What is Jeremy Noseda's strike rate?

Jeremy Noseda has won 474 of 2,455 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 19.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jeremy Noseda do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 45 wins from 148 runners (30.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jeremy Noseda?

Ryan Moore, with 346 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 93 (26.9%).

What is Jeremy Noseda's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 2,436 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jeremy Noseda

2,455 runners in the lifetime window · 449 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jun 2019 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

474–2,455

Wins / Runs

19.3%

Strike rate

n=2,455

1,038 (42%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=2,436 · 0.89 incl. margin

−483.75

£1 level stake

n=2,455 at SP · −19.7%

£6.62m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 200 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 19% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,455 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Nov–Mar 40.9% when favourite Ryan Moore: 26.9% from 346 Sent off the favourite in 27% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (30.4%, n=148) and Brighton (32.4%, n=37) — all clear of the yard's 19.3% baseline. It is weakest at Newmarket (6.7% over 210 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 13.3% (n=279, Fair A/E 1.07). Ryan Moore rode 14% of the entries and beats the yard's average (26.9% vs 19.3%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 62 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes at York (Sep 2006, £269,705). The stable star of the record was Grandeur (IRE) — 8 wins from 23 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Nov–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 19.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

18.3%−1.0

n=442 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −116.32

New recruits · first run for the yard

22.2%+2.9

n=27 · A/E 1.46 · £1 −0.44

Debutants · first career start

14.1%−5.2

n=396 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −86.23

First-time headgear · true-first definition

18.4%−0.9

n=152 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −10.31

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

18.8%−0.5

n=16 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −10.09

When favourite

40.9%

n=663 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −18.37

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

18.2%−1.1

n=44 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +5.83

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.3%−6.0

n=279 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −56.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 19.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Newmarket 6.7% vs 19.3% · n=210

At Wolverhampton (AW) 30.4% vs 19.3% · n=148

At Ascot 9.2% vs 19.3% · n=131

At Brighton 32.4% vs 19.3% · n=37

With Eddie Ahern 6.1% vs 19.3% · n=33

With Ryan Moore 26.9% vs 19.3% · n=346

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 857 206 24% −157.41

Good to Firm 675 129 19.1% −86.80

Good 544 78 14.3% −164.00

Good to Soft 187 28 15% −70.42

Soft 158 23 14.6% +0.64

Heavy 19 4 21.1% −5.50

Firm 15 6 40% −0.26

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 335 70 20.9% −104.17

Lingfield (AW) 286 70 24.5% −61.27

Newmarket 210 14 6.7% −111.22

Windsor 167 37 22.2% −10.70

Newmarket 162 34 21% +0.78

Wolverhampton (AW) 148 45 30.4% +26.14

Doncaster 139 26 18.7% −14.55

Ascot 131 12 9.2% −44.02

Goodwood 117 24 20.5% +23.00

Newbury 82 15 18.3% +10.04

Yarmouth 79 14 17.7% −24.18

York 79 8 10.1% −43.42

Sandown 75 16 21.3% −7.01

Haydock 54 10 18.5% +3.32

Chelmsford (AW) 50 9 18% −10.39

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 918 228 24.8% −120.30

Class 4 645 111 17.2% −167.45

Class 1 279 37 13.3% −56.67

Class 2 254 33 13% −70.59

Class 3 254 42 16.5% −40.93

Class 6 104 23 22.1% −26.81

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 741 289 39% 1.11 −19.03

2nd–3rd fav 762 126 16.5% 0.95 −166.22

4th–6th fav 619 50 8.1% 0.98 −144.50

7th+ in betting 333 9 2.7% 0.70 −154.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Which Doctor (GB)then Richard Guest 30 3 8 7 Mar 11

Grandeur (IRE) 23 8 12 10 Sep 15

Himalya (IRE)then Stef Higgins 20 1 8 28 May 11

Consign (GB) 19 6 11 3 Oct 14

Without Prejudice (USA)then Michael Easterby 19 4 7 15 Oct 10

Outback Traveller (IRE)then Robert Cowell 17 5 8 3 Oct 15

Magique (IRE) 17 3 9 30 Jul 14

Abe Lincoln (USA) 16 3 6 17 May 19

The Gold Cheongsam (IRE) 16 4 8 21 Aug 14

Yeager (USA) 15 2 6 1 Oct 15

Valbchek (IRE)then Jane Chapple-Hyam 15 3 4 28 Jun 14

Nocturn (GB)then Ronald Harris 15 4 8 22 Feb 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 449 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 59 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard; 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

283132171716232019142424

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRyan Moore

14% of all rides
26.9% SR · A/E 1.14

RiderRWSR£1

Ryan Moore 346 93 26.9% −48.30

Shane Kelly 317 56 17.7% −37.47

William Buick 201 46 22.9% −16.15

Frankie Dettori 149 36 24.2% −28.62

Tom Queally 142 18 12.7% −48.93

Jimmy Fortune 132 27 20.5% +36.98

Jamie Spencer 111 23 20.7% −35.84

Seb Sanders 92 12 13% −47.35

Richard Hughes 77 13 16.9% −26.71

Jim Crowley 71 12 16.9% −27.41

Darryll Holland 69 10 14.5% −6.75

George Baker 62 15 24.2% −10.64

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

625

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£10.2m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 62 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sixties Icon (GB) — Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes (Group 1) York · Sep 2006 · Group 1

£269,705

Fleeting Spirit (IRE) — Darley July Cup (Group 1) (British Leg Of The Global Sprint Challenge) Newmarket · Jul 2009 · Group 1

£227,080

Araafa (IRE) — Boylesports Irish 2 000 Guineas (Entire Colts & Fillies) Curragh (IRE) · May 2006 · Group 1

£224,500

Notable horses

Grandeur (IRE) Sixties Icon (GB) Consign (GB) Strike The Deal (USA) Outback Traveller (IRE) Keystroke (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Danehill Dancer (IRE) 18.7% · 26–139

Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.

Pivotal (GB) 17.9% · 21–117

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,787 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 18.3% · 19–104

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,818 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Galileo (IRE) 19.4% · 18–93

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,192 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 889.

Cape Cross (IRE) 32% · 24–75

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Acclamation (GB) 23.9% · 17–71

Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,229 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,229 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2005 to 22 June 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Jun 19 Ascot Cenotaph (USA)J: Ryan Moore Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 26 ran 20th 20/1

31 May 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Johnny Reb (GB)J: Harry Bentley Bet In Play At Totesport.com Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd EvensF

27 May 19 Redcar Lost In Alaska (USA)J: Ben Curtis Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 4/1

18 May 19 Doncaster Johnny Reb (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Lexus Sheffield Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 3rd 7/2

18 May 19 Newmarket Perfect Hustler (USA)J: Robert Havlin Betway Heed Your Hunch HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 5th 11/1

18 May 19 Newmarket Kamikaze Lord (USA)J: Jimmy Quinn Betway HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 10th 33/1

17 May 19 Newmarket Samba Saravah (USA)J: Shane Kelly Planche Property Investment & Rentals Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 13th 100/1

17 May 19 York Abe Lincoln (USA)J: Ryan Moore Matchbook 'Best Value' Exchange HandicapClass 2 · 10.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 20/1

17 May 19 York Fleeting Princess (GB)J: Ryan Moore Langleys Solicitors British EBF Marygate Fillies' Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 13th 8/1

16 May 19 York Boma Green (GB)J: Frankie Dettori Stratford Place Stud Breeds Group Winners ebfstallions.com Maiden Stakes (Plus 10)Class 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 3rd 10/1

16 May 19 York Garrus (IRE)J: Ryan Moore British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 3/1

15 May 19 York Bomb Proof (IRE)J: Frankie Dettori British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 3 · 5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 1st 7/1

15 May 19 Yarmouth Lost In Alaska (USA)J: Daniel Muscutt Haven Caister Holiday Park Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 5th 16/1

11 May 19 Lingfield Betty F (GB)J: Frankie Dettori RaceBets Million Chartwell Fillies' Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 9/1

04 May 19 Doncaster Fashion Stakes (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Artex Ltd Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 11/10F

02 May 19 Redcar Rimmal (USA)J: Paul Hanagan Follow racingtv On Twitter Fillies' Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 50/1

30 Apr 19 Yarmouth Fleeting Princess (GB)J: Ryan Moore Racing Welfare Maiden Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 8/13F

29 Apr 19 Windsor Samba Saravah (USA)J: Harry Bentley Robusto House Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 16 ran 13th 100/1

18 Apr 19 Newmarket Cenotaph (USA)J: Ryan Moore Bet365 HandicapClass 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 14/1

18 Apr 19 Newmarket Betty F (GB)J: Frankie Dettori Bet365 HandicapClass 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jeremy Noseda's strike rate?: Jeremy Noseda has won 474 of 2,455 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 19.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jeremy Noseda do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 45 wins from 148 runners (30.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jeremy Noseda?: Ryan Moore, with 346 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 93 (26.9%).
What is Jeremy Noseda's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 2,436 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.