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Trainer profile

Sean Davis

189 runners in the last 5 seasons · 37 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)
from 1 Jan 2022
5–189
Wins / Runs
2.6%
Strike rate
n=189
22 (12%)
Placed
0.48
Fair A/E
n=188 · 0.39 incl. margin
−155.13
£1 level stake
n=189 at SP · −82.1%
£74,272
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.48). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (34 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 189 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.9% Sean Davis: 2.9% from 70 Claiming riders: 4.9%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 5.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 1.01). Sean Davis rides 37% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (2.9%, A/E 0.66). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.00 across 50 runners (0% strike, −50.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.9%+3.3
n=34 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −18.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.6
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.6
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.3%+5.7
n=12 · A/E 0.93 · £1 +0.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.6
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
13.3%
n=15 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −9.13
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.9%+2.3
n=41 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −19.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 2.6% · n=50
On Standard (AW) going 4.8% vs 2.6% · n=63
With claiming riders up 4.9% vs 2.6% · n=41
At Dundalk (AW) 3.6% vs 2.6% · n=55 · A/E 0.52
On Good going 1.8% vs 2.6% · n=56 · A/E 0.31
With a new jockey booking 2% vs 2.6% · n=98 · A/E 0.38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 188 5 2.7% −154.13
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 63 3 4.8% −47.13
Good 56 1 1.8% −50.00
Soft 36 1 2.8% −24.00
Heavy 20 0 0% −20.00
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 55 2 3.6% −41.75
Navan 18 0 0% −18.00
Curragh 16 0 0% −16.00
Bellewstown 14 0 0% −14.00
Naas 11 0 0% −11.00
Sligo 10 1 10% +2.00
Fairyhouse 10 0 0% −10.00
Cork 8 0 0% −8.00
Down Royal 6 0 0% −6.00
Roscommon 6 0 0% −6.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 5 1 20% −2.38
Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00
Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Limerick 4 1 25% +2.00
Ballinrobe 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 8 1 12.5% −5.38
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 2 12.5% 0.45 −10.13
2nd–3rd fav 14 1 7.1% 0.54 −8.00
4th–6th fav 29 2 6.9% 1.21 −7.00
7th+ in betting 130 0 0% 0.00 −130.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Venetian (IRE)from Charlie Johnston · then Denis Gerard Hogan 21 2 6 3 Dec 25
Layoftheland (IRE) 18 0 4 8 Oct 25
In The Minus (IRE)then Brian Francis Cawley 12 1 2 4 Jul 25
Anightaway (IRE) 11 1 3 12 Oct 26
The Love Machine (IRE)from Michael Mulvany 10 0 1 7 Oct 26
Giselles Defence (IRE)from Ian Williams 10 0 0 5 Sep 26
Rogerwaswrong (IRE) 10 0 0 12 Jun 24
Brookie Cookie (IRE)then Richard John O'Brien 9 0 0 31 Jan 24
Show Your Workings (IRE) 8 0 0 6 Aug 25
Rift Valley (IRE)from James Fanshawe 7 0 2 28 Jan 26
Violet Be Humble (IRE) 5 0 0 16 Oct 26
Super Over (IRE)from D P Coakley · then C Byrnes 5 0 0 28 Mar 25
All 37 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 37 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive; 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for C Byrnes (3) and Tony Carroll (2); 23 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0010007050500
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSean Davis
37% of all rides
2.9% SR · A/E 0.66
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Davis 70 2 2.9% −61.38
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→
5
Archived wins
£74,272
Prize money
2025
Best season · 4 wins
Venetian (IRE) — Bar One Racing Better On Football Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Oct 2025
£6,785
Anightaway (IRE) — Rockshore Cider Handicap Sligo (IRE) · Aug 2026
£6,000
In The Minus (IRE) — Follow Limerick On Instagram Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) Limerick · Jun 2025
£5,900
Notable horses
Venetian (IRE) In The Minus (IRE) Anightaway (IRE) Porsche Lad (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Land Force (IRE) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,452 runs since 2008 (155 horses).
Awtaad (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 11.6% of 2,864 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.8% from 102. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.6% from 604. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.2% from 113.
Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Cotai Glory (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 11.4% of 3,917 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.6% from 1,396. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 417.
Belardo (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,700 runs since 2008 (280 horses).
Night Of Thunder (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,064 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 189 · newest first

The latest 50 of 189 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 April 2023 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Violet Be Humble (IRE)J: Shane B Kelly James Crowe 1 Year Memorial Nursery Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 40/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Anightaway (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton Thank You For Your Support Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 11/2
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) The Love Machine (IRE)J: Sean Davis Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap6f · Yielding · 22 ran 15th 9/2
01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Anightaway (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div I)12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 11/2
01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Violet Be Humble (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Racing TV Nursery Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 5 ran 5th 9/2
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Fen Phasee (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Market Square Monasterevin Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 12th 200/1
19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Violet Be Humble (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 7 ran 5th 100/1
05 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Giselles Defence (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I)10f · Good · 21 ran 7th 16/1
05 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) The Love Machine (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap5f · Good · 18 ran 2nd 9/4F
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Giselles Defence (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett Navan Handicap (Div I)8f · Good · 16 ran 10th 18/1
27 Aug 26 Navan (IRE) Anightaway (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton Racing Next At Navan On Saturday September 5th Handicap14f · Good · 22 ran 18th 11/2
16 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Closed Loop (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden6f · Good · 18 ran 18th 300/1
05 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Anightaway (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton Rockshore Cider Handicap13.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 1st 11/1
05 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) The Love Machine (IRE)J: Sean Davis Baader - Eddie Carr PBR 2000 Handicap6f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 25/1
05 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Closed Loop (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden6f · Yielding · 11 ran 11th 100/1
23 Jul 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Violet Be Humble (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden7.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 22/1
22 Jul 26 Naas (IRE) Closed Loop (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Matchbook Exchange Irish EBF Maiden6f · Good · 18 ran 17th 250/1
20 Jul 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Giselles Defence (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton Racing, Sports & Games At Tote.ie Apprentice Handicap13f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 5th 25/1
02 Jul 26 Bellewstown Violet Be Humble (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden8f · Good · 9 ran 4th 14/1
22 Jun 26 Ballinrobe Rose Sienna (IRE)J: Shay Wallace Ronan & Tom Gibbons Memorial Apprentice Claiming Race9.5f · Yielding · 7 ran 6th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sean Davis's strike rate?
Sean Davis has won 5 of 189 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sean Davis do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 55 runners (3.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sean Davis?
Sean Davis, with 70 runners since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.9%).
Is Sean Davis in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Sean Davis's Fair A/E?
0.48, from 188 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).