As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won at Down RoyalLast run 4 Dec 2025 · 5th of 7Last raced off OR 70
KTB Profile
Lightning Bear is 1 from 9 with his sole success in the Irish European Breeders Fund Median Sires Series Maiden at Down Royal over under 6f on good ground in Sep 2024. He has raced on turf and all-weather without further success since, including three runs on standard going. Aged 3 at his last run in Dec 2025, he finished 5 of 7 in a Class 5 handicap at Chelmsford City off an official rating of 70, 22lb below his highest ever mark.
Based on 9 archived runs · run-style from 9 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating70↓ 22lb off peak
7070–92
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed103the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Lingfield (AW), 4 Nov 2025
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat 9 figures · best 118A · median 89
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)
3
103A
102
3 runs · 103 / 102
Good to Firm
3
86A
83
—
Good
2
118A
107
—
Good to Soft
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
Under 6f
5
118A
102
2 runs · 103 / 102.5
6f – 7f
4
89A
84.5
1 run · —
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating75Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Chelmsford City (AW), 4 Dec 2025Official rating 70at the last run, 4 Dec 2025
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Flat 9 figures · best 97A · median 72
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)
3
75A
74
3 runs · 75 / 74
Good to Firm
3
72A
61
—
Good
2
97A
81.5
—
Good to Soft
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
Under 6f
5
97A
72
2 runs · 74 / 73
6f – 7f
4
82A
68
1 run · —
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 9 analysed runs since Aug 2024
Mid-division3 (33%)· 0 wins
Held up3 (33%)· 0 wins
Prominent3 (33%)· 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Kuroshio (AUS)
Progeny in our archive have won 7.4% of 1,301 runs since Jan 2008 (118 horses).
Weakest on good going: 3.8% from 288.
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Firm
5
0
0%
−7.4
—
Good to Firm
158
11
7%
−0.4
0 from 3
Good
288
11
3.8%
−3.6
1 from 2
Good to Soft
90
6
6.7%
−0.7
0 from 1
Soft
130
10
7.7%
+0.3
—
Heavy
34
1
2.9%
−4.5
—
Standard (AW)
596
57
9.6%
+2.2
0 from 3
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Under 6f
457
46
10.1%
+2.7
1 from 5
6f – 7f
596
38
6.4%
−1
0 from 4
1m – 1m1f
139
8
5.8%
−1.6
—
1m2f – 1m4f
71
4
5.6%
−1.8
—
1m5f – 2m
26
0
0%
−7.4
—
2m1f – 2m4f
6
0
0%
−7.4
—
2m5f – 3m
5
0
0%
−7.4
—
Over 3m
1
0
0%
−7.4
—
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
'Timeform Sprint Series Qualifier' Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ranSlow to load - settled mid-pack - lost touch two out - squeezed for space a furlong out - dropped away inside final stretch to finish fifth
Join The Midnite Movement HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ranSluggish leaving the stalls - settled towards the back - lost touch with the pace 3f out - pushed along with little response over 1f out - finished 9th keeping on late
Join The Midnite Movement HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 7 ranHeld a spot in the pack wide of rivals - lost touch with the leading group 2f out - responded to urging and made late progress 1f out - finished with steady effort to end up 5th
Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ranTracked the front pair early - driven to keep tabs but slipped back at halfway then rallied among the front group - drifted left and faded inside the final furlong
Fitzdares Sprint Series HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ranPoor start and lost ground early - settled towards the back - lacked the pace to challenge - held throughout to finish eighth
Goffs 5006f · Good To Yielding · 10 ranHeld up towards the back - 5th at halfway - moved through inside final furlong - stayed on into 3rd but never a threat to the winner
Irish European Breeders Fund Median Sires Series Maiden5f · Good · 10 ranSat close to the front pack early - third crossing halfway - improved to dispute matters 2f out before driven to the front with a furlong left - stayed on strongly to the line for victory
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Good To Firm · 14 ranSettled with the pack early - moved into contention over 2f out to lead a share of the field a furlong out - held on in third at the finish
Lightning Bear (IRE) won 1 of 9 archived starts between 2024 and 2025, a strike rate of 11.1%. Placed 3 times in total (33.3% of starts).
Who trains Lightning Bear?
Lightning Bear (IRE) is trained by Jim Boyle, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 4 December 2025.
Who is Lightning Bear's sire?
Lightning Bear (IRE) is by Kuroshio (AUS) out of Speronella (GB), whose sire is Raven's Pass.
What is Lightning Bear's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 70, from the run on 4 December 2025. The highest on record is 92.
What is Lightning Bear's sire's record?
Kuroshio (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 7.4% of 1,301 runs since Jan 2008 (118 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on good going: 3.8% from 288.
Who are Lightning Bear's siblings?
Out of Speronella (GB), Lightning Bear (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Thunderbear (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Group 3 (Thunderbear (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–7f. As at Oct 2026.
Lightning Bear (IRE)·1–9·SR 11.1%
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