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Trainer profile

M C Grassick

553 runners in the last 5 seasons · 55 individual horses
As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 94% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2022
34–553
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=553
110 (20%)
Placed
0.99
Fair A/E
n=552 · 0.79 incl. margin
−229.72
£1 level stake
n=553 at SP · −41.5%
£649k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 553 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul W J Lee: 8.4% from 119
The read

The record is strongest at Fairyhouse (12.8%, n=47), clear of the yard's 6.1% baseline. It is weakest at Naas (0% over 62 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −69.80 to a £1 stake over 146 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. W J Lee rides 22% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8.4% vs 6.1%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (11.1%, n=63). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 34 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tote Scurry Handicap at Curragh (Jul 2019, £73,750). The stable star of the record: Verhoyen (GB) — 9 wins from 102 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.8%−1.3
n=83 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −36.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
10%+3.9
n=10 · A/E 1.75 · £1 −0.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.1
n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.4%−0.7
n=37 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −13.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.1%+1.0
n=28 · A/E 1.57 · £1