Lily Bear (IRE)
Typically ridden with patience — held up in 5 of 5 analysed runs — Lily Bear (IRE) is yet to win from 5 starts.
- 0–5Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −5.00£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=5 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 59Highest OR
- 30dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 84
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 76C | 64 | 3 runs · 76 / 64 |
| Good | 2 | 84A | 75.5 | 2 runs · 84 / 75.5 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 84A | 65.5 | 4 runs · 84 / 65.5 |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 15 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs since Jun 2026
- Held up 5 (100%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 3,947 runs since Jan 2008 (387 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | +17 | — |
| Good to Firm | 535 | 65 | 12.1% | +1.8 | — |
| Good | 1,027 | 108 | 10.5% | +0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 375 | 34 | 9.1% | −1.2 | — |
| Soft | 536 | 51 | 9.5% | −0.8 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 141 | 14 | 9.9% | −0.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,322 | 133 | 10.1% | −0.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 552 | 69 | 12.5% | +2.2 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 2,234 | 239 | 10.7% | +0.4 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 731 | 64 | 8.8% | −1.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 257 | 19 | 7.4% | −2.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 112 | 11 | 9.8% | −0.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 48 | 4 | 8.3% | −2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 10 | 2 | 20% | +9.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −10.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 6 winners — best of them Solent Gateway (IRE) (6 wins).
The wins came over 6f–2m½f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Solent Gateway (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solent Gateway (IRE) | 47 | 6 | 1m2f–2m½f | Class 2 |
| Dr Richard Kimble (IRE) | 33 | 4 | 1m½f–1m4f | Class 3 |
| Jumira Prince (IRE) | 11 | 2 | 1m–1m½f | Class 4 |
| First To Post (IRE) | 6 | 1 | 6f | Class 5 |
| Dramatista (IRE) | 12 | 1 | 1m | Class 6 |
| Levitate (IRE) | 9 | 1 | 2m | Class 5 |
| Alpe Motta (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naas (IRE) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Navan (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N G McCullagh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| W. M. Lordan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Colin Keane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wayne Lordan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hood | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| None | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 07 Oct 26+20d | Navan (IRE) | Navan Racing Festival Hospitality On Sale Now Nursery Handicap Among the backmarkers early - niggled on the inside over 2f out - struggled to respond from over 1f out and finished 6th | 6/10 | 2¾ | 9-0 | 56 | 64A | 45A | W. M. Lordan | 9/1 |
| 17 Sep 26+45d | Naas (IRE) | Colm White Bookmakers Nursery Handicap towards the back early - driven into 6th with 2f left - up to 4th a furlong out - held on for fifth without finding more | 5/14 | 3¼ | 9-1 | 59 | 76C | 61A | Colin Keane | 6/1 |
| 03 Aug 26+11d | Naas (IRE) | Irish EBF Ballyhane Stakes (Median Sires Series) Held up at the back throughout - driven inside final 2f without threatening leaders - held on same pace to finish 11th | 11/11 | 2¾ | 8-11 | — | 67A | 44A | N G McCullagh | 150/1 |
| 23 Jul 26+42d | Leopardstown (IRE) | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden sluggish to begin - spent the race towards the back without threatening - sent forward in 10th entering the straight and driven soon after with nothing more to give | 10/12 | 2¼ | 8-13 | — | 84A | 50A | Wayne Lordan | 22/1 |
| 11 Jun 26 | Leopardstown | Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden Slow to break - settled towards the back - carrying more enthusiasm than ideal - 6th at halfway - asked for effort inside final 2f - dropped away close home | 7/8 | nk | 9-3 | — | 50A | 46B | N G McCullagh | 7/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Lily Bear won?
- Lily Bear (IRE) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts in 2026.
- Who trains Lily Bear?
- Lily Bear (IRE) is trained by M C Grassick, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 7 October 2026.
- Who is Lily Bear's sire?
- Lily Bear (IRE) is by Kodi Bear (IRE) out of Aoife Alainn (IRE), whose sire is Dr Fong.
- What is Lily Bear's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 56, from the run on 7 October 2026. The highest on record is 59.
- What is Lily Bear's sire's record?
- Kodi Bear (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 3,947 runs since Jan 2008 (387 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Lily Bear's siblings?
- Out of Aoife Alainn (IRE), Lily Bear (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 6 of them winners. Most wins: Solent Gateway (IRE) (6). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Solent Gateway (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–2m½f. As at Oct 2026.