What is Brandon Wilkie's strike rate?

Brandon Wilkie has won 64 of 657 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Brandon Wilkie do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 41 rides (9.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Brandon Wilkie ride most for?

William Knight, with 89 rides since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (20.2%).

What is Brandon Wilkie's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 651 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Brandon Wilkie

657 rides in the last 5 seasons · 397 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 218 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)

from 1 Jan 2022

64–657

Wins / Runs

9.7%

Strike rate

n=657

178 (27%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=651 · 0.86 incl. margin

−236.16

£1 level stake

n=657 at SP · −35.9%

£707k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 130 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (87 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 657 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov 26.7% when favourite William Knight: 20.2% from 89 LTO winners: 17.2% Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.2% (n=87, Fair A/E 0.99), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=71, Fair A/E 0.49). William Knight supplies 14% of the rides and beats the rider's average (20.2% vs 9.7%, A/E 1.87) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Class 5 (15.7%, n=204) and off a 15-30-day break (13.8%, n=260). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 4% over 50 rides, 5.7pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.6%−1.1

n=397 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −174.12

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.2%+7.5

n=87 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −23.37

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.8%−6.9

n=71 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −35.50

When favourite

26.7%

n=45 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −14.28

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.6%−0.1

n=615 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −235.49

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.6%−5.1

n=87 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −45.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−9.7

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With William Knight 20.2% vs 9.7% · n=89

On last-time-out winners 17.2% vs 9.7% · n=87

In Class 5 15.7% vs 9.7% · n=204

With K R Burke 17.6% vs 9.7% · n=51

Off a 15-30-day break 13.8% vs 9.7% · n=260

Off a 61-180-day break 4% vs 9.7% · n=50

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 287 33 11.5% −68.41

Good to Firm 112 10 8.9% −42.17

Good 109 9 8.3% −49.54

Good to Soft 65 5 7.7% −36.80

Soft 64 5 7.8% −36.24

Heavy 20 2 10% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 84 8 9.5% −36.08

Newcastle (AW) 72 5 6.9% −16.17

Southwell (AW) 41 4 9.8% −14.50

Thirsk 35 2 5.7% −23.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 29 5 17.2% −5.12

Yarmouth 27 6 22.2% +10.00

Beverley 25 1 4% −20.00

Lingfield (AW) 24 5 20.8% +7.83

Kempton (AW) 24 6 25% +8.63

Catterick 24 2 8.3% −9.00

Ayr 22 1 4.5% −19.62

York 22 2 9.1% −0.50

Doncaster 21 5 23.8% +8.70

Redcar 19 1 5.3% −8.00

Ripon 19 2 10.5% −7.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 255 17 6.7% −141.99

Class 5 204 32 15.7% −16.25

Class 4 119 11 9.2% −40.92

Class 2 33 3 9.1% +0.50

Class 3 29 1 3.4% −20.50

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 54 14 25.9% 0.90 −16.53

2nd–3rd fav 128 23 18% 1.07 −14.63

4th–6th fav 216 24 11.1% 1.33 +0.00

7th+ in betting 259 3 1.2% 0.35 −205.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dandy's Angel (IRE) 11 1 5 16 Jul 24

Regal Envoy (IRE) 10 3 5 4 Apr 25

Let's Go Hugo (IRE) 10 2 5 31 Aug 24

Holkham Bay (GB) 9 2 5 12 Jul 25

Written Broadcast (IRE) 9 0 2 8 Apr 24

Parys Mountain (IRE) 9 2 2 12 Apr 23

Atlantic Gamble (GB) 8 3 5 24 Jul 25

Sugarloaf Lenny (IRE) 8 3 4 11 Jul 25

Wade's Magic (GB) 8 1 4 15 May 23

Excessable (GB) 8 0 2 6 Aug 22

Sir Busker (IRE) 7 1 2 29 Jul 25

Calafrio (GB) 7 1 4 7 Jun 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 397 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

