I Do Believe (IRE)
I Do Believe is a filly by Make Believe out of a Raven's Pass mare who has failed to win in six turf starts. Her best effort came when second of eight at Ballinrobe in Jun 2025. She has raced three times at that track without success and has contested races over 1m to 1m4f on good to soft or softer. Her last run, at Gowran Park in Apr 2026, was her first for the yard and came in first-time headgear when she finished 14th of 14 off an official rating of 56.
- 0–6Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 1 (16.7%)Placed
- −6.00£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=6 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 58Highest OR
- 75dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 84
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 80C | 77 | 1 · — |
| Good | 2 | 84A | 74 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 84A | 64 | 1 · — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 80C | 78.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs
- Held up 3 (75%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (25%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,596 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +8.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 341 | 43 | 12.6% | +1.5 | — |
| Good | 872 | 99 | 11.4% | +0.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 435 | 56 | 12.9% | +1.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 694 | 71 | 10.2% | −0.9 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 270 | 25 | 9.3% | −1.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 979 | 104 | 10.6% | −0.5 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 81 | 7 | 8.6% | −2.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 846 | 95 | 11.2% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,048 | 107 | 10.2% | −0.9 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 786 | 94 | 12% | +0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 533 | 71 | 13.3% | +2.2 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 229 | 22 | 9.6% | −1.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 63 | 2 | 3.2% | −7.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 10 | 1 | 10% | −1.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Mudamer (IRE) (6 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Mudamer (IRE)).
Family form: Mudamer (IRE) won at Beverley, 22 Sep 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mudamer (IRE) | 44 | 6 | 6f–1m | Class 4 |
| Mudawy (IRE) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
| Zumoradda (IRE) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballinrobe | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Crosse | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Brandon Wilkie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Kearney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Powell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| W J Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2025 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr 26+262d | Gowran Park | Racing Again April 22nd Handicap (0-60) Held up towards the back of the pack - still 12th at halfway - urged forward turning into the straight - unable to make headway 2f out - faded to finish well beaten | 14/14 | 4½ | 9-7 | 56 | 58C | 41C | Brandon Wilkie | 7/1 |
| 21 Jul 25+28d | Ballinrobe | Tote Multiples Available On Tote.ie Apprentice Handicap (0-60) Set the early pace before being overtaken inside the first furlong - stayed handy for a spell then dropped back and pushed along around halfway - faded three out - beaten well clear at the finish | 14/14 | 57 | 9-3 | 58 | -19C | 56C | Jack Kearney | 13/2 |
| 23 Jun 25+45d | Ballinrobe | JFC Group Apprentice Claiming Race Held up towards the back - still only 6th at halfway - improved to 5th and asked for effort entering the straight - found extra to be 3rd inside final 150 yards - stayed on strongly to just miss out | 2/8 | ¾ | 9-5 | 53 | 84A | 72A | Jamie Powell | 11/4 |
| 09 May 25+13d | Ballinrobe | Brian Forkan Construction Maiden Sat close to pace early - 5th at halfway - driven and dropped away over 2f out then held no more finishing power - eventually well held | 10/14 | 1½ | 9-3 | — | 64C | 48C | Nathan Crosse | 18/1 |
| 26 Apr 25+28d | Navan | Irish Stallion Farms EBF 3yo Spring Series Median Auction Maiden Held up in the pack early - driven approaching the straight but made no headway 2f out - kept finding nothing thereafter and beaten well into the line | 11/20 | 3 | 9-3 | — | 80C | 61C | Nathan Crosse | 66/1 |
| 29 Mar 25 | Curragh | Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 3YO Spring Series Median Auction Fillies Maiden Settled in the pack early - back in 10th at halfway - moved through the field with two furlongs left - unable to reach the leading group inside the final furlong but stayed on to finish 4th | 4/14 | 16 | 9-3 | — | 77C | 58C | W J Lee | 17/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has I Do Believe (IRE) won?
- I Do Believe (IRE) has yet to win, from 6 archived starts between 2025 and 2026. Placed 1 time in total (16.7% of starts).
- Who trains I Do Believe (IRE)?
- I Do Believe (IRE) is trained by Sean Davis, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 9 April 2026.
- Who is I Do Believe (IRE)'s sire?
- I Do Believe (IRE) is by Make Believe (GB) out of Mesadah (IRE), whose sire is Raven's Pass.
- What is I Do Believe (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 56, from the run on 9 April 2026. The highest on record is 58.
- What is I Do Believe (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Make Believe (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,596 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are I Do Believe (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Mesadah (IRE), I Do Believe (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Mudamer (IRE) (6). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Mudamer (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m. As at Oct 2026.