What is David Dennis's strike rate?

David Dennis has won 39 of 383 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Dennis do best at?

Huntingdon by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for David Dennis?

Tom Bellamy, with 106 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (2.8%).

Is David Dennis in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is David Dennis's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 382 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

David Dennis

383 runners in the last 5 seasons · 43 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 6 days ago 94% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

39–383

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=383

105 (27%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=382 · 0.94 incl. margin

+86.12

£1 level stake

n=383 at SP · +22.5%

£477k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08). With a claiming rider up the record reads 22% (67 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 383 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–May Tom Bellamy: 2.8% from 106 Claiming riders: 22.4%

The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 22.4% (n=67, Fair A/E 1.96), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.4% (n=68, Fair A/E 0.71). Tom Bellamy rides 28% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (2.8% vs 10.2%, A/E 0.35). The yard also reads well in Class 3 (20.4%, n=49) and off a 8-14-day break (19%, n=42). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 4.3% over 47 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Flying Verse (GB) — 10 wins from 53 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.4%−5.8

n=68 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −42.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.1%−3.1

n=14 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −5.50

Debutants · first career start

0%−10.2

n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.1%−3.1

n=14 · A/E 1.79 · £1 −4.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.3%−1.9

n=12 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −7.00

When favourite

26.7%

n=15 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −3.50

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

22.4%+12.2

n=67 · A/E 1.96 · £1 +18.62

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.2

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With claiming riders up 22.4% vs 10.2% · n=67

On last-time-out winners 22.5% vs 10.2% · n=40

In Class 3 20.4% vs 10.2% · n=49

With Tom Bellamy 2.8% vs 10.2% · n=106

Off a 8-14-day break 19% vs 10.2% · n=42

Off a 61-180-day break 4.3% vs 10.2% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 176 15 8.5% +152.74

Chase 162 21 13% −46.62

Flat 24 2 8.3% −6.50

NH Flat 21 1 4.8% −13.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 188 22 11.7% +142.63

Good to Soft 84 7 8.3% −44.50

Soft 63 6 9.5% +7.74

Standard (AW) 20 2 10% −2.50

Heavy 19 1 5.3% −11.50

Good to Firm 9 1 11.1% −5.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hereford 33 2 6.1% −19.00

Huntingdon 31 4 12.9% +191.00

Warwick 25 2 8% −15.62

Stratford 25 4 16% +44.75

Worcester 23 3 13% −3.50

Uttoxeter 21 1 4.8% −18.38

Market Rasen 19 3 15.8% −2.75

Chepstow 17 0 0% −17.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 16 2 12.5% +1.50

Southwell 14 0 0% −14.00

Taunton 12 1 8.3% −2.50

Plumpton 12 2 16.7% −4.50

Exeter 11 0 0% −11.00

Wincanton 11 3 27.3% +2.25

Fontwell 10 1 10% −6.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 171 17 9.9% −25.25

Class 4 113 8 7.1% +124.50

Class 3 49 10 20.4% +7.87

Class 2 28 2 7.1% −16.50

Class 6 17 2 11.8% +0.50

Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 19 5 26.3% 0.97 −4.50

2nd–3rd fav 90 17 18.9% 1.09 −8.88

4th–6th fav 138 13 9.4% 1.16 −41.50

7th+ in betting 136 4 2.9% 0.99 +141.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.5% completed · 338 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 162 78.4% 5 3 27 0 0

Hurdle 176 82.4% 1 2 28 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Innisfree Lad (IRE)from James Ewart 28 3 6 12 Nov 24

Ballynaheer (IRE) 27 5 11 12 Oct 26

Libor Lad (GB) 20 2 6 12 Mar 25

Lighthouse Mill (IRE) 20 1 6 21 May 24

Hobie (FR) 19 3 5 18 Mar 26

Flying Verse (GB) 19 3 8 9 May 23

Kally Des Bruyeres (FR) 18 3 4 12 Oct 26

Time Interval (GB)from David Pipe · then Dan Skelton 17 3 6 19 Apr 26

Cyclop (IRE)from Patrice Quinton 17 3 8 11 Mar 24

Imperial Pride (IRE) 15 1 5 22 Apr 26

Broken Quest (IRE) 15 3 8 1 Jun 24

Harthill (FR) 13 1 2 26 Mar 26

All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Matt Sheppard (3) and David Pipe (2); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for W Ross (2); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

