What is Kevin Stott's strike rate?

Kevin Stott has won 330 of 2,445 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.5% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Kevin Stott do best at?

Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 23 wins from 87 rides (26.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Kevin Stott ride most for?

Kevin Ryan, with 482 rides since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 56 (11.6%).

Is Kevin Stott in form?

In the last 14 days: 32 rides, 5 winners, a strike rate of 15.6%. That is in line with the baseline of 13.5% since 2022.

What is Kevin Stott's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 2,433 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Kevin Stott

2,445 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,524 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2022

330–2,445

Wins / Runs

13.5%

Strike rate

n=2,445

884 (36%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=2,433 · 0.81 incl. margin

−614.47

£1 level stake

n=2,445 at SP · −25.1%

£6.46m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 490 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 14% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (278 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,445 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Jan 32.9% when favourite Kevin Ryan: 11.6% from 482 LTO winners: 16.2% Rides the favourite in 16% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chelmsford City (AW) (26.4%, n=87), clear of the rider's 13.5% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (4.1% over 73 rides) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.6% (n=180, Fair A/E 0.62). The market has consistently overbet rides on last-time-out winners: 16.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −116.12 to a £1 stake over 278 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Kevin Ryan supplies 20% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.6%, A/E 0.83). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 5.6% over 180 rides, 7.9pts below the baseline. 18 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Keeneland Phoenix Stakes at Curragh (Aug 2023, £177,000). The standout partner of the record: Ben Lilly (IRE) — 7 wins from 10 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

13.1%−0.4

n=1,432 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −337.03

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.2%+2.7

n=278 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −116.12

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11%−2.5

n=344 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −133.72

When favourite

32.9%

n=401 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −60.11

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.1%−6.4

n=324 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −134.74

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.6%−7.9

n=180 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −101.15

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chelmsford City (AW) 26.4% vs 13.5% · n=87

With George Boughey 21.9% vs 13.5% · n=183

In Class 1 5.6% vs 13.5% · n=180

In Group / Graded races 5.6% vs 13.5% · n=180

At Ascot 4.1% vs 13.5% · n=73

With horses switching code 2.9% vs 13.5% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 883 132 14.9% −219.16

Good 577 69 12% −177.34

Good to Firm 469 56 11.9% −184.89

Good to Soft 264 44 16.7% +53.65

Soft 187 22 11.8% −71.11

Heavy 51 5 9.8% −18.62

Firm 14 2 14.3% +3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 224 31 13.8% −13.40

Southwell (AW) 223 28 12.6% −116.13

Wolverhampton (AW) 170 29 17.1% −37.51

Kempton (AW) 121 14 11.6% −40.32

York 114 8 7% −73.75

Beverley 103 14 13.6% −52.41

Doncaster 94 15 16% −8.42

Chelmsford City (AW) 87 23 26.4% +10.87

Haydock 83 6 7.2% −47.55

Ayr 81 9 11.1% +4.67

Thirsk 80 15 18.8% +9.13

Pontefract 75 6 8% −31.95

Ascot 73 3 4.1% −51.90

Hamilton 68 8 11.8% −37.47

Newmarket 62 5 8.1% −18.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 708 116 16.4% −120.61

Class 4 571 84 14.7% −97.12

Class 6 514 74 14.4% −94.49

Class 2 267 27 10.1% −87.67

Class 3 194 17 8.8% −107.76

Class 1 180 10 5.6% −101.15

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 449 144 32.1% 1.00 −59.45

2nd–3rd fav 707 101 14.3% 0.82 −218.52

4th–6th fav 746 69 9.2% 1.09 −80.50

7th+ in betting 543 16 2.9% 0.81 −256.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Alafdhal (IRE) 11 5 7 16 Jan 24

Bielsa (IRE) 8 0 2 11 Nov 23

Rikki Tiki Tavi (IRE) 7 1 2 23 Oct 26

Rock On Thunder (IRE) 7 0 2 10 Oct 26

Dorigo (IRE) 7 0 4 8 Oct 26

Mo Of Cairo (GB) 7 1 3 3 Oct 26

Ain't Nobody (IRE) 7 0 1 22 Sep 26

Mandarin Spirit (IRE) 7 1 2 17 Sep 26

Woodleigh (IRE) 7 2 2 18 Jul 26

Mon Na Slieve (IRE) 7 1 3 25 Jun 26

Sherlock (IRE) 7 1 3 25 Jun 26

Aleezdancer (IRE) 7 2 3 26 Jul 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,524 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

