James Ryan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 390 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 9% (130 rides).
The record is strongest at Roscommon (11.8%, n=68), clear of the rider's 6.1% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 9.2% (n=130, Fair A/E 0.85), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.9% (n=275, Fair A/E 0.69). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −361.21 to a £1 stake over 768 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. T G McCourt supplies 30% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (10.4%, n=192). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the GAIN Summer Fillies Handicap at Curragh (Jun 2025, £59,000). The standout partner of the record: Inishmot Prince (IRE) — 11 wins from 58 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2021→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,975 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,975 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 May 2021 to 23 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is James Ryan's strike rate?
- James Ryan has won 117 of 1,932 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does James Ryan do best at?
- Roscommon by strike rate: 8 wins from 68 rides (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does James Ryan ride most for?
- T G McCourt, with 570 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (7%).
- Is James Ryan in form?
- In the last 14 days: 24 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 8.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 6.1% since 2022.
- What is James Ryan's Fair A/E?
- 0.97, from 1,927 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.