392313161301082143

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTom Bellamy

28% of all rides
2.8% SR · A/E 0.35

RiderRWSR£1

Tom Bellamy 106 3 2.8% −82.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

199

Archived wins

£1.76m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 51 wins

Roman Flight (IRE) — Bet365 Open Handicap Chase Newbury · Nov 2016 · Class 2

£31,280

Cyclop (IRE) — Bet In-Running On Racing At BetVictor Veterans' Handicap Chase Newbury · Mar 2023 · Class 2

£18,211

Roman Flight (IRE) — Totequadpot Four Places In Four Races Handicap Chase Stratford · Oct 2016 · Class 2

£15,825

Notable horses

Flying Verse (GB) Roman Flight (IRE) Deauville Dancer (IRE) Steel Summit (IRE) Final Nudge (IRE) Cyclop (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Yeats (IRE) 12.8% · 6–47

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.

Mahler (GB) 18.5% · 5–27

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Getaway (GER) 16% · 4–25

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,914 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Passing Glance (GB) 9.1% · 2–22

Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,531 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 221. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.3% from 289. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 110. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.

Leading Light (IRE) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,196 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.

Ask (GB) 15.8% · 3–19

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,214 runs since 2008 (283 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,066 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,066 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 September 2013 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Georgie's Lady (IRE)J: Charlie Todd BETTING.BET Free Bets Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 100/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Kally Des Bruyeres (FR)J: Jonathan Burke CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 100/30

12 Oct 26 Worcester Ballynaheer (IRE)J: Rian Corcoran CopyBet For Champions League Profit Boosts Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 4th 8/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Gasmani (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 4th 20/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Georgie's Lady (IRE)J: Charlie Todd Market Rasen Racecourse Conference & Events Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 33/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Georgemani (IRE)J: Charlie Todd Fbc Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 150/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Kally Des Bruyeres (FR)J: Jonathan Burke CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 7/1

22 Sep 26 Fontwell Ballynaheer (IRE)J: Rian Corcoran Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 11/1

04 Sep 26 Worcester Georgie's Lady (IRE)J: Charlie Todd John Burke Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 6th 200/1

24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Georgie's Lady (IRE)J: Charlie Todd QuinnBet Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 9th 40/1

22 Jul 26 Worcester Military Saint (IRE)J: Tom Bellamy Colin Jones Memorial Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) (Div I)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 6th 80/1

05 Jul 26 Market Rasen Military Saint (IRE)J: Tom Bellamy Malton Marquees Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 28/1

30 May 26 Stratford Ballynaheer (IRE)J: Rian Corcoran Farmers Fresh Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 27.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 10/1

22 May 26 Worcester Gasmani (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 8th 12/1

05 May 26 Hereford Kally Des Bruyeres (FR)J: Charlie Maggs Wye Valley Skips Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran F 3/1

04 May 26 Warwick Maxiani (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Moore & Tibbits Family Fun Day Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran PU 150/1

24 Apr 26 Fontwell Ballynaheer (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke KSR Lighting, The Ultimate Lighting Solutions Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26f · Good · 5 ran 5th 18/5

22 Apr 26 Taunton Gasmani (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Charles Clark Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 5/1

22 Apr 26 Ludlow Imperial Pride (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Powell & Company Construction Stables & Buildings Mares' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 7th 11/2

19 Apr 26 Stratford Time Interval (GB)J: Tom Bellamy Bet At racingtv.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 13 ran PU 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Dennis's strike rate?: David Dennis has won 39 of 383 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Dennis do best at?: Huntingdon by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Dennis?: Tom Bellamy, with 106 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (2.8%).
Is David Dennis in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David Dennis's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 382 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.