Skip to content
Horse profile

Forsa Bay (IRE)

6yo gelding · Trainer L J Morgan · Owner The Black And White Army
by Walk In The Park (IRE) out of Flowers On Sunday (IRE) (Presenting)
12 runs · 8 courses · from Feb 2024
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won last time out Won at Cartmel Last run 18 Jul 2026 · 1st of 8 Last raced off OR 91
KTB Profile

Forsa Bay is a gelding by Walk In The Park out of a Presenting mare who has one win from 12 starts on turf. The win came at Class 5 level in the Shorefield Supplies Handicap Steeple Chase at Cartmel over 2m1f – 2m4f on good ground in Jul 2026 when he carried an official rating of 91. He races prominently. His last run, at Cartmel in Jul 2026, was a win.

Based on 12 archived runs · run-style from 10 commented runs since Nov 2024 · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Typically prominent Wins on good or faster Win at Class 5 OR ↓ 11lb off peak
Official rating91↓ 11lb off peak
91 91–102

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 79 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Cartmel, 18 Jul 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 8 figures · best 107A · median 66
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
Good579A563 runs · 79 / 56
Good to Soft3107A1011 run · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
2m1f – 2m4f5107A793 runs · 79 / 49
1m5f – 2m376B561 run · —

Of 12 runs looked at, 4 have no figure: did not complete (3) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 12 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 123A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Cartmel, 18 Jul 2026 Official rating 91 at the last run, 18 Jul 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 9 figures · best 123A · median 105
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
Good5123A1053 runs · 123 / 105
Good to Soft3119A1181 run · —
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 1 Nov 2025
2m1f – 2m4f5123A1183 runs · 123 / 119
1m5f – 2m4105B971 run · —

Of 12 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (3).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 12 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 10 analysed runs since Nov 2024

  • Prominent 6 (60%) · 1 win
  • Mid-division 2 (20%) · 0 wins
  • Held up 2 (20%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 13.3% of 7,001 runs since May 2011 (699 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Good to Firm501122%+8.7—
Good1,88425613.6%+0.31 from 6
Good to Soft1,57321613.7%+0.40 from 5
Soft2,46032013%−0.30 from 1
Heavy99713013%−0.3—
Standard (AW)3712.7%−10.6—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f100%−13.3—
6f – 7f1815.6%−7.7—
1m – 1m1f2600%−13.3—
1m2f – 1m4f75912%−1.3—
1m5f – 2m2,22831013.9%+0.60 from 4
2m1f – 2m4f2,81540514.4%+1.11 from 7
2m5f – 3m1,54717211.1%−2.20 from 1
Over 3m2913712.7%−0.6—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since May 2011 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Flowers On Sunday (IRE) (Presenting)

4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Eaton Collina (IRE) (5 wins).

