Horse profile
Fat Sam (GB)
by Denham Red (FR) out of Emergence (FR) (Poliglote)
38 runs · 14 courses · from Nov 2018
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
5 wins · 5 courses
New yard
Off 206 days · 7th of 9
Last raced off OR 100
KTB Profile
Fat Sam is a gelding with five wins from 38 starts on turf, all at Class 4. All five wins came on good going over trips between 2m1f and 3m, four of them in handicaps between Jul 2021 and Jul 2022. He has not won since Jul 2022 and was beaten 7 of 9 at Hereford in Mar 2026 on his first start for David Dennis, last raced off OR 100 which was 29lb below his highest ever mark.
Based on 38 archived runs · run-style from 4 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Wins on good or faster
All wins at Class 4
OR ↓ 29lb off peak
- 5–38Wins / Runs
- 13.2%Strike rate
- 13 (34.2%)Placed
- +0.58£1 level staken=38 at SP
- 1.00Fair A/E n=38 · 0.89 incl. margin
- 129Highest OR
- 73dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating100↓ 29lb off peak
100
100–129
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 85
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 27 | 130B | 88 | 1 · — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 69A | 62 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 117A | 90.5 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 22 | 130B | 82 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 9 | 128B | 89 | 1 · — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 80C | 65 | — |
Of 38 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (3) · did not complete (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 33 figures from 38 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs
- Led 2 (50%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (25%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (25%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Denham Red (FR)
Progeny in our archive have won 16.4% of 592 runs since Jan 2008 (65 horses).
Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.2% from 184.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −16.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | +10.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 140 | 22 | 15.7% | −0.7 | 5 from 31 |
| Good to Soft | 55 | 12 | 21.8% | +5.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 255 | 42 | 16.5% | +0.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 121 | 17 | 14% | −2.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −16.4 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −16.4 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | +0.3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 74 | 30 | 40.5% | +24.1 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 259 | 42 | 16.2% | −0.2 | 4 from 23 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 184 | 15 | 8.2% | −8.2 | 1 from 13 |
| Over 3m | 56 | 7 | 12.5% | −3.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Emergence (FR) (Poliglote)
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Dry Ol'party (GB) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m½f–2m2½f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Dry Ol'party (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dry Ol'party (GB) | 25 | 2 | 2m½f–2m2½f | Class 4 |
| What A Pleasure (GB) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
| Good Little Wife (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 31 | 5 | 16% | +7.58 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 28 | 5 | 18% | +10.58 |
| Class 3 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Class 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.25 |
| Stratford | 5 | 1 | 20% | +21.00 |
| Warwick | 5 | 1 | 20% | −0.67 |
| Uttoxeter | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Ffos Las | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.00 |
| Hereford | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Fontwell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Huntingdon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wincanton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 23 | 4 | 17% | +12.83 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 13 | 1 | 8% | −10.25 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Davies | 26 | 5 | 19% | +12.58 |
