Horse profile
Express Surprise (IRE)
by Mahler (GB) out of Gudnis Gracious Me (IRE) (Mull Of Kintyre)
17 runs · 16 courses · from Nov 2023
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
4 wins · 4 courses
Last run 24 Apr 2026
Last raced off OR 112
KTB Profile
Express Surprise is a 4 from 17 gelding who has won all four of his starts over 2m5f – 3m. Three of those wins came on soft ground and one on good to soft. He won a Class 4 handicap at Chepstow in Mar 2026 off a mark of 105, having previously scored at Uttoxeter, Wetherby and Huntingdon off marks of 101, 96 and 89. He last ran off a career-high mark of 112 at Perth in Apr 2026.
Based on 17 archived runs · run-style from 11 commented runs since Oct 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR at career high
- 4–17Wins / Runs
- 23.5%Strike rate
- 9 (52.9%)Placed
- +2.25£1 level staken=17 at SP
- 1.64Fair A/E n=17 · 1.39 incl. margin
- 112Highest OR
- 56dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating112At career-high mark
112
86–112
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 87
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 114B | 79 | 3 runs · 87 / 79 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 104A | 92 | 1 run · — |
| Good | 5 | 116A | 86 | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 10 | 116A | 85.5 | 4 runs · 87 / 85.5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 114B | 92 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 17 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 17 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 11 analysed runs since Oct 2024
- Prominent 5 (45%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 4 (36%) · 2 wins
- Held up 1 (9%) · 1 win
- Led 1 (9%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 8,845 runs since Jan 2008 (785 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 15.1% from 119.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 119 | 18 | 15.1% | +4.3 | — |
| Good | 2,961 | 377 | 12.7% | +1.9 | 0 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 1,807 | 178 | 9.9% | −0.9 | 1 from 5 |
| Soft | 2,735 | 257 | 9.4% | −1.4 | 3 from 6 |
| Heavy | 1,213 | 124 | 10.2% | −0.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 10 | 1 | 10% | −0.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −10.8 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 16 | 0 | 0% | −10.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,042 | 199 | 9.7% | −1.1 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3,201 | 322 | 10.1% | −0.7 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2,813 | 339 | 12.1% | +1.3 | 4 from 10 |
| Over 3m | 768 | 95 | 12.4% | +1.6 | 0 from 2 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Gudnis Gracious Me (IRE) (Mull Of Kintyre)
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them North Of Nashville (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 3m1f–3m1½f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Of Nashville (IRE) | 25 | 2 | 3m1f–3m1½f | — |
| Jewelinthesky (IRE) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Soft | 6 | 3 | 50% | +8.25 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 8 | 2 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Class 4 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +2.25 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepstow | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.75 |
| Perth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Wetherby | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Huntingdon | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wincanton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Taunton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 10 | 4 | 40% | +9.25 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Patrick | 8 | 2 | 25% | +0.75 |
| Ned Fox | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Mr Tommie M O'Brien | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Richie McLernon | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Adam Wedge | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 11 | 4 | 36% | +8.25 |
| None | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.75 |
| 2025 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +9.50 |
| 2024 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 9 | 4 | 44% | +10.25 |
| Hurdle | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 24 Apr 26+40d | Perth | QuinnBet Highland National Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled just off the pace early - slipped to the tail and lost contact before four out - pulled up before three out | PU/11 | — | 10-12 | 112 | — | — | Ned Fox | 8/1 |
| 15 Mar 26+56d | Chepstow | Celebrating Tricia And Pauls Wedding Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled off the pace early - improved into contention from 13th and up to third by 15th - pushed along to close on the front two after 4 out - moved into second before 3 out - urged along and clipped the second-last - hit the front on the run-in - kept finding under pressure to score | 1/11 | 11-11 | 105 | 87A | 133B | Richard Patrick | 11/4F | |