The wins came over 2m3½f–2m5f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Eaton Collina (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Eaton Collina (IRE)2752m3½f–2m5fClass 3
Reilly (IRE)1112m3½fClass 4
Glorious Oscar (IRE)40——
Mount Etna (IRE)10——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 6 1 17% +6.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 5 8 1 13% +4.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Market Rasen 3 0 0% −3.00
Newcastle 3 0 0% −3.00
Cartmel 1 1 100% +11.00
Hereford 1 0 0% −1.00
Sedgefield 1 0 0% −1.00
Bangor-on-Dee 1 0 0% −1.00
Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00
Wetherby 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f 7 1 14% +5.00
1m5f – 2m 4 0 0% −4.00
2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Brian Hughes 5 0 0% −5.00
Miss Ellie Callwood 3 0 0% −3.00
Adam Wedge 2 0 0% −2.00
Danny McMenamin 1 1 100% +11.00
Kevin Brogan 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 7 0 0% −7.00
Visor 3 1 33% +9.00
Tongue tie + cheekpieces 1 0 0% −1.00
Hood 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 5 1 20% +7.00
2025 4 0 0% −4.00
2024 3 0 0% −3.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Chase 6 1 17% +6.00
Hurdle 5 0 0% −5.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 5 runs
18 Jul 26+71d Cartmel Shorefield Supplies Handicap Steeple Chase Class 5 · 2m1½f · Good · 8 ran well placed early and disputed the front after the sixth - untidy at the eighth - driven out approaching the last - ran on well to open a clear advantage 1/8 11-10 9179A123A Danny McMenamin 11/1
08 May 26+33d Market Rasen Tiff And Ang Go West Stakes Handicap Chase Class 5 · 2m5½f · Good · 7 ran Jumped in scrappy fashion early - travelled up with the pace before needing driving by the 10th - lost ground after 4 out - eased and pulled up before 3 out PU/7 — 10-10 94—— Miss Ellie Callwood 10/1
05 Apr 26+18d Market Rasen First Past The Post At CopyBet Handicap Chase Class 5 · 2m1f · Good · 8 ran Handy near front - nudged for effort before 3 out - knocked sideways at that point - driven approaching 2 out - moved into fourth there and stayed on to finish fifth 5/8 nk 11-3 9649B97A Miss Ellie Callwood 9/2
18 Mar 26+42d Hereford Remembering Brian Davies And Volcano Novices' Handicap Chase Class 5 · 2m · Good · 8 ran Held a midpack position early - pushed along approaching 3 out and up into third by 2 out - stayed on to finish third 3/8 3 11-7 9756A105B Miss Ellie Callwood 5/1
04 Feb 26+62d Sedgefield Fairlight Studios Handicap Chase Class 5 · 2m3½f · Good To Soft · 8 ran Held up at the back of the field - drifted left when well behind approaching 3 out and pulled up before 2 out PU/8 — 12-0 98—— Brian Hughes 4/1
2025 · 4 runs
04 Dec 25+236d Market Rasen Play On PricedUp Handicap Chase Class 5 · 2m3f · Good To Soft · 7 ran Sat close to the pace early - moved into second by the 10th before dropping back approaching 3 out - stayed on under pressure but outpaced before the last 3/7 7 12-0 9929A119A Brian Hughes 5/1
12 Apr 25+58d Bangor-on-Dee Thorncliffe Building Supplies Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 2m½f · Good · 6 ran Settled midfield early - dropped away and needed urging following 4th - well off the pace before 4 out and finished last of all 5/6 49 11-6 10241C89C Adam Wedge 10/1
13 Feb 25+28d Newcastle Al Dousari Qatar Equine Products UK Novices' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 2m1f · Good To Soft · 13 ran Settled handy early but scratchy over 4th - lost touch after 6th - eased and pulled up before 3 out PU/13 — 11-11 102—— Brian Hughes 11/2
16 Jan 25+33d Newcastle Watch Unbridled On attheraces.com Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) Class 4 · 2m1f · Good To Soft · 11 ran Handy in third early but scratchy over fences - unable to close on leader from 2 out while holding second - drifted left at the final fence - stayed on to the finish for second 2/11 8½ 11-8 —107A118A Brian Hughes 7/2
2024 · 3 runs
14 Dec 24+14d Doncaster bet365 Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 3 · 2m3½f · Good To Soft · 8 ran Tracked leading pair 4 out - hampered in stride there - dropped away before 3 out under pressure - faded from 2 out to finish fourth 4/8 2¾ 11-0 —101A115A Brian Hughes 33/1
30 Nov 24+301d Newcastle BetMGM EBF 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 2 · 2m · Good · 9 ran Held up at the back - pressed for effort 3 out - dropped away soon after - well held at the finish 7/9 nk 11-4 —76B105A Adam Wedge 125/1
03 Feb 24 Wetherby racingtv.com Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race) Class 5 · 2m · Soft · 11 ran 10/11 24 10-9 ——78C Kevin Brogan 13/2

Quick answers

How many races has Forsa Bay won?
Forsa Bay (IRE) won 1 of 12 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 8.3%. Placed 3 times in total (25% of starts).
Who trains Forsa Bay?
Forsa Bay (IRE) is trained by L J Morgan, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 18 July 2026.
Who is Forsa Bay's sire?
Forsa Bay (IRE) is by Walk In The Park (IRE) out of Flowers On Sunday (IRE), whose sire is Presenting.
What going does Forsa Bay prefer?
Forsa Bay (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Forsa Bay's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 91, from the run on 18 July 2026. The highest on record is 102.
What is Forsa Bay's sire's record?
Walk In The Park (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.3% of 7,001 runs since May 2011 (699 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Forsa Bay's siblings?
Out of Flowers On Sunday (IRE), Forsa Bay (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Eaton Collina (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Eaton Collina (IRE)). The wins came over 2m3½f–2m5f. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from February 2024. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.