Jack Kearney
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 250 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (104 rides).
It is weakest at Leopardstown (0% over 62 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.3% (n=104, Fair A/E 1.21). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 7.4% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.27 and +109.13 to a £1 stake over 188 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Stephen Thorne supplies 15% of the rides and beats the rider's average (16.7% vs 7.7%, A/E 1.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 42 rides, 7.7pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes at Killarney (IRE) (Aug 2026, £30,000). Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2021→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,282 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,282 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 August 2021 to 1 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 28 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Jack Kearney's strike rate?
- Jack Kearney has won 97 of 1,263 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jack Kearney do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 55 wins from 487 rides (11.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jack Kearney ride most for?
- Stephen Thorne, with 186 rides since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (16.7%).
- Is Jack Kearney in form?
- In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.7%. That is in line with the baseline of 7.7% since 2022.
- What is Jack Kearney's Fair A/E?
- 0.95, from 1,262 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.