What is James Davies's strike rate?

James Davies has won 94 of 1,195 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Davies do best at?

Uttoxeter by strike rate: 12 wins from 73 rides (16.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does James Davies ride most for?

Nick Gifford, with 287 rides since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (12.2%).

What is James Davies's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 1,190 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

James Davies

1,195 rides in the last 5 seasons · 449 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 34 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

94–1,195

Wins / Runs

7.9%

Strike rate

n=1,195

243 (20%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=1,190 · 0.93 incl. margin

−315.85

£1 level stake

n=1,195 at SP · −26.4%

£1.02m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 240 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (89 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,195 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 30.4% when favourite Nick Gifford: 12.2% from 287 LTO winners: 21.3% Rides the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Uttoxeter (16.4%, n=73), clear of the rider's 7.9% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.3% (n=89, Fair A/E 1.18), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.6% (n=122, Fair A/E 0.53). Nick Gifford supplies 24% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.2% vs 7.9%, A/E 1.28) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well beyond 3m (15.6%, n=77) and in Chase races (13.5%, n=342). The standout partner of the record: Aworkinprogress (IRE) — 7 wins from 11 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.8%−3.1

n=395 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −208.67

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.3%+13.4

n=89 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −11.39

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.7%−2.2

n=298 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −106.54

When favourite

30.4%

n=46 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −11.72

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.6%−6.3

n=122 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −110.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.9

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 21.3% vs 7.9% · n=89

At Uttoxeter 16.4% vs 7.9% · n=73

Beyond 3m 15.6% vs 7.9% · n=77

With Gary Hanmer 16.3% vs 7.9% · n=49

In Chase races 13.5% vs 7.9% · n=342

With Henry Oliver 16.2% vs 7.9% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 724 40 5.5% −348.34

Chase 342 46 13.5% +96.41

NH Flat 126 8 6.3% −60.92

Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 558 44 7.9% −131.04

Good to Soft 286 16 5.6% −131.72

Soft 242 23 9.5% −60.47

Heavy 80 11 13.8% +36.38

Good to Firm 28 0 0% −28.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Plumpton 106 8 7.5% −33.00

Fontwell 101 10 9.9% −21.00

Huntingdon 82 6 7.3% −29.67

Uttoxeter 73 12 16.4% +14.96

Taunton 71 2 2.8% −49.50

Exeter 67 7 10.4% −30.88

Newton Abbot 62 5 8.1% −3.75

Warwick 61 4 6.6% −29.50

Stratford 56 6 10.7% +46.50

Chepstow 52 2 3.8% −36.50

Worcester 49 3 6.1% −9.50

Wincanton 46 3 6.5% +18.00

Lingfield 41 5 12.2% −20.67

Hereford 40 1 2.5% −37.62

Ffos Las 30 2 6.7% +24.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 576 46 8% −61.09

Class 4 479 37 7.7% −180.14

Class 3 92 8 8.7% −52.62

Class 2 36 2 5.6% −23.00

Class 1 12 1 8.3% +1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 51 16 31.4% 1.01 −6.72

2nd–3rd fav 178 31 17.4% 1.04 −31.13

4th–6th fav 417 35 8.4% 1.24 −22.00

7th+ in betting 549 12 2.2% 0.93 −256.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

75.9% completed · 1,066 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 342 71.6% 9 4 84 0 0

Hurdle 724 77.9% 8 4 148 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

River Tyne (GB) 22 3 12 7 May 25

Fat Sam (GB) 21 2 7 21 Aug 25

Northern Poet (IRE) 17 5 6 4 May 26

Koenigsstern (IRE) 17 1 7 27 Mar 26

Calli Black (IRE) 16 1 2 1 Jul 26

Fairway Freddy (IRE) 15 2 3 31 Mar 24

Miss Maverick (GB) 14 6 10 10 Jul 26

Square Du Roule (FR) 14 0 4 17 Mar 26

Boys Of Wexford (GB) 13 2 4 6 May 26

Miss Marette (GB) 13 0 1 2 Apr 25

Low Expectations (IRE) 11 3 3 29 Mar 26

Aworkinprogress (IRE) 11 7 7 14 Mar 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 449 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

