1 | 10% | −1.00 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Dun Bay Creek won?
- Dun Bay Creek (GB) won 1 of 29 archived starts between 2015 and 2023, a strike rate of 3.4%. Placed 2 times in total (6.9% of starts).
- Who trained Dun Bay Creek?
- Dun Bay Creek (GB) was trained by Roy Brotherton on the most recent run on record, at Warwick on 30 March 2023.
- Who is Dun Bay Creek's sire?
- Dun Bay Creek (GB) is by Dubai Destination (USA) out of Over It (GB), whose sire is Overbury.
- What going does Dun Bay Creek prefer?
- Dun Bay Creek (GB) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 13 starts (7.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Dun Bay Creek's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 64, from the run on 30 March 2023. The highest on record is 118.
- What is Dun Bay Creek's sire's record?
- Dubai Destination (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11% of 6,950 runs since Jan 2008 (521 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
- Who are Dun Bay Creek's siblings?
- Out of Over It (GB), Dun Bay Creek (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Bohemian Birch (IRE) (2). The wins came over 2m2f–2m5f. As at Nov 2026.