What is Jack W Davison's strike rate?

Jack W Davison has won 56 of 615 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jack W Davison do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 12 wins from 100 runners (12%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jack W Davison?

James Ryan, with 209 runners since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (6.7%).

Is Jack W Davison in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jack W Davison's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 614 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jack W Davison

615 runners in the last 5 seasons · 117 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 10 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2022

56–615

Wins / Runs

9.1%

Strike rate

n=615

162 (26%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=614 · 0.89 incl. margin

−199.13

£1 level stake

n=615 at SP · −32.4%

£1.37m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 14% (36 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 615 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 43.9% when favourite James Ryan: 6.7% from 209 Headgear returns: 13.9% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

It is weakest at Naas (3.4% over 59 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 13.9% (n=36, Fair A/E 1.65), but debutants struggle at 1.3% (n=80, Fair A/E 0.26). James Ryan rides 34% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (6.7% vs 9.1%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (27.5%, n=40). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 4.6% over 65 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy Power Sapphire Stakes at Curragh (Jul 2021, £59,000). The stable star of the record: Thunderbear (IRE) — 5 wins from 37 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.7%−2.4

n=75 · A/E 0.94 · £1 +7.33

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.4%−1.7

n=27 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −9.80

Debutants · first career start

1.3%−7.8

n=80 · A/E 0.26 · £1 −65.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2%−7.1

n=50 · A/E 0.25 · £1 −42.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.9%+4.8

n=36 · A/E 1.65 · £1 −9.75

When favourite

43.9%

n=41 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +9.96

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7%−2.1

n=186 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −87.95

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.6%−4.5

n=65 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −40.38

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 27.5% vs 9.1% · n=40

With debutants 1.3% vs 9.1% · n=80

With first-time headgear 2% vs 9.1% · n=50

At Naas 3.4% vs 9.1% · n=59

At Curragh 4.8% vs 9.1% · n=105

In Class 1 4.6% vs 9.1% · n=65

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 238 19 8% −122.51

Soft 147 14 9.5% +3.71

Standard (AW) 108 13 12% −20.32

Heavy 51 5 9.8% −12.50

Good to Soft 44 2 4.5% −28.62

Good to Firm 27 3 11.1% −18.89

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 105 5 4.8% −47.50

Dundalk (AW) 100 12 12% −27.32

Naas 59 2 3.4% −45.50

Cork 47 4 8.5% +2.00

Navan 40 4 10% −23.62

Gowran Park 33 2 6.1% −15.62

Fairyhouse 31 2 6.5% −22.50

Leopardstown 29 2 6.9% −14.00

Down Royal 27 6 22.2% −4.80

Galway 21 2 9.5% +2.00

Roscommon 19 3 15.8% +6.00

Tipperary 16 3 18.8% −6.94

Bellewstown 16 1 6.3% −3.00

Killarney 10 1 10% −2.00

Ascot 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 65 3 4.6% −40.38

Class 2 8 1 12.5% −6.38

Class 4 3 2 66.7% +17.67

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 52 18 34.6% 1.26 −1.04

2nd–3rd fav 104 18 17.3% 1.18 +5.91

4th–6th fav 183 16 8.7% 1.15 +8.00

7th+ in betting 276 4 1.4% 0.49 −212.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Thunderbear (IRE)then Stephen Thorne 37 5 11 20 Jun 26

She's Quality (IRE) 23 4 12 5 Oct 25

Betsen (GB)then Tony Carroll 17 1 6 27 Sep 25

Scorchio (IRE) 15 3 5 27 Aug 24

The Snapper (IRE) 15 2 6 7 Oct 23

Ozark Daze (GB)from A Oliver · then Gearoid O'Loughlin 13 0 4 17 Dec 25

Bucaneer's Spirit (IRE)from A Oliver · then Ian Patrick Donoghue 13 3 5 21 Jul 25

