What is L J Morgan's strike rate?

L J Morgan has won 103 of 837 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does L J Morgan do best at?

Perth by strike rate: 12 wins from 41 runners (29.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for L J Morgan?

Adam Wedge, with 252 runners since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (13.1%).

Is L J Morgan in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is L J Morgan's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 835 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

L J Morgan

837 runners in the last 5 seasons · 139 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 90% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2022

103–837

Wins / Runs

12.3%

Strike rate

n=837

205 (25%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=835 · 0.94 incl. margin

−115.32

£1 level stake

n=837 at SP · −13.8%

£1.13m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 170 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06). With a claiming rider up the record reads 15% (205 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 837 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 38.6% when favourite Adam Wedge: 13.1% from 252 Claiming riders: 14.6% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Perth (29.3%, n=41), Musselburgh (25.7%, n=35) and Leicester (21.6%, n=37) — all clear of the yard's 12.3% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 5.1% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.56). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 14.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.56 and +138.16 to a £1 stake over 205 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Adam Wedge rides 30% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.1%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 34 runners, 12.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Socialist Agenda (GB) — 7 wins from 34 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.3%−1.0

n=194 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −11.37

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.1%−7.2

n=59 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −29.50

Debutants · first career start

6.7%−5.6

n=45 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −5.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.1%−5.2

n=56 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −36.56

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.7%−2.6

n=62 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −33.34

When favourite

38.6%

n=83 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −7.77

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.6%+2.3

n=205 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +138.16

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−12.3

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 27.8% vs 12.3% · n=108

At Perth 29.3% vs 12.3% · n=41

At Musselburgh 25.7% vs 12.3% · n=35

In Class 1 0% vs 12.3% · n=34

With Danny McMenamin 24.2% vs 12.3% · n=33

At Leicester 21.6% vs 12.3% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 367 62 16.9% −71.50

Hurdle 357 30 8.4% −105.06

Flat 85 7 8.2% +45.99

NH Flat 28 4 14.3% +15.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 387 54 14% −34.54

Good to Soft 181 16 8.8% −111.26

Soft 155 20 12.9% −14.26

Standard (AW) 64 7 10.9% +66.99

Heavy 37 6 16.2% −9.25

Good to Firm 13 0 0% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell 153 20 13.1% −71.21

Market Rasen 100 11 11% −36.47

Perth 41 12 29.3% +20.08

Leicester 37 8 21.6% −6.98

Musselburgh 35 9 25.7% −5.82

Wetherby 35 5 14.3% −15.00

Southwell (AW) 32 5 15.6% +88.37

Worcester 28 2 7.1% −6.00

Uttoxeter 25 1 4% −19.50

Catterick 24 4 16.7% −6.13

Sedgefield 21 2 9.5% +68.50

Fakenham 20 1 5% −14.50

Cheltenham 19 0 0% −19.00

Aintree 19 0 0% −19.00

Stratford 19 2 10.5% −11.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 309 39 12.6% −49.05

Class 5 272 37 13.6% −60.17

Class 3 111 16 14.4% −42.09

Class 6 59 6 10.2% +66.99

Class 2 52 5 9.6% +3.00

Class 1 34 0 0% −34.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 95 34 35.8% 0.99 −10.27

2nd–3rd fav 184 41 22.3% 1.23 +4.95

4th–6th fav 279 23 8.2% 1.09 −24.00

7th+ in betting 279 5 1.8% 0.62 −86.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.8% completed · 724 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 367 78.7% 11 6 61 0 0

Hurdle 357 84.9% 2 4 48 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Socialist Agenda (GB) 29 4 7 1 Feb 25

We Got Your Back (GB)from Miss Elizabeth Anne Lalor 28 3 9 9 May 26

The Vollan (IRE)from Charlie Longsdon 26 4 7 27 Feb 24

Percussion (GB) 24 2 10 3 Apr 25

Whistleinthedark (IRE)from Richard Hawker 23 6 8 23 Apr 26

Clear The Runway (IRE) 22 7 8 23 Oct 24

Friary Rock (FR)from M F Morris 21 3 5 22 Apr 25

Larkfield Lusive (IRE)from R P Rath 19 3 7 29 Aug 26

My Portia (GB) 16 1 3 28 Nov 25

Seemingly So (IRE)from Olly Murphy 16 2 3 6 Aug 23

Sirius White (IRE)from Henry Spiller 14 3 7 18 Dec 25

J'ai Froid (IRE)from Ben Case 14 3 4 13 Mar 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 139 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Johnny Farrelly (2) and Nicky Henderson (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1517119221199710149

