Rory Mulligan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 140 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.14). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (47 rides).
The record is strongest at Curragh (14.5%, n=69), clear of the rider's 7.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.1% (n=47, Fair A/E 1.38), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4% (n=100, Fair A/E 0.92). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 7.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.37 and +17.75 to a £1 stake over 343 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. J P Murtagh supplies 17% of the rides and beats the rider's average (14.2% vs 7.6%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (12.9%, n=70). Seasonally, the rider fires Sep–Nov.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 682 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 682 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 August 2022 to 4 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 5 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 28 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Rory Mulligan's strike rate?
- Rory Mulligan has won 52 of 682 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Rory Mulligan do best at?
- Curragh by strike rate: 10 wins from 69 rides (14.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Rory Mulligan ride most for?
- J P Murtagh, with 113 rides since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (14.2%).
- Is Rory Mulligan in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 9 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Rory Mulligan's Fair A/E?
- 1.14, from 681 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.