471310910915315120

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardWilliam Knight

14% of all rides
20.2% SR · A/E 1.87

TrainerRWSR£1

William Knight 89 18 20.2% +31.63

Tim Easterby 76 5 6.6% −40.12

K R Burke 51 9 17.6% +6.01

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→

Archived wins

£707k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 33 wins

Sir Busker (IRE) — Sky Bet Finale Handicap (Heritage Handicap) York · Aug 2024 · Class 2

£51,540

Look Back Smiling (IRE) — William Hill Epic Boost Spring Mile Handicap (Str) Doncaster · Mar 2024 · Class 2

£38,655

Fiver Friday (IRE) — Sky Bet Request A Bet Fillies' Handicap Hamilton · Jun 2024 · Class 3

£14,947

Notable horses

Regal Envoy (IRE) Atlantic Gamble (GB) Sugarloaf Lenny (IRE) Mister Mojito (IRE) Drifts Away (GB) Let's Go Hugo (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Dark Angel (IRE) 17.6% · 3–17

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Gutaifan (IRE) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,772 runs since 2019 (303 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,606 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,235 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,200.

Ardad (IRE) 23.1% · 3–13

Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,552 runs since 2021 (352 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 657 · newest first

The latest 50 of 657 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 January 2022 to 10 April 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Apr 26 Dundalk (AW) Son Of Wind (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith DundalkStadium.com Handicap (0-60)6f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 50/1

09 Apr 26 Gowran Park I Do Believe (IRE)T: Sean Davis Racing Again April 22nd Handicap (0-60)9.5f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 7/1

27 Mar 26 Dundalk (AW) Hot To Foxtrot (IRE)T: John James Feane Sunday 12th July Ladies Day At Dundalk Handicap (0-60)7f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 22/1

13 Mar 26 Dundalk (AW) Midnight Stagger (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 16/1

06 Mar 26 Dundalk (AW) Midnight Stagger (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Willie Buckley Memorial Apprentice Handicap (0-60)12f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 28/1

20 Feb 26 Dundalk (AW) Eighty Eight (IRE)T: John James Feane DundalkStadium.com Apprentice Handicap (0-60)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 10/3F

13 Feb 26 Dundalk (AW) Midnight Stagger (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Floodlit Fridays At Dundalk Claiming Race8f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 100/1

06 Feb 26 Dundalk (AW) Georg Zhukov (IRE)T: Eamonn O'Connell Dundalkstadium.com Apprentice Handicap (0-60)8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 15/2

30 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Eighty Eight (IRE)T: John James Feane Follow Us On X At DundalkStadium Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 4/1F

30 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Wingit (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60)7f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 33/1

23 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Spirit Honour (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden (Div 2)7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 25/1

23 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Neon Eyes (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden (Div 1)7f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 7/1

09 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Thirsty Owl (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Group Deals Available At Dundalk Stadium Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 25/1

19 Dec 25 Dundalk (AW) Colugo (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Horse Racing Returns To Dundalk Friday 9th January 2026 Handicap (0-60)12f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 7/1

03 Aug 25 Yarmouth Blue Train (IRE)T: William Knight Metatarsal Mile HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 9/2

01 Aug 25 Newmarket Perrine (IRE)T: Denis Quinn Ultimate Summer Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 80/1

31 Jul 25 Epsom Downs Norfolk Blue (IRE)T: William Knight Sporting Times Sri Lanka EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 11/4

30 Jul 25 Sandown Blue Train (IRE)T: William Knight Chasemore Farm Stud Staff HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 5th 8/1

29 Jul 25 Goodwood Sir Busker (IRE)T: William Knight Coral Chesterfield Cup HandicapClass 2 · 10f · Good · 18 ran 15th 33/1

28 Jul 25 Yarmouth Primrose Maid (GB)T: Christine Dunnett Download The Raceday Ready App HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brandon Wilkie's strike rate?: Brandon Wilkie has won 64 of 657 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Brandon Wilkie do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 41 rides (9.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Brandon Wilkie ride most for?: William Knight, with 89 rides since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (20.2%).
What is Brandon Wilkie's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 651 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.