Expect (GB)
Expect (GB) is 1 from 6, the win coming at Class 5 level. Hasn't won since Oct 2013. Last raced off a career-high mark of 82.
Progeny in our archive
As a dam, Expect (GB) has 2 produce in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| On Route (GB) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Lisbon Legend (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
- 1–6Wins / Runs
- 16.7%Strike rate
- 3 (50%)Placed
- −4.00£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 0.61Fair A/E n=6 · 0.53 incl. margin
- 82Highest OR
- 31dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 20,817 runs since Jan 2008 (1,573 horses).
Strongest on firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 161 | 26 | 16.1% | +4.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3,581 | 463 | 12.9% | +1 | — |
| Good | 4,529 | 487 | 10.8% | −1.1 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2,132 | 254 | 11.9% | 0 | — |
| Soft | 2,758 | 303 | 11% | −0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 790 | 76 | 9.6% | −2.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 6,865 | 866 | 12.6% | +0.7 | 1 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 3,049 | 399 | 13.1% | +1.2 | 0 from 2 |
| 6f – 7f | 9,828 | 1,178 | 12% | +0.1 | 1 from 4 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4,502 | 542 | 12% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,139 | 249 | 11.6% | −0.3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 843 | 66 | 7.8% | −4.1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 360 | 33 | 9.2% | −2.7 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 89 | 8 | 9% | −2.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +2.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Don't Touch (GB) (7 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m; the highest grade won is Listed (Don't Touch (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don't Touch (GB) | 17 | 7 | 6f | Listed |
| Fantasy Keeper (GB) | 34 | 6 | 5f–6f | Class 3 |
| Exceptional (GB) | 7 | 3 | 5f–6f | Listed |
| Chester Street (GB) | 14 | 3 | 7f–1m | Class 2 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.00 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Harley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ryan Moore | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.00 |
| Shane Kelly | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2013 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb 14+37d | Southwell (AW) | 32red Free 10 Bonus Handicap | 5/7 | ¾ | 9-7 | 82 | 72A | Martin Harley | EvensF |
| 12 Jan 14+31d | Wolverhampton (AW) | 32red Handicap | 2/7 | nk | 9-3 | 78 | 100A | Martin Harley | 3/1 |
| 12 Dec 13+41d | Kempton (AW) | Cheltenham 2014 NRFB At BetVictor.com Nursery | 4/8 | ¾ | 9-6 | 80 | 78A | Shane Kelly | 11/4F |
| 01 Nov 13+25d | Newmarket | Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Bosra Sham Fillies' Stakes (Listed) | 7/8 | 3 | 8-12 | — | 64A | James Doyle | 4/1 |
| 07 Oct 13+20d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Betfred Mobile Casino Maiden Fillies' Stakes | 1/9 | 9-0 | — | 92A | Ryan Moore | EvensF | |
| 17 Sep 13 | Yarmouth | British Stallion Studs/greene King E.b.f. Maiden Fillies' Stakes | 2/8 | 2¾ | 9-0 | — | 80A | Ryan Moore | 9/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Expect (GB) won?
- Expect (GB) won 1 of 6 archived starts between 2013 and 2014, a strike rate of 16.7%. Placed 3 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trained Expect (GB)?
- Expect (GB) was trained by Jeremy Noseda on the most recent run on record, at Southwell (AW) on 18 February 2014.
- Who is Expect (GB)'s sire?
- Expect (GB) is by Invincible Spirit (IRE) out of Expressive (GB), whose sire is Falbrav.
- What going does Expect (GB) prefer?
- Expect (GB) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Expect (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 82, from the run on 18 February 2014. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Expect (GB)'s sire's record?
- Invincible Spirit (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 20,817 runs since Jan 2008 (1,573 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
- Who are Expect (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Expressive (GB), Expect (GB) has 4 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Don't Touch (GB) (7). Highest grade won: Listed (Don't Touch (GB)). The wins came over 5f–1m. As at Oct 2026.
- Has Expect (GB) produced winners?
- As a dam, Expect (GB) has 2 produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.