What is Paddy Mathers's strike rate?

Paddy Mathers has won 25 of 483 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paddy Mathers do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 3 wins from 50 rides (6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Paddy Mathers ride most for?

R Mike Smith, with 135 rides since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (2.2%).

What is Paddy Mathers's Fair A/E?

0.70, from 479 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Paddy Mathers

483 rides in the last 5 seasons · 181 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jul 2024 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

25–483

Wins / Runs

5.2%

Strike rate

n=483

92 (19%)

Placed

0.70

Fair A/E

n=479 · 0.60 incl. margin

−236.95

£1 level stake

n=483 at SP · −49.1%

£306k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 100 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.70).

Deterministic profile computed from 483 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.3% R Mike Smith: 2.2% from 135

The read

It is weakest at Musselburgh (0% over 31 rides) — the widest gap in the record. R Mike Smith supplies 28% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (2.2% vs 5.2%, A/E 0.28). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (9.3%, n=54). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 1.6% over 64 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Weatherbys Hamilton Insurance 300,000 2-Y-O Stakes at Doncaster (Sep 2014, £274,621). The standout partner of the record: Glasses Up (USA) — 6 wins from 41 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.2%+0.0

n=153 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −44.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

10.7%+5.5

n=28 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −14.40

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.3%+0.1

n=76 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −11.00

When favourite

13.6%

n=22 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −14.28

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.4%−1.8

n=59 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −27.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Rebecca Menzies 13.6% vs 5.2% · n=44

At Musselburgh 0% vs 5.2% · n=31

With C&D winners 9.1% vs 5.2% · n=88

Off a 0-7-day break 9.3% vs 5.2% · n=54

Off a 31-60-day break 1.6% vs 5.2% · n=64

With Adrian Nicholls 8.9% vs 5.2% · n=56

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 143 5 3.5% −77.38

Standard (AW) 97 3 3.1% −84.40

Good to Soft 94 5 5.3% −60.17

Good to Firm 82 7 8.5% +11.50

Soft 57 4 7% −21.00

Heavy 10 1 10% −5.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ayr 95 5 5.3% −55.67

Newcastle (AW) 53 1 1.9% −47.50

Hamilton 50 3 6% −29.38

Musselburgh 31 0 0% −31.00

Beverley 27 1 3.7% −14.00

Catterick 27 1 3.7% −21.50

Redcar 24 2 8.3% +10.00

Carlisle 22 2 9.1% +8.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 21 2 9.5% −13.90

Southwell (AW) 20 0 0% −20.00

Thirsk 20 4 20% +13.00

Ripon 19 0 0% −19.00

Doncaster 14 2 14.3% +30.00

Pontefract 11 0 0% −11.00

Nottingham 11 2 18.2% +3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 208 15 7.2% −63.45

Class 5 148 6 4.1% −92.50

Class 4 82 4 4.9% −36.00

Class 3 28 0 0% −28.00

Class 2 17 0 0% −17.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 23 3 13% 0.46 −15.28

2nd–3rd fav 60 8 13.3% 0.86 −15.17

4th–6th fav 160 11 6.9% 0.87 −36.50

7th+ in betting 240 3 1.3% 0.42 −170.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Black Friday (GB) 25 1 6 15 Jul 24

Glasses Up (USA) 15 0 3 22 May 24

Nodsasgoodasawink (GB) 15 0 1 31 Oct 23

Royal Countess (GB) 14 0 3 5 Sep 23

Earn Your Stripes (GB) 12 0 1 22 Jul 24

One Of Our Own (GB) 11 2 3 24 Jul 24

Berkshire Phantom (IRE) 11 2 5 30 Mar 24

Wrecked It Ralph (GB) 10 1 3 12 Aug 23

Selby's Pride (GB) 10 1 4 20 Apr 23

Mews House (GB) 9 1 2 8 Apr 24

Retirement Beckons (GB) 9 2 2 7 Nov 23

Tees George (GB) 7 0 3 19 Jul 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 181 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

0126348593070

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardR Mike Smith

28% of all rides
2.2% SR · A/E 0.28

TrainerRWSR£1

R Mike Smith 135 3 2.2% −113.00

Adrian Nicholls 56 5 8.9% −10.50

Rebecca Menzies 44 6 13.6% +18.12

Ian Williams 40 2 5% −27.00

Linda Perratt 31 2 6.5% −13.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

