Hornsea Bay (GB)
Hornsea Bay is 1 from 11 with the win coming at Class 5 level in the Western House Hotel EBF Novice Stakes at Ayr in Sep 2024 over 1m – 1m1f on good ground. All five places have come on turf. He has raced seven times over 1m2f – 1m4f without success. His last run, at York in Oct 2025, was a 3 of 8 finish in a Class 2 handicap off a mark of 88.
- 1–11Wins / Runs
- 9.1%Strike rate
- 5 (45.5%)Placed
- −5.00£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 0.38Fair A/E n=11 · 0.33 incl. margin
- 88Highest OR
- 22dBetween runs (median)longest 184 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 94
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 107A | 83 | — |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 99C | 51 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 7 | 107A | 94 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 94A | 81.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 11 analysed runs since Sep 2024
- Prominent 5 (45%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 3 (27%) · 1 win
- Held up 2 (18%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (9%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 4,005 runs since Jun 2020 (426 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 587 | 92 | 15.7% | +1.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 996 | 140 | 14.1% | −0.2 | 1 from 7 |
| Good to Soft | 474 | 70 | 14.8% | +0.5 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 629 | 81 | 12.9% | −1.4 | — |
| Heavy | 183 | 27 | 14.8% | +0.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,128 | 161 | 14.3% | 0 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 102 | 11 | 10.8% | −3.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,186 | 183 | 15.4% | +1.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,286 | 165 | 12.8% | −1.5 | 1 from 4 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,099 | 165 | 15% | +0.7 | 0 from 7 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 273 | 40 | 14.7% | +0.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 54 | 7 | 13% | −1.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2020 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Trojan Fighter (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m5f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trojan Fighter (GB) | 6 | 1 | 1m5f | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 1 | 14% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Tudhope | 7 | 1 | 14% | −1.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cieren Fallon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Spencer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ben Robinson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 2024 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Oct 25+22d | York | William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled towards the back of the pack - angled right and made progress a furlong out - moved up into second inside the final furlong but couldn't threaten the winner - edged out of the places again near the line | 3/8 | nk | 9-2 | 88 | 94A | 89A | Daniel Tudhope | 3/1J |
| 18 Sep 25+11d | Ayr | Ladbrokes 'Free Bet At Ayr' Kilkerran Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled in the pack early - boxed in with options limited approaching 2f out - found running room tight but made progress inside final 2f - shifted right seeking space then couldn't threaten the leader in the closing stages - stayed on to finish third | 3/13 | shd | 9-3 | 88 | 99C | 91A | Daniel Tudhope | 5/2J |
| 07 Sep 25+31d | York | Sky Bet Extra Places Middle Distance Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled at the back - niggled into contention from 2f out - kept on in the final furlong without the speed to threaten | 5/12 | ½ | 9-3 | 88 | 74A | 89A | Kevin Stott | 8/1 |
| 07 Aug 25+10d | Chepstow | Racing League 21 Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Sat close to leader early - pushed along a furlong out - gave up second spot inside final furlong - faded through the closing stages to finish 6th | 6/12 | hd | 9-0 | 86 | 50A | 81A | Daniel Tudhope | 2/1F |
| 28 Jul 25+24d | Ayr | Outcider Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled with the pack early - moved up 2f out and hit front briefly inside final furlong - fought on but overtaken close home to finish second by three-quarters of a length | 2/9 | ¾ | 9-8 | 86 | 107A | 99A | Daniel Tudhope | 10/3 |
| 04 Jul 25+27d | Doncaster | Instarmac Group Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled off the front group in 4th - improved into contention 3f out and looked for a run on the inside before being checked with 2f left - faded thereafter to finish fourth | 4/7 | 1¼ | 9-8 | 87 | 99A | 79A | Cieren Fallon | 15/8 |
| 07 Jun 25+36d | Epsom Downs | Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Lester Piggott Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Sent to the front early - shifted the group towards the stands rail 3f out - pushed along inside the final furlong and overtaken close home - unable to find more to finish 4th | 4/9 | ½ | 9-7 | 87 | 51A | 86A | Daniel Tudhope | 9/4F |
| 02 May 25+20d | Newmarket | Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' Handicap Held up early - sat just behind pace with two others midfield - made ground into contention 5f out - asked for effort 3f out but faded from 2f out to finish 7th | 7/8 | 1½ | 9-7 | 88 | 83A | 78A | Jamie Spencer | 3/1F |
| 12 Apr 25+184d | Nottingham | British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Sat close up early - pressed for effort a furlong out - weakened close home to finish fourth | 4/5 | ¾ | 9-8 | 88 | 79C | 91B | Ben Robinson | 5/1 |
| 2024 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Oct 24+21d | Ayr | Patron Tequila Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Held up eagerly on rail behind the pace - moved into second entering straight - pressed for the lead inside final furlong but unable to quicken close home | 2/7 | nk | 9-11 | — | 80A | 97A | Daniel Tudhope | 8/11F |
| 19 Sep 24 | Ayr | Western House Hotel EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Wide in the pack early - strong progress 3f out moving with comfort - nudged to the front over 1f out - asserted readily inside the final furlong to score with plenty in hand | 1/11 | 9-7 | — | 94A | 100A | Daniel Tudhope | 5/1 | |
Quick answers
- How many races has Hornsea Bay won?
- Hornsea Bay (GB) won 1 of 11 archived starts between 2024 and 2025, a strike rate of 9.1%. Placed 5 times in total (45.5% of starts).
- Who trained Hornsea Bay?
- Hornsea Bay (GB) was trained by David O'Meara on the most recent run on record, at York on 10 October 2025.
- Who is Hornsea Bay's sire?
- Hornsea Bay (GB) is by New Bay (GB) out of Ice Sprite (GB), whose sire is Zoffany.
- What going does Hornsea Bay prefer?
- Hornsea Bay (GB) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 7 starts (14.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Hornsea Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 88, from the run on 10 October 2025. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Hornsea Bay's sire's record?
- New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 4,005 runs since Jun 2020 (426 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
- Who are Hornsea Bay's siblings?
- Out of Ice Sprite (GB), Hornsea Bay (GB) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Trojan Fighter (GB) (1). The wins came over 1m5f. As at Nov 2026.