Gelsmoor Bay (GB)
Gelsmoor Bay (GB) is yet to win from 5 starts.
- 0–5Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −5.00£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=5 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 45Highest OR
- 12dBetween runs (median)
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 50
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 56C | 40 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 56C | 30 | — |
| Under 6f | 2 | 50A | 22 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 3,727 runs since Apr 2019 (243 horses).
Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 645. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | +3.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 629 | 77 | 12.2% | +2.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 815 | 84 | 10.3% | +0.4 | — |
| Good to Soft | 332 | 26 | 7.8% | −2.1 | — |
| Soft | 359 | 37 | 10.3% | +0.4 | — |
| Heavy | 102 | 9 | 8.8% | −1.1 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,475 | 133 | 9% | −0.9 | 0 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 645 | 89 | 13.8% | +3.9 | 0 from 2 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,897 | 174 | 9.2% | −0.7 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 784 | 80 | 10.2% | +0.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 290 | 16 | 5.5% | −4.4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 79 | 7 | 8.9% | −1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 30 | 2 | 6.7% | −3.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −9.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2019 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Rajman (GB) (3 wins).
The wins came over 7f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Rajman (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajman (GB) | 23 | 3 | 7f | Class 6 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Mathers | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Noel Garbutt | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieren Fox | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrew Elliott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 25 Sep 19+22d | Newcastle (AW) | Sky Sports Racing On Sky 415 Nursery | 12/13 | 13 | 8-1 | 45 | 56C | 7C | Paddy Mathers | 150/1 |
| 03 Sep 19+22d | Kempton (AW) | Matchbook Betting Podcast Nursery | 10/10 | 10 | 8-7 | 45 | 11C | 4C | Paddy Mathers | 50/1 |
| 12 Aug 19+9d | Wolverhampton (AW) | An Absolutely Stupendous Piece Of Confectionary Novice Median Auction Stakes | 8/8 | nk | 8-8 | — | 50A | 22A | Noel Garbutt | 100/1 |
| 03 Aug 19+12d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Bet toteplacepot At totesport.com Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10) | 8/8 | 9 | 9-0 | — | 30C | 32C | Kieren Fox | 200/1 |
| 22 Jul 19 | Beverley | Racing TV EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10) | 10/10 | 10 | 9-0 | — | -6C | 11C | Andrew Elliott | 125/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Gelsmoor Bay won?
- Gelsmoor Bay (GB) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts in 2019.
- Who trained Gelsmoor Bay?
- Gelsmoor Bay (GB) was trained by Derek Shaw on the most recent run on record, at Newcastle (AW) on 25 September 2019.
- Who is Gelsmoor Bay's sire?
- Gelsmoor Bay (GB) is by Cable Bay (IRE) out of Mutheera (GB), whose sire is Oasis Dream.
- What is Gelsmoor Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 45, from the run on 25 September 2019. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Gelsmoor Bay's sire's record?
- Cable Bay (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 3,727 runs since Apr 2019 (243 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 645. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
- Who are Gelsmoor Bay's siblings?
- Out of Mutheera (GB), Gelsmoor Bay (GB) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Rajman (GB) (3). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Rajman (GB)). The wins came over 7f. As at Nov 2026.