| David Noonan | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Bryan Carver | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jamie Moore | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Mr Charlie Case | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ben Ffrench Davis | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 17 | 0 | 0% | −17.00 |
| Hood | 14 | 5 | 36% | +24.58 |
| Tongue tie | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2024 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2023 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2022 | 9 | 2 | 22% | −3.25 |
| 2021 | 9 | 3 | 33% | +23.83 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 26 | 4 | 15% | +9.58 |
| Hurdle | 11 | 1 | 9% | −8.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar 26+216d | Hereford | Hereford Easter Monday Family Raceday Handicap Chase Sat close to the front pack early - jumped awkwardly and slipped to 12th - needed encouragement soon after - fell right away from the field before four out - finished well adrift in 7th | 7/9 | ¾ | 11-7 | 100 | 57C | 100C | Mr Charlie Case | 14/1 |
| 21 Aug 25+28d | Newton Abbot | Thank You To All Our Armed Forces Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled in the pack - driven to keep place before fading approaching 2 out - eventually finished sixth | 6/7 | 3¼ | 11-2 | 103 | 85B | 99A | James Davies | 9/1 |
| 24 Jul 25+17d | Worcester | Pershore Hire Centre Handicap Chase Wide on outside tracking pace-setter early - dropped to third heading into the home turn - hit the fourth-last awkwardly then dropped away before the following fence | 4/10 | 4½ | 12-0 | 105 | 64A | 110A | James Davies | 15/2 |
| 07 Jul 25+23d | Worcester | dragonbet.co.uk Oncourse Service, Online Handicap Chase Settled off the front pack early - urged into contention before 4 out - made ground before 2 out - fought winner into last then stayed on well for second | 2/6 | 2 | 12-0 | 104 | 69A | 123B | James Davies | 4/1 |
| 14 Jun 25+214d | Uttoxeter | QuinnBet Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Set the pace early - lost the front approaching 4 out under pressure - unable to quicken 2 out and stayed on for third | 3/5 | 12 | 11-11 | 106 | 81C | 107B | David Noonan | 12/1 |
| 12 Nov 24+49d | Hereford | Sunshine Radio Handicap Chase Sat close up early - hit front at the 5th before being caught and outpaced approaching 2 out - dropped away and battled on for a distant 3rd | 3/5 | 20 | 12-0 | 109 | 65C | 111B | David Noonan | 18/1 |
| 24 Sep 24+36d | Fontwell | AK Bets Best Price Premier League Handicap Chase Held mid-pack early - pushed along and closed on the front-runner approaching 3 out - edged in front before the last - challenged again soon after - battled on up the run-in but caught close home to finish second | 2/8 | ½ | 11-12 | 105 | 69A | 125A | James Davies | 10/1 |
| 19 Aug 24+22d | Worcester | Alan Edwards 70th Birthday Celebration Handicap Chase Sat behind pace early - moved into 2nd 4th - hit front 8th - urged on and just lost lead approaching straight - slipped to 3rd before 4 out - urged again and toiling when hampered by fallen rival at following obstacle then never a threat thereafter | 5/11 | 21 | 11-11 | 106 | 54B | 100A | David Noonan | 16/1 |
| 28 Jul 24+26d | Uttoxeter | Conferences Here At Uttoxeter Racecourse Handicap Chase | 4/16 | 1¾ | 11-0 | 106 | — | 121A | David Noonan | 20/1 |
| 02 Jul 24+31d | Stratford | Visit racingtv.com Handicap Chase | 4/7 | 3¾ | 11-3 | 108 | 64A | 109B | James Davies | 10/3 |
| 01 Jun 24+23d | Stratford | BRC Roofing's 30th Anniversary Handicap Chase | 7/9 | 1¼ | 11-11 | 112 | 89A | 109A | James Davies | 13/2 |
| 09 May 24+210d | Huntingdon | Virgin Bet Handicap Hurdle | 7/13 | 7 | 11-13 | 109 | 101B | 102A | James Davies | 40/1 |
| 12 Oct 23+29d | Exeter | Devon Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle | 6/8 | 1¾ | 11-3 | 112 | 117A | 117A | Ben Ffrench Davis | 9/1 |
| 13 Sep 23+44d | Uttoxeter | Cambion Supports Ronald McDonald House Handicap Chase | 5/7 | 4¼ | 12-0 | 120 | 55B | 110B | James Davies | 7/2 |
| 31 Jul 23+34d | Newton Abbot | John Bond 80th Birthday Celebration Handicap Chase | F/8 | — | 12-0 | 120 | — | — | James Davies | 3/1F |
| 27 Jun 23+30d | Newton Abbot | Get Daily Tips On AtTheRaces.com Handicap Chase | 2/5 | 3¾ | 11-7 | 120 | 96C | 120B | James Davies | 10/3 |
| 28 May 23+31d | Uttoxeter | Kev Tilling Memorial Handicap Hurdle | 3/6 | 2 | 11-6 | 117 | 109A | 127B | James Davies | 11/2 |
