El Rio (IRE)
Typically ridden prominently in 4 of 6 analysed runs — El Rio (IRE) is 4 from 15. Hasn't won since Feb 2025. All 4 wins have come over 2m1f – 2m4f.
- 4–15Wins / Runs
- 26.7%Strike rate
- 5 (33.3%)Placed
- +4.50£1 level staken=15 at SP
- 1.75Fair A/E n=15 · 1.51 incl. margin
- 135Highest OR
- 124dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 119
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 6 | 110B | 96.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 119B | 111.5 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 119A | 112 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 8 | 119B | 102 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 110B | 105.5 | — |
Of 15 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: did not complete (4) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 15 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 6 analysed runs since Oct 2024
- Prominent 4 (67%) · 1 win
- Led 2 (33%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 7.7% of 3,131 runs since Jan 2008 (315 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −7.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 117 | 9 | 7.7% | 0 | — |
| Good | 966 | 88 | 9.1% | +1.4 | 2 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 509 | 33 | 6.5% | −1.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 895 | 66 | 7.4% | −0.3 | 2 from 4 |
| Heavy | 394 | 24 | 6.1% | −1.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 248 | 20 | 8.1% | +0.4 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 21 | 0 | 0% | −7.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 208 | 20 | 9.6% | +1.9 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 315 | 28 | 8.9% | +1.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 303 | 15 | 5% | −2.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 980 | 71 | 7.2% | −0.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 853 | 60 | 7% | −0.7 | 4 from 12 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 381 | 40 | 10.5% | +2.8 | 0 from 3 |
| Over 3m | 70 | 6 | 8.6% | +0.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 24 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Cracker Jak (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m5½f–3m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Cracker Jak (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cracker Jak (IRE) | 16 | 2 | 2m5½f–3m | Class 4 |
| Tamberian (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 2 | 25% | +3.50 |
| Soft | 4 | 2 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 7 | 3 | 43% | +4.50 |
| Class 4 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +3.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huntingdon | 4 | 1 | 25% | +4.00 |
| Kempton | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Perth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Taunton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 12 | 4 | 33% | +7.50 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bass | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.00 |
| Ciaran Gethings | 4 | 2 | 50% | +7.50 |
| Tom Bellamy | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Ben Harvey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr D G Lavery | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| 2024 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +5.50 |
| 2023 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.00 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 8 | 3 | 38% | +8.50 |
| Hurdle | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 23 Sep 26+361d | Perth | Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow David Whitaker Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race) Raced close up early despite a mistake at the 2nd - still holding a share up front approaching 3 out - pressed for effort and came down at 2 out | F/8 | — | 10-11 | 132 | — | — | Ciaran Gethings | 14/1 |
| 2025 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 27 Sep 25+209d | Market Rasen | Never Say Die IPA Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Drifted right early - travelled up with the pace before pressed for effort two out - form gave way soon after and finished held | 3/6 | 1¼ | 11-11 | 135 | 101B | 130B | Tom Bellamy | 11/4 |
| 02 Mar 25+23d | Huntingdon | Prestige Developments John Bigg 'Oxo' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Set the pace early - dropped to second at the 12th - sat close up through the race - urged forward on the home turn - drifted right two out then unable to reel in winner and edged out for second place late - finished third | 3/6 | 6 | 11-10 | 135 | 119B | 137B | Tom Bellamy | 5/4F |
| 07 Feb 25+43d | Kempton | trustatrader.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Set the pace from the off - stumbled slightly at the opening obstacle - asked for effort approaching two out - kept finding under pressure to win comfortably | 1/10 | 11-2 | 128 | 119A | 144B | Tom Bellamy | 4/1 | |
| 2024 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 24+46d | Kempton | Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Close up early - jumping awkwardly and stumbled at the 9th then again battling for second two out - stayed third but unable to quicken | 3/8 | 1¼ | 11-8 | 128 | 90B | 133A | Tom Bellamy | 11/1 |
| 10 Nov 24+33d | Sandown | My Pension Expert Handicap Chase Fluent early over the obstacles - set the pace throughout and held a four-length advantage when drifting right approaching the final fence - pushed out to power clear on the run to the line | 1/6 | 11-13 | 122 | 93A | 134B | Ciaran Gethings | 5/2J | |
| 08 Oct 24+166d | Huntingdon | JCB Hydrogen Handicap Chase Handy in second early - settled behind pace-setter after 5th - hit front 4 out - opened daylight 2 out - jumped poorly and stumbled at final obstacle - stayed on strongly for an easy win | 1/8 | 12-0 | 116 | 66A | 137B | Ciaran Gethings | 7/1 | |
| 25 Apr 24+31d | Huntingdon | Racehorse Shares From 45 At racingclub.com Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | PU/6 | — | 11-13 | 119 | — | — | David Bass | 11/2 |
| 25 Mar 24+77d | Huntingdon | Visit racingtv.com Handicap Hurdle | 6/7 | 3 | 12-1 | 121 | 100B | 120A | David Bass | 13/2 |
| 08 Jan 24+56d | Taunton | Stables Business Park Handicap Hurdle | PU/12 | — | 11-10 | 124 | — | — | David Bass | 9/1 |
| 2023 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 13 Nov 23+225d | Kempton | Racing Tv Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 7/13 | 4 | 11-7 | — | 110B | 118A | David Bass | 9/4 |
| 02 Apr 23+36d | Ascot | Ascot Racecourse Supports Ascot United Warriors Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/6 | 11-6 | — | 105A | 136B | David Bass | 2/1 | |
| 25 Feb 23+302d | Chepstow | Pertemps Network Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) | F/13 | — | 11-9 | — | — | — | Ciaran Gethings | 10/1 |
| 2022 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 29 Apr 22+124d | Punchestown | Avison Young Flat Race | 12/21 | 4¾ | 11-7 | — | 104C | 99C | Ben Harvey | 150/1 |
| 2021 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 21 | Down Royal | Metcollect Oil Recycling (Pro/Am) Flat Race | 7/14 | 4¼ | 11-13 | — | — | 70C | Mr D G Lavery | 20/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has El Rio won?
- El Rio (IRE) won 4 of 15 archived starts between 2021 and 2026, a strike rate of 26.7%. Placed 5 times in total (33.3% of starts).
- Who trains El Rio?
- El Rio (IRE) is trained by Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 23 September 2026.
- Who is El Rio's sire?
- El Rio (IRE) is by Elusive Pimpernel (USA) out of Princess Jaffa (IRE), whose sire is Zaffaran.
- What going does El Rio prefer?
- El Rio (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is El Rio's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 132, from the run on 23 September 2026. The highest on record is 135.
- What is El Rio's sire's record?
- Elusive Pimpernel (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 7.7% of 3,131 runs since Jan 2008 (315 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are El Rio's siblings?
- Out of Princess Jaffa (IRE), El Rio (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Cracker Jak (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Cracker Jak (IRE)). The wins came over 2m5½f–3m. As at Oct 2026.