Horse profile
Thunderbear (IRE)
6yo gelding · Trainer Stephen Thorne · Owner Liam Ferguson/Simon Murphy/Park Ave Syndicate/Yorkavenue Syndicate
40 runs · 20 courses · from May 2022
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
5 wins · 5 courses
Last run 10 Oct 2026 · 8th of 9
Last raced off OR 92
KTB Profile
Thunderbear won the Group 3 Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes at Newbury on heavy ground in Sep 2023. The gelding has five wins from 40 starts, all on turf, with three of them over 6f – 7f. He also landed a Listed race and has scored on soft and good going. Aged 6 at his last run in Oct 2026, he finished eighth of nine in the RFL Steels Stakes at Naas.
Based on 40 archived runs · run-style from 16 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 23 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically held up
All wins on turf
OR ↓ 15lb off peak
- 5–40Wins / Runs
- 12.5%Strike rate
- 12 (30%)Placed
- +10.00£1 level staken=40 at SP
- 1.70Fair A/E n=40 · 1.43 incl. margin
- 107Highest OR
- 41dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating92↓ 15lb off peak
92
78–107
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 112
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 23 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 120A | 87 | 2 · 91 / 86 |
| Soft | 11 | 115A | 83 | 3 · 85 / 74 |
| Heavy | 5 | 109C | 89 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 101A | 62 | — |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 122C | 90 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 76C | 73.5 | 1 · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 23 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 20 | 122C | 87.5 | 2 · 91 / 86 |
| 6f – 7f | 17 | 115A | 83 | 4 · 85 / 72.5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 39 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 38 figures from 39 runs · as at 18 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 16 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Held up 10 (63%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 5 (31%) · 1 win
- Prominent 1 (6%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 10.4% of 3,941 runs since Jan 2008 (387 horses).
Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.4% from 257.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | +16.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 535 | 65 | 12.1% | +1.7 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 1,027 | 108 | 10.5% | +0.1 | 2 from 13 |
| Good to Soft | 375 | 34 | 9.1% | −1.3 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 535 | 51 | 9.5% | −0.9 | 2 from 12 |
| Heavy | 140 | 14 | 10% | −0.4 | 1 from 6 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,318 | 133 | 10.1% | −0.3 | 0 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 551 | 69 | 12.5% | +2.1 | 2 from 20 |
| 6f – 7f | 2,230 | 239 | 10.7% | +0.3 | 3 from 19 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 730 | 64 | 8.8% | −1.6 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 257 | 19 | 7.4% | −3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 112 | 11 | 9.8% | −0.6 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 48 | 4 | 8.3% | −2.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 10 | 2 | 20% | +9.6 | — |
| Over 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −10.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
5 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Dancing Feet (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 5f–7f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Dancing Feet (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dancing Feet (IRE) | 15 | 3 | 6f–7f | Class 4 |
| Scorchio (IRE) | 15 | 3 | 5f | — |
| Lightning Bear (IRE) | 9 | 1 | 5f | — |
| Elegant Drama (IRE) | 12 | 1 | 6f | — |
| Gloria F (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 2 | 15% | −3.50 |
| Soft | 12 | 2 | 17% | +15.50 |
| Heavy | 6 | 1 | 17% | +7.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +8.00 |
| Class 2 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +18.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curragh | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Naas | 6 | 1 | 17% | +2.50 |
| Ascot | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Navan | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Galway | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bellewstown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Naas (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chantilly (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 1 | 100% | +12.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 1 | 100% | +18.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 20 | 2 | 10% | −1.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 19 | 3 | 16% | +12.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Ryan | 10 | 1 | 10% | −1.50 |
| Ronan Whelan | 10 | 1 | 10% | +9.00 |