5 from 32 15.6% · +2.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days15.6%

5-season base13.5%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

16101713131313139171519

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardKevin Ryan

20% of all rides
11.6% SR · A/E 0.83

TrainerRWSR£1

Kevin Ryan 482 56 11.6% −210.78

George Boughey 183 40 21.9% −11.98

Edward Bethell 106 15 14.2% −28.73

Philip Kirby 71 10 14.1% +0.13

Richard Hannon 66 5 7.6% −30.43

Roger Fell 58 9 15.5% +24.76

Dominic Ffrench Davis 51 11 21.6% +2.50

Michael Bell 48 7 14.6% −5.62

Michael Appleby 45 6 13.3% +0.25

Phil McEntee 42 9 21.4% −3.62

Charles Hills 41 6 14.6% −19.65

Hugo Palmer 36 3 8.3% −29.09

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

773

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£11.1m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 117 wins

Bucanero Fuerte (GB) — Keeneland Phoenix Stakes (Group 1) Curragh · Aug 2023 · Group 1

£177,000

Hello Youmzain (FR) — Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2020 · Group 1

£148,000

King Of Steel (USA) — King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) Ascot · Jun 2023 · Group 2

£141,775

Notable horses

Ben Lilly (IRE) Dandy's Beano (IRE) Bielsa (IRE) Alafdhal (IRE) Aleezdancer (IRE) Justanotherbottle (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 18.8% · 15–80

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,559 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 25% · 18–72

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,175 runs since 2008 (1,103 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 957.

Mehmas (IRE) 7.6% · 5–66

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,153 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Night Of Thunder (IRE) 11.5% · 7–61

Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,082 runs since 2008 (562 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 158.

Dark Angel (IRE) 3.6% · 2–56

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,898 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Havana Grey (GB) 16.4% · 9–55

Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,558 runs since 2008 (418 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.2% from 413.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,661 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,661 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 May 2012 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Oct 26 Redcar Fordham Flyer (GB)T: Philip Kirby Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 10/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Kiss Me My Love (IRE)T: Roger Fell Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 12 ran 1st 15/8F

26 Oct 26 Redcar Khafiz (IRE)T: Roger Fell Jumps Looks Better On Racing Tv Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 8/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Nascondino (IRE)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler Wear Your Poppy With Pride Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 13/8F

26 Oct 26 Redcar Charmed Boy (IRE)T: Hugo Palmer Ebf "double Trigger" Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 9f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 11/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Age Of Time (FR)T: Tony Carroll Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 5/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) World Star (IRE)T: Ollie Sangster Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 33/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Flash Rascal (GB)T: David Loughnane All-weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 18/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rogue Desire (FR)T: Tony Carroll Aw Trails Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 33/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Masego (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Join The Midnite Movement Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 5/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Betsen (GB)T: Tony Carroll Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 15/2

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Naples (IRE)T: Steph Hollinshead William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Heavy · 18 ran 15th 33/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Rikki Tiki Tavi (IRE)T: Kevin Ryan William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 12 ran 12th 40/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Ay Up Duck (GB)T: Michael Appleby Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 7/2

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Kodi Blue (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 3/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Silesia (GB)T: Kevin Ryan AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 11/10F

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Nakaaha (GB)T: Grace Harris AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 16/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dollar's Dream (IRE)T: Philip Kirby Midnite: Built For 2027 Not 2007 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 10/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Harry Whodeanie (GB)T: Mark Walford Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 12/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Hostility (IRE)T: David O'Meara Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Stott's strike rate?: Kevin Stott has won 330 of 2,445 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.5% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kevin Stott do best at?: Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 23 wins from 87 rides (26.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Kevin Stott ride most for?: Kevin Ryan, with 482 rides since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 56 (11.6%).
Is Kevin Stott in form?: In the last 14 days: 32 rides, 5 winners, a strike rate of 15.6%. That is in line with the baseline of 13.5% since 2022.
What is Kevin Stott's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 2,433 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.