Massaman (IRE) 13 3 6 27 Sep 22

Artful Approach (IRE)then Stephen Thorne 12 1 5 23 Aug 24

Freedom Falls (IRE) 11 1 2 26 Sep 23

Bergamasco (IRE)then W K Mo 10 3 5 6 Apr 24

Yamalia Star (IRE) 10 0 3 15 Dec 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 117 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Adrian McGuinness (7) and A Oliver (2); 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

30 have since run for another yard, most often for Stephen Thorne (9); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

9141211941241014188

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames Ryan

34% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 0.97

RiderRWSR£1

James Ryan 209 14 6.7% −70.62

R. P. Whelan 131 15 11.5% −30.92

Luke McAteer 36 2 5.6% −17.50

Colin Keane 36 5 13.9% −14.87

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.93m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 19 wins

Mooneista (IRE) — Paddy Power Sapphire Stakes (Group 2) Curragh · Jul 2021 · Group 2

£59,000

Thunderbear (IRE) — Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes (Group 3) Newbury · Sep 2023 · Group 3

£39,697

Thunderbear (IRE) — RFL Steels Stakes (Listed) Naas · Oct 2025 · Listed

£26,550

Notable horses

Thunderbear (IRE) Massaman (IRE) She's Quality (IRE) Mooneista (IRE) Cisco Disco (IRE) Black Magic Woman (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodi Bear (IRE) 14.3% · 6–42

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,934 runs since 2008 (386 horses).

Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–35

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,925 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,817 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Acclamation (GB) 15.4% · 4–26

Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Mehmas (IRE) 16% · 4–25

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,110 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Dragon Pulse (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,261 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.3% from 570. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,016 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,016 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 August 2017 to 11 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Celine Dee (GB)J: James Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden6f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 40/1

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lady Chancalot (FR)J: James Ryan Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 33/1

29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Howlin Wolf (IRE)J: James Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series)6f · Yielding To Soft · 6 ran 5th 11/2

25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Initial Blue (IRE)J: Jack Kearney View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap6f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 15/2

21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Elly Bay (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan La Bucca Restaurant Handicap7f · Good · 18 ran 13th 33/1

21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Celestial Heights (IRE)J: James Ryan Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding · 11 ran 9th 14/1

18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Always Magic (GB)J: James Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 11/1

17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Golden Arizona (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Care At Home Nursery Handicap8f · Yielding · 13 ran 5th 15/2

16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Estrallita (IRE)J: James Ryan Clonmel Racecourse Supporters Club Fillies Maiden10f · Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 6/1

13 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) She's Coul (IRE)J: James Ryan Tattersalls Ireland Super Auction Sales Stakes6.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 14th 100/1

10 Sep 26 Laytown (IRE) Initial Blue (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports (Q.R.) Handicap6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 14/1

05 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Howlin Wolf (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series)6f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 17/2

02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Estrallita (IRE)J: James Ryan Racing Again This Saturday Fillies Maiden10f · Good · 21 ran 6th 14/1

01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Lady Chancalot (FR)J: James Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Yielding · 16 ran 9th 150/1

27 Aug 26 Navan (IRE) Cameclose (IRE)J: Reese Holohan GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap14f · Good · 18 ran 9th 20/1

27 Aug 26 Navan (IRE) Always Magic (GB)J: James Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 10/1

27 Aug 26 Navan (IRE) Howlin Wolf (IRE)J: James Ryan Navan Racecourse Nursery Handicap6f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 9/2

23 Aug 26 Naas (IRE) Magma King (GB)J: James Ryan Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden6f · Good · 15 ran 5th 50/1

16 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Rebel Ascendant (GB)J: James Ryan Newbridge Silverware Royal Whip Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 10f · Good · 4 ran 4th 80/1

16 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Howlin Wolf (IRE)J: James Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series)6f · Good · 8 ran 1st 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jack W Davison's strike rate?: Jack W Davison has won 56 of 615 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jack W Davison do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 12 wins from 100 runners (12%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jack W Davison?: James Ryan, with 209 runners since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (6.7%).
Is Jack W Davison in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jack W Davison's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 614 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.