| Colin Keane | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.00 |
| Jack Kearney | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Luke McAteer | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.50 |
| Sean Levey | 2 | 1 | 50% | +11.00 |
| Rossa Ryan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| W J Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wesley Joyce | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bauyrzhan Murzabayev | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Robert Whearty | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Spencer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 19 | 3 | 16% | +8.50 |
| None | 12 | 1 | 8% | +7.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Blinkers | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Visor | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.50 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2025 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +3.50 |
| 2024 | 13 | 1 | 8% | −7.00 |
| 2023 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +25.00 |
| 2022 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −5.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 26+27d | Naas (IRE) | RFL Steels Stakes (Listed) Held up at back throughout - pushed along 1 1/2f out without making headway - wound down inside final furlong to finish 8th | 8/9 | 8½ | 9-7 | 92 | 68C | 73C | Jack Kearney | 9/2 |
| 13 Sep 26+8d | Curragh (IRE) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bold Lad Sprint Handicap sluggish start - held up towards back - driven into contention two out - up to 5th one out - contesting 3rd near finish - held on for 5th | 5/24 | shd | 8-13 | 93 | 74C | 108A | Jack Kearney | 40/1 |
| 05 Sep 26+77d | Navan (IRE) | Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse On 6th & 13th December Handicap Drifted left leaving stalls - settled off the pace - pressed for effort with a furlong and a half left - stayed on late but couldn't reach front-runners | 3/8 | 4 | 9-7 | 93 | 91A | 92A | Jack Kearney | 17/2 |
| 20 Jun 26+54d | Ascot | Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Held a position through the middle of the field - pressed on approaching the final furlong - dropped away quickly finishing 23rd | 23/27 | 1½ | 9-2 | 98 | 71C | 76A | James Ryan | 100/1 |
| 27 Apr 26+23d | Naas | Anglesey Lodge Equine Hospital Woodlands Stakes (Listed) Settled in the pack early - pushed along in 8th with 2f to run - dropped away late to finish 11th beaten 5 lengths | 11/15 | nk | 9-12 | 102 | 81C | 91A | James Ryan | 33/1 |
| 04 Apr 26+159d | Cork | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cork Stakes (Listed) Hampered and hesitant start - settled towards back - made progress into contention with 2f left - pushed along in 6th a furlong out and unable to find more - finished well held | 6/10 | 2¾ | 9-12 | 103 | 85A | 95A | James Ryan | 25/1 |
| 27 Oct 25+16d | Chantilly (FR) | Prix de Seine-et-Oise (3yo+) (Turf) | 4/12 | 1½ | 9-0 | — | — | — | James Ryan | 19/1 |
| 11 Oct 25+35d | Naas | RFL Steels Stakes (Listed) Settled in the pack - 7th at halfway - asked for effort over 2f out - up into 3rd with a furlong left - hit the front close home to score | 1/10 | 9-7 | 97 | 112A | 108A | James Ryan | 15/2 | |
| 06 Sep 25+69d | Ascot | tote UK Handicap Settled at the back - made progress on the far flank from over 1f out - plugged on at one speed inside the final furlong to finish 5th | 5/16 | ½ | 9-8 | 97 | 122C | 100A | Jack Kearney | 20/1 |
| 29 Jun 25+22d | Curragh | Dubai Duty Free Rockingham Handicap (Premier Handicap) Settled off the pace early - pushed into contention with 2f left - flattened out inside final furlong to finish 11th | 11/14 | nk | 9-11 | 103 | 76C | 91A | James Ryan | 16/1 |
| 07 Jun 25+210d | Navan | Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap Settled towards rear in 6th - boxed in for a stride 2f out - eased to outside and driven - improved into 5th with a furlong left - closing strongly inside final furlong to just miss - finished third going forward | 3/7 | shd | 10-0 | 103 | 98A | 102A | James Ryan | 8/1 |
| 09 Nov 24+28d | Doncaster | LiveScore Bet Wentworth Stakes (Listed) Held up early - progress from 2f out - drifted left and in contention a furlong out - kept going but pipped in the last strides to finish third | 3/11 | nk | 9-5 | 103 | 110A | 114A | Rossa Ryan | 14/1 |
| 12 Oct 24+7d | Naas | RFL Steels Stakes (Listed) Held up towards the back - urged forward with two furlongs left - moved into third with a furlong to run - finished strongly to snatch second right at the line | 2/8 | ¾ | 9-7 | 98 | 115A | 101A | Ronan Whelan | 14/1 |
| 05 Oct 24+49d | Curragh | Fleetwood Paints Handicap Held up at back - still 9th at halfway - moved into contention inside final furlong - kept on into second but couldn't get to winner | 2/10 | ½ | 10-1 | 96 | 120A | 114A | W J Lee | 10/1 |