| 27 Apr 23+203d | Warwick | Visit racingtv.com Handicap Hurdle | 6/13 | 4½ | 12-0 | 120 | 130B | 121A | James Davies | 33/1 |
| 06 Oct 22+16d | Warwick | Langley Handicap Chase | 3/5 | 8 | 11-4 | 127 | 71C | 119B | James Davies | 7/2 |
| 20 Sep 22+28d | Warwick | Poundland Foundation Proudly Supports Tommys Handicap Chase | 3/5 | 3¾ | 11-6 | 129 | 89C | 119B | James Davies | 15/8 |
| 23 Aug 22+6d | Bangor-on-Dee | Nightingale House Hospice Handicap Chase | 2/6 | 9½ | 11-13 | 129 | 103B | 131B | James Davies | 10/3 |
| 17 Aug 22+37d | Worcester | Get Pulling With PJ Nicholls Ssangyong Handicap Hurdle | 4/8 | 5 | 12-1 | 121 | 95A | 122A | James Davies | 11/2 |
| 11 Jul 22+7d | Newton Abbot | Just Married At The Par Inn Handicap Chase | 1/5 | 11-10 | 122 | 89C | 129C | James Davies | 7/4F | |
| 04 Jul 22+18d | Worcester | Gallops Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 2/8 | 4¼ | 11-9 | 117 | 87A | 129A | James Davies | 3/1 |
| 16 Jun 22+26d | Ffos Las | AB Glass Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/6 | 11-2 | 117 | 77A | 112B | James Davies | 2/1 | |
| 21 May 22+43d | Stratford | Hydraulic Centre Limited 40th Anniversary Handicap Chase | 5/7 | 4¾ | 11-2 | 123 | 110C | 98C | James Davies | 8/1 |
| 08 Apr 22+166d | Fontwell | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 4/4 | 12 | 11-8 | 125 | — | 99C | James Davies | 13/2 |
| 24 Oct 21+24d | Wincanton | Martin Broughton & Friends Racing Welfare Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 1/5 | 11-12 | 120 | 83C | 129B | James Davies | 6/4F | |
| 30 Sep 21+38d | Warwick | Colliers Saves Business Rates Handicap Chase | 1/5 | 11-10 | 117 | 70C | 131B | James Davies | 10/3 | |
| 23 Aug 21+25d | Stratford | Watch On Racing TV Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 2/6 | 1¾ | 11-8 | 115 | 128B | 120B | James Davies | 5/1 |
| 29 Jul 21+27d | Stratford | Bertie's Racing Cushions Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 1/7 | 11-1 | 109 | 88A | 122B | James Davies | 25/1 | |
| 02 Jul 21+20d | Newton Abbot | St Austell Brewery Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | F/5 | — | 11-5 | 112 | — | — | James Davies | 11/1 |
| 12 Jun 21+9d | Worcester | Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 4/11 | 9 | 11-4 | 113 | 72A | 101A | David Noonan | 15/2 |
| 03 Jun 21+53d | Ffos Las | Casumo Proud Sponsors Of Reading FC Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 5/7 | 1 | 11-9 | 115 | 116B | 107A | Bryan Carver | 6/1 |
| 11 Apr 21+66d | Warwick | Join Racing TV Now Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 2/14 | 5½ | 11-1 | — | 121B | 123A | Bryan Carver | 40/1 |
| 04 Feb 21+797d | Ffos Las | starsports.bet 20k Owners Club Guarantee Novices' Chase (GBB Race) | PU/8 | — | 10-12 | — | — | — | David Noonan | 250/1 |
| 30 Nov 18+19d | Newbury | Ladbrokes 'national Hunt' Maiden Hurdle | 18/20 | shd | 11-0 | — | 50C | 97C | Jamie Moore | 66/1 |
| 11 Nov 18 | Sandown | 188Bet Mobile Bet10 Get10 Standard Open NH Flat Race | 8/11 | ½ | 10-12 | — | 80C | 93C | Jamie Moore | 14/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Fat Sam (GB) won?
- Fat Sam (GB) won 5 of 38 archived starts between 2018 and 2026, a strike rate of 13.2%. Placed 13 times in total (34.2% of starts).
- Who trains Fat Sam (GB)?
- Fat Sam (GB) is trained by David Dennis, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 25 March 2026.
- Who is Fat Sam (GB)'s sire?
- Fat Sam (GB) is by Denham Red (FR) out of Emergence (FR), whose sire is Poliglote.
- What going does Fat Sam (GB) prefer?
- Fat Sam (GB) has the best record on good going: 5 wins from 31 starts (16.1%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Fat Sam (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 100, from the run on 25 March 2026. The highest on record is 129.
- What is Fat Sam (GB)'s sire's record?
- Denham Red (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 16.4% of 592 runs since Jan 2008 (65 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.2% from 184.
- Who are Fat Sam (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Emergence (FR), Fat Sam (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Dry Ol'party (GB) (2). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Dry Ol'party (GB)). The wins came over 2m½f–2m2½f. As at Oct 2026.