327

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.54m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 42 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Bond's Girl (GB) — Weatherbys Hamilton Insurance 300,000 2-Y-O Stakes Doncaster · Sep 2014 · Class 2

£274,621

The Wagon Wheel (IRE) — Betway Stakes (Nursery Handicap) York · Aug 2016 · Class 2

£37,350

Pin Up (IRE) — Betfred 'Be Part Of The Action' Handicap Haydock · Sep 2015 · Class 2

£28,013

Notable horses

Glasses Up (USA) Hammer Gun (USA) Dynamo Walt (IRE) Samphire Coast (GB) Loyalty (GB) Mission Impossible (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Equiano (FR) 3.8% · 1–26

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,542 runs since 2014 (549 horses).

Coach House (IRE) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,481 runs since 2018 (145 horses).

Epaulette (AUS) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,067 runs since 2017 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.

Dandy Man (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,980 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Expert Eye (GB) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,212 runs since 2022 (197 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.1% from 406.

Sixties Icon (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 9.9% of 5,682 runs since 2012 (338 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,337.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,292 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,292 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 24 July 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Jul 24 Catterick One Of Our Own (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Racing Again 6th August HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 1st 9/2

24 Jul 24 Catterick Manigordo (USA)T: Adrian Nicholls Sky Bet Supporting Matt Hampson Foundation HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 7th 20/1

22 Jul 24 Ayr Zebra Star (IRE)T: R Mike Smith Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 12th 14/1

22 Jul 24 Ayr Earn Your Stripes (GB)T: R Mike Smith Join Racing Tv Now HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 4th 22/1

21 Jul 24 Redcar One Of Our Own (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Michael Hunter HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 6th 7/1

20 Jul 24 Ripon Fountain Cross (GB)T: Tim Easterby Sky Bet Supporting Matt Hampson Foundation HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 33/1

20 Jul 24 Ripon Tees Aggregates (IRE)T: Adrian Nicholls Dobsons Gaskets EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 5/1

19 Jul 24 Pontefract Tees George (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Sky Bet Supporting Matt Hampson Foundation HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 5th 15/2

19 Jul 24 Pontefract Spanish Blessings (IRE)T: Ollie Pears Northern Commercials Used Stock For Instant Delivery EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 4th 80/1

19 Jul 24 Pontefract Heartened (IRE)T: Ollie Pears Northern Commercials Used Stock For Instant Delivery EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 7th 80/1

17 Jul 24 Thirsk Saaheq (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls David Lever Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 7/1

17 Jul 24 Thirsk Ingleby Archie (IRE)T: Adrian Nicholls JW 4x4 Northallerton HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 4/1

16 Jul 24 Beverley Tees Douge (FR)T: Adrian Nicholls Malcolm Greenslade Doncaster LVA Stalwart Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 16/1

15 Jul 24 Ayr Zebra Star (IRE)T: R Mike Smith Afternoon Tea At Western House Hotel HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 8th 20/1

15 Jul 24 Ayr Black Friday (GB)T: R Mike Smith Ayrshire Cancer Support HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 8th 20/1

13 Jul 24 York Daaris (IRE)T: Kevin Frost John Smith's Stayers' HandicapClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 20/1

08 Jul 24 Ripon Stars Away (IRE)T: Fionn McSharry Family Day Bank Holiday Monday 26th August HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 10th 125/1

08 Jul 24 Ripon Thornaby Pearl (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good · 13 ran 8th 17/2

06 Jul 24 Beverley Dandy's Angel (IRE)T: John Wainwright Maureen 'I Am Fine' Steer Life Celebration HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 4th 25/1

06 Jul 24 Beverley Ifonlytheycudtalk (IRE)T: Tim Easterby George Kilburn Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paddy Mathers's strike rate?: Paddy Mathers has won 25 of 483 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paddy Mathers do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 3 wins from 50 rides (6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Paddy Mathers ride most for?: R Mike Smith, with 135 rides since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (2.2%).
What is Paddy Mathers's Fair A/E?: 0.70, from 479 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.