| 17 Aug 24+7d | Curragh | FBD Hotels And Resorts Killashee Hotel Handicap Slow to break - settled just behind the front group - pushed along in 4th with 2f left before fading late to finish 7th | 7/8 | 3¾ | 9-9 | 99 | 79A | 79A | Wesley Joyce | 12/1 |
| 10 Aug 24+6d | Ascot | Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Settled towards the back - made a little ground with 2f left - couldn't land a blow - finished eighth | 8/10 | nk | 10-2 | 104 | 93B | 92A | Bauyrzhan Murzabayev | 25/1 |
| 04 Aug 24+23d | Galway | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Ahonoora Handicap (Premier Handicap) Slow to break - settled towards the back - made little headway through the race - urged on with 2f left but couldn't quicken - finished 13th well beaten | 13/16 | nk | 9-9 | 104 | — | 84A | Robert Whearty | 50/1 |
| 12 Jul 24+12d | Dundalk (AW) | Ladies Day At Dundalk Handicap | 6/11 | nk | 9-12 | 94 | 101A | 92A | Colin Keane | 7/1 |
| 30 Jun 24+22d | Curragh | Dubai Duty Free Rockingham Handicap (Premier Handicap) | 11/16 | shd | 10-0 | 105 | 83C | 97A | Colin Keane | 18/1 |
| 08 Jun 24+14d | Navan | Navan Racecourse Handicap | 1/7 | 10-4 | 99 | 87A | 109A | Colin Keane | 5/1 | |
| 25 May 24+48d | York | William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Handicap | 8/12 | ¾ | 9-5 | 101 | 90A | 95A | James Ryan | 18/1 |
| 07 Apr 24+20d | Bath | Try The Racing App This Afternoon Handicap | 5/11 | 2¼ | 9-6 | 104 | 79A | 101A | James Ryan | 18/1 |
| 18 Mar 24+23d | Curragh | La Celia Wines Handicap | 8/13 | ¾ | 10-2 | 107 | 80C | 100A | James Ryan | 33/1 |
| 24 Feb 24+133d | Southwell (AW) | BetUK Hever Sprint Stakes (Listed) | 10/10 | 11 | 9-7 | 104 | 62C | 48C | Sean Levey | 33/1 |
| 14 Oct 23+21d | Naas | RFL Steels Stakes (Listed) | 7/7 | nk | 9-12 | 107 | 90A | 76A | Ronan Whelan | 5/2J |
| 23 Sep 23+42d | Newbury | Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes (Group 3) | 1/5 | 9-2 | 104 | 109C | 111B | Sean Levey | 12/1 | |
| 12 Aug 23+49d | Curragh | Rathasker Stud Phoenix Sprint Stakes (Group 3) | 5/11 | nk | 9-3 | 106 | 93A | 93A | Colin Keane | 20/1 |
| 24 Jun 23+34d | Ascot | Jersey Stakes (Group 3) | 8/15 | shd | 9-3 | 98 | 76C | 97A | Jamie Spencer | 50/1 |
| 21 May 23+19d | Naas | Goffs Lacken Stakes (Group 3) | 4/15 | ½ | 9-5 | 98 | 105C | 102A | Ronan Whelan | 50/1 |
| 02 May 23+26d | Nottingham | Bet At Racingtv.Com Handicap | 1/5 | 9-9 | 85 | 107C | 111B | Ronan Whelan | 18/1 | |
| 06 Apr 23+188d | Bellewstown | His Majesty's Cup Rated Race | 4/6 | 5½ | 9-5 | 86 | 89A | 68B | Luke McAteer | 8/1 |
| 30 Sep 22+11d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed) | 11/11 | 1½ | 9-5 | 86 | 56A | 54A | Ronan Whelan | 40/1 |
| 19 Sep 22+3d | Fairyhouse | Kilminfoyle House Stud Nursery Handicap | 1/5 | 9-7 | 83 | 80C | 81B | Luke McAteer | 5/2 | |
| 16 Sep 22+22d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden | 6/14 | ½ | 9-6 | 83 | 62B | 77A | Colin Keane | 4/1 |
| 25 Aug 22+27d | Navan | Navan Racecourse Nursery Handicap | 2/8 | 1 | 9-12 | 80 | 82A | 101A | Ronan Whelan | 3/1J |
| 29 Jul 22+13d | Galway | James's Gate Irish EBF Median Auction Maiden | 4/15 | 3¼ | 9-6 | 82 | 83C | 84A | Ronan Whelan | 4/1 |
| 16 Jul 22+15d | Curragh | Jebel Ali Racecourse And Stables Anglesey Stakes (Group 3) | 5/6 | 4¼ | 9-5 | 78 | 76A | 79B | Ronan Whelan | 150/1 |
| 01 Jul 22+14d | Bellewstown | Irish EBF Median Sires Series (C & G) Maiden | 3/11 | ½ | 9-6 | — | 73A | 84A | Ronan Whelan | 5/1 |
| 17 Jun 22+41d | Down Royal | G. Dunlop Electrical Maiden | 2/11 | 4½ | 9-4 | — | 88A | 94A | Luke McAteer | 10/1 |
| 07 May 22 | Naas | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden | 9/9 | hd | 9-7 | — | -4C | 57C | Ronan Whelan | 40/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Thunderbear (IRE) won?
- Thunderbear (IRE) won 5 of 40 archived starts between 2022 and 2026, a strike rate of 12.5%. Placed 12 times in total (30% of starts).
- Who trains Thunderbear (IRE)?
- Thunderbear (IRE) is trained by Stephen Thorne, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 10 October 2026.
- Who is Thunderbear (IRE)'s sire?
- Thunderbear (IRE) is by Kodi Bear (IRE) out of Speronella (GB), whose sire is Raven's Pass.
- What going does Thunderbear (IRE) prefer?
- Thunderbear (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 2 wins from 12 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Thunderbear (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 92, from the run on 10 October 2026. The highest on record is 107.
- What is Thunderbear (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Kodi Bear (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.4% of 3,941 runs since Jan 2008 (387 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.4% from 257.
- Who are Thunderbear (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Speronella (GB), Thunderbear (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Dancing Feet (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Dancing Feet (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–7f. As at Oct 2026.