676991261375118

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNick Gifford

24% of all rides
12.2% SR · A/E 1.28

TrainerRWSR£1

Nick Gifford 287 35 12.2% −31.81

Chris Down 152 11 7.2% +2.87

Noel Williams 86 7 8.1% −17.25

Nigel Hawke 72 5 6.9% −22.50

Gary Hanmer 49 8 16.3% −0.92

Richard Rowe 47 2 4.3% −33.50

David Weston 40 4 10% +20.50

Henry Oliver 37 6 16.2% +50.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

304

Archived wins

£2.79m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 32 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Donnacha (IRE) — Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Jan 2026 · Class 1

£56,950

Dresden (IRE) — Shawbrook Handicap Chase Ascot · Nov 2015 · Class 2

£43,792

Keel Haul (IRE) — Paddy Power Handicap Chase Cheltenham · Nov 2015 · Class 2

£28,152

Notable horses

Aworkinprogress (IRE) Miss Maverick (GB) Generous Day (IRE) Fat Sam (GB) Fairway Freddy (IRE) Northern Poet (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 22.2% · 8–36

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,884 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Califet (FR) 3.2% · 1–31

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,802 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Getaway (GER) 16.7% · 5–30

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,001 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Dartmouth (GB) 0% · 0–27

Progeny have won 9.9% of 504 runs since 2021 (80 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.1% from 196.

Kayf Tara (GB) 14.8% · 4–27

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,757 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Sans Frontieres (IRE) 11.5% · 3–26

Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,256 runs since 2018 (156 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.1% from 184.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,908 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,908 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 4 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Northern Rose (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran F 14/1

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Venezuelan (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 100/30

03 Oct 26 Fontwell No Mean Feat (IRE)T: Simon Hodgson Attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 9 ran 6th 7/2

27 Sep 26 Epsom Seeking Charles (FR)T: Mark Usher Betfred 'Nifty 50' Jump Jockeys Derby Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 13 ran 7th 3/1F

22 Sep 26 Fontwell No Mean Feat (IRE)T: Simon Hodgson Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 11/1

15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Northern Rose (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 4th 16/1

10 Sep 26 Worcester At Sunrise (GB)T: David Weston CopyBet BOG Now For Doncaster Tomorrow Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 8th 40/1

04 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Northern Rose (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Kinsey Anniversary Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 6/1

04 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Barry Fife (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Genesis Wealth Management Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 16/1

28 Aug 26 Fontwell Charlie My Boy (IRE)T: J. R. Jenkins Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 33/1

23 Aug 26 Worcester I've Got A Friend (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Neu-Servo Neigh Bad Repairs Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 1st 10/1

22 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Lundy View (GB)T: Nigel Hawke Celebrating National Racehorse Week Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Firm · 4 ran PU 80/1

20 Aug 26 Stratford Northern Rose (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7th 4/1

26 Jul 26 Uttoxeter King Sacre (FR)T: Nigel Hawke Cl Cleaning Services Ken Boulton Memorial Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran PU 17/2

26 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Northern Rose (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Roys Ices Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 1st 100/30

19 Jul 26 Stratford Northern Rose (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Dave Shrader Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 3/1

18 Jul 26 Market Rasen Modern Style (GB)T: Nigel Hawke Watch Live Racing At Betway Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 11th 12/1

10 Jul 26 Worcester Miss Maverick (GB)T: Gary Hanmer Amodil Group Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 1st 13/2

07 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Happy Harrison (GB)T: Gary Hanmer CopyBet Proudly Backs UK Horse Racing Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 9th 150/1

03 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Lundy View (GB)T: Nigel Hawke Sky Sports Racing Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Davies's strike rate?: James Davies has won 94 of 1,195 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Davies do best at?: Uttoxeter by strike rate: 12 wins from 73 rides (16.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does James Davies ride most for?: Nick Gifford, with 287 rides since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (12.2%).
What is James Davies's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 1,190 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.