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAdam Wedge

30% of all rides
13.1% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

Adam Wedge 252 33 13.1% −121.10

Brian Hughes 95 15 15.8% −10.72

Lewis Dobb 84 13 15.5% −20.55

Patrick Cowley 63 11 17.5% −13.17

Harry Reed 36 3 8.3% +10.25

Danny McMenamin 33 8 24.2% +9.35

John Kington 33 3 9.1% −12.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

176

Archived wins

£1.66m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 48 wins

J'ai Froid (IRE) — Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Warwick · Jan 2024 · Class 2

£15,609

Socialist Agenda (GB) — bet365 Scottish County Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Musselburgh · Feb 2022 · Class 2

£15,609

Go West Young Man (IRE) — Mackie's Summer Sundaes Handicap Chase Perth · Jul 2018 · Class 3

£13,126

Notable horses

Socialist Agenda (GB) Clear The Runway (IRE) Fire Away (IRE) J'ai Froid (IRE) Skipping On (IRE) Whistleinthedark (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 16.7% · 9–54

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Mahler (GB) 15.4% · 6–39

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,837 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Scorpion (IRE) 14.3% · 5–35

Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,313 runs since 2008 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 141.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 9.1% · 3–33

Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,815 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Fame And Glory (GB) 21.9% · 7–32

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).

Malinas (GER) 15.6% · 5–32

Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,939 runs since 2008 (419 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,433 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,433 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 February 2010 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Cadillac Ranch (IRE)J: Miss Ellie Callwood Vickers Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/2

17 Oct 26 Stratford Ballyearl (FR)J: Alice Stevens Annual Membership For Christmas Female Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Female Professional Jockeys And Amateur Riders' Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 50/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Abu Royal (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 8/1

10 Oct 26 Hexham Achille Des Rocs (FR)J: Danny McMenamin Blaydon Races Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 15.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 100/30

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Cadillac Ranch (IRE)J: Miss Ellie Callwood Winning Connections Conference Hire Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 18/1

16 Sep 26 Beverley Abu Royal (IRE)J: Billy Garritty Hurn Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8.5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 5/1

14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Scoro (FR)J: Danny McMenamin Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran PU 10/1

14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Achille Des Rocs (FR)J: Danny McMenamin Bill & Teresa Florentines 50th Anniversary Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 100/30

08 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Cadillac Ranch (IRE)J: Miss Ellie Callwood Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 28/1

31 Aug 26 Cartmel Achille Des Rocs (FR)J: Danny McMenamin Furness Rda Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 6/1

31 Aug 26 Cartmel Ballyearl (FR)J: Danny McMenamin Campbell & Rowley Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 22f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 50/1

29 Aug 26 Cartmel Scoro (FR)J: Danny McMenamin Cengiz Sadik Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (For The Cengiz Sadik Memorial Trophy)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 4th 16/1

29 Aug 26 Cartmel Larkfield Lusive (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Hadwins Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 18/1

28 Aug 26 Sedgefield Cadillac Ranch (IRE)J: Miss Ellie Callwood Darlington Ra & Ellie Wake Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 1st 80/1

24 Aug 26 Musselburgh Abu Royal (IRE)J: Billy Garritty Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 16/1

23 Aug 26 Worcester Treshnish Point (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Neu-Servo Neigh Bad Repairs Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 10th 9/1

19 Aug 26 Worcester Cadillac Ranch (IRE)J: Brian Hughes CopyBet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran PU 300/1

22 Jul 26 Worcester Achille Des Rocs (FR)J: Richie McLernon Bathroom Studio Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran PU 66/1

18 Jul 26 Cartmel Forsa Bay (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Shorefield Supplies Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 11/1

16 Jul 26 Worcester Scoro (FR)J: Richie McLernon CopyBet Daily Profit Boost Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 6th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is L J Morgan's strike rate?: L J Morgan has won 103 of 837 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does L J Morgan do best at?: Perth by strike rate: 12 wins from 41 runners (29.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for L J Morgan?: Adam Wedge, with 252 runners since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (13.1%).
Is L J Morgan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is L J Morgan's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 835 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.