Elly Bay (IRE)
Elly Bay is a maiden who has placed four times from 12 starts. She showed her best effort when second of 13 at Fairyhouse in May 2026. The filly, by Shaman out of a Danehill Dancer mare, is usually held up and last ran when 13th of 18 in the La Bucca Restaurant Handicap at Fairyhouse in Sep 2026 off an official rating of 60, which was 13lb below her highest ever mark.
- 0–12Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 4 (33.3%)Placed
- −12.00£1 level staken=12 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=12 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 73Highest OR
- 42dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 63
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 84C | 79 | 5 runs · 84 / 79 |
| Soft | 4 | 92C | 73.5 | 1 run · — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 10 | 92C | 77.5 | 6 runs · 84 / 79 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 80C | 70 | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 12 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 11 analysed runs since Jun 2025
- Mid-division 5 (45%) · 0 wins
- Held up 3 (27%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 2 (18%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (9%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 6.8% of 518 runs since Jan 2008 (66 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 3.7% from 189.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 49 | 2 | 4.1% | −2.7 | — |
| Good | 128 | 12 | 9.4% | +2.6 | 0 from 7 |
| Good to Soft | 46 | 5 | 10.9% | +4.1 | — |
| Soft | 83 | 8 | 9.6% | +2.8 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 23 | 1 | 4.3% | −2.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 189 | 7 | 3.7% | −3.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | +0.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 219 | 16 | 7.3% | +0.5 | 0 from 10 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 174 | 8 | 4.6% | −2.2 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 59 | 4 | 6.8% | 0 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 40 | 6 | 15% | +8.2 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 11 | 0 | 0% | −6.8 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −6.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Asian Daze (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Asian Daze (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asian Daze (IRE) | 12 | 4 | 7f | Class 2 |
| Freda (IRE) | 8 | 1 | 1m | Class 4 |
| Magical El (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bellewstown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Fairyhouse (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Powell | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| James Ryan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Ben Coen | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| R. P. Whelan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rory Mulligan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Patrick McGettigan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 21 Sep 26+72d | Fairyhouse (IRE) | La Bucca Restaurant Handicap Slow to begin - held up at the back - made no impression - finished well beaten in 13th | 13/18 | ¾ | 9-2 | 60 | 79C | 60A | R. P. Whelan | 33/1 |
| 11 Jul 26+10d | Navan | Newgrange Hotel Handicap Racing in the pack - asked for effort to make headway 2f out - found nothing more beyond a furlong out | 11/15 | hd | 9-1 | 63 | 70C | 61A | James Ryan | 10/1 |
| 01 Jul 26+34d | Fairyhouse | Racing Again July 8th Fillies Handicap Sat close to the front group early - moved up to 3rd approaching 2f out but soon flattened out in 4th - dropped away in the closing stages | 9/18 | 1¼ | 9-2 | 63 | 80C | 63A | James Ryan | 12/1 |
| 28 May 26+17d | Fairyhouse | Book Your Hospitality At Fairyhouse.ie Handicap Settled in the pack early - still 7th at halfway - made ground into contention with 2f left - up to 3rd and pushing along inside the final furlong - stuck on gamely to the line - snatched second in the last strides | 2/13 | ½ | 9-4 | 62 | 79C | 83A | James Ryan | 13/2 |
| 11 May 26+30d | Roscommon | Athlone Handicap (Div 2) Settled in the pack - asked for effort with 2f left - moved up into 6th a furlong out - stayed on to grab 5th late | 5/13 | 2½ | 9-2 | 65 | 84C | 58A | Rory Mulligan | 7/1 |
| 11 Apr 26+150d | Bellewstown | Mac Tar Handicap Held a central spot early - asked for effort turning in and up to fifth inside the final furlong - then flattened out and slipped back close home to finish 6th | 6/13 | ¾ | 9-5 | 66 | 80C | 70A | Patrick McGettigan | 17/2 |
| 2025 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Nov 25+35d | Dundalk (AW) | Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Nursery Handicap Settled in the pack - nudged for effort with 2f left and up to 7th under pressure a furlong out - couldn't find more late and held for 9th | 9/14 | ½ | 9-12 | 70 | 63B | 62A | Ben Coen | 9/4F |
| 08 Oct 25+10d | Navan | Navan Racing Festival 15th & 16th November Median Auction Maiden Settled midfield early - into 5th and driven on approaching 2f out - up to 4th with a furlong left before finishing at one speed for 4th | 4/14 | 1½ | 8-9 | 71 | 67C | 77A | Jamie Powell | 5/1 |
| 28 Sep 25+35d | Curragh | Keadeen Hotel Nursery Handicap Held up towards the back - urged into effort with over 2f left - asked for more soon after but unable to close from the final furlong - well held at the finish | 9/11 | 1½ | 9-2 | 73 | 52A | 62A | Jamie Powell | 7/2J |
| 24 Aug 25+52d | Naas | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden Sat handy behind the pace - going smoothly in third approaching 2f out - urged into the effort - hit the front for a moment inside the final furlong - overtaken shortly after - back to third close home and finished without further response | 3/15 | 1¼ | 8-6 | — | 76C | 69A | Jamie Powell | 10/3F |
| 03 Jul 25+21d | Bellewstown | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden Shared front spot early - hit the front over 3f out then squeezed and lost place inside final 2f - unable to close in second and stayed on at one level to finish | 2/9 | 5 | 8-11 | — | 60A | 73A | Ben Coen | 5/6F |
| 12 Jun 25 | Leopardstown | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden Held up towards the back - pushed into contention 2f out - stuck on well to finish 3rd | 3/17 | 1 | 8-8 | — | 92C | 85A | Jamie Powell | 25/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Elly Bay won?
- Elly Bay (IRE) has yet to win, from 12 archived starts between 2025 and 2026. Placed 4 times in total (33.3% of starts).
- Who trains Elly Bay?
- Elly Bay (IRE) is trained by Jack W Davison, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 21 September 2026.
- Who is Elly Bay's sire?
- Elly Bay (IRE) is by Shaman (IRE) out of Heartasia (IRE), whose sire is Danehill Dancer.
- What is Elly Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 60, from the run on 21 September 2026. The highest on record is 73.
- What is Elly Bay's sire's record?
- Shaman (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 6.8% of 518 runs since Jan 2008 (66 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 3.7% from 189.
- Who are Elly Bay's siblings?
- Out of Heartasia (IRE), Elly Bay (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Asian Daze (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Asian Daze (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–1m. As at Oct 2026.