| 18 Jan 26+18d | Windsor | Fitzdares Personal Betting Service Stayers Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled in the pack - still within range of the front group 4 out - stayed on at same effort from 2 out - finished 4th | 4/16 | 10 | 11-0 | 107 | 79B | 116A | Richard Patrick | 17/2 |
| 2025 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 31 Dec 25+25d | Uttoxeter | General Sports Worldwide Handicap Chase Settled just behind the front group - going nicely when nudged closer four out - hit the front approaching two out - shaken up when challenged and put back in front late but battled back to regain command close home | 1/13 | 11-10 | 101 | 85B | 135A | Richard Patrick | 4/1 | |
| 06 Dec 25+25d | Wetherby | Book William Hill Christmas Meeting Online Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled towards the back early - made progress before the 4th last - pressed for effort approaching 3 out - closed on the front-runner before 2 out then powered clear to win late | 1/9 | 11-0 | 96 | 72B | 124B | Richie McLernon | 9/2 | |
| 11 Nov 25+234d | Lingfield | Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap Chase Shared front spot early - overtaken before 10th - dropped away before 14th - pushed along to close on front group before 3 out - came back with a threat 2 out - level again at the front - jumped awkwardly and overtaken at the last - held on at one effort but pipped for second close home | 3/8 | 1 | 11-7 | 96 | 86B | 114A | Ned Fox | 7/2F |
| 22 Mar 25+32d | Bangor-on-Dee | Broxton Gates Handicap Chase settled midpack early - poor error at the 9th then pushed along before the 13th - stayed on into third before the last | 3/8 | 8 | 11-4 | 98 | 75A | 112A | Ned Fox | 11/4F |
| 18 Feb 25+26d | Market Rasen | Every Race Live On Racing TV Novices' Handicap Chase Handy early - lost momentum with a heavy error 13th and ragged again soon after while urged into 4th - dropped away 2 out to finish fourth | 4/6 | ¾ | 11-13 | 98 | 104A | 108B | Richard Patrick | 7/4F |
| 23 Jan 25+72d | Huntingdon | Pertemps Novices' Handicap Chase Settled in midfield on the outer - error at the 9th before improving into contention nearing the 13th - hit the front approaching three out - opened a three-length advantage by the last - driven out to extend the margin on the run to the line | 1/10 | 11-2 | 89 | 66A | 119B | Ned Fox | 4/1 | |
| 2024 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Nov 24+26d | Hereford | Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle Settled with the pace on the wide side - driven up to challenge near the front after 2 out - lost ground approaching the last - held on for 3rd | 3/10 | dht | 10-12 | 89 | 116A | 109A | Adam Wedge | 4/1 |
| 17 Oct 24+138d | Wincanton | Fitzdares Telephone Betting Handicap Hurdle (Div 1) Tracked front group early - lost touch after three out - dropped away for home turn | 5/8 | 1 | 10-7 | 89 | 111A | 103A | Richard Patrick | 7/2 |
| 01 Jun 24+49d | Stratford | Visit racingtv.com Handicap Hurdle | 2/10 | 1½ | 11-0 | 86 | 85A | 118A | Richard Patrick | 9/2 |
| 13 Apr 24+23d | Chepstow | On Course Values Online With DragonBet Novices' Handicap Hurdle | 7/13 | ½ | 11-3 | 89 | 103B | 95A | Richard Patrick | 9/2 |
| 21 Mar 24+10d | Ludlow | Balfours LLP And Lycetts Insurance Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 3/7 | 23 | 11-5 | — | 114B | 96A | Richard Patrick | 25/1 |
| 11 Mar 24+38d | Taunton | WilliamHill 5 Free Bet For Cheltenham Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | UR/13 | — | 11-3 | — | — | — | Mr Tommie M O'Brien | 10/1 |
| 02 Feb 24+85d | Southwell | Off The Fence On youtube.com/attheraces Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 5/11 | 4½ | 10-13 | — | 92C | 94A | Mr Tommie M O'Brien | 28/1 |
| 2023 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 09 Nov 23 | Newbury | British Horse Society Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 5/13 | 26 | 10-13 | — | 19B | 103A | Mr Tommie M O'Brien | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Express Surprise won?
- Express Surprise (IRE) won 4 of 17 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 23.5%. Placed 9 times in total (52.9% of starts).
- Who trains Express Surprise?
- Express Surprise (IRE) is trained by Clive Boultbee-Brooks, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 24 April 2026.
- Who is Express Surprise's sire?
- Express Surprise (IRE) is by Mahler (GB) out of Gudnis Gracious Me (IRE), whose sire is Mull Of Kintyre.
- What going does Express Surprise prefer?
- Express Surprise (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 3 wins from 6 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Express Surprise's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 112, from the run on 24 April 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Express Surprise's sire's record?
- Mahler (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 8,845 runs since Jan 2008 (785 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 15.1% from 119.
- Who are Express Surprise's siblings?
- Out of Gudnis Gracious Me (IRE), Express Surprise (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: North Of Nashville (IRE) (2). The wins came over 3m1f–3m1½f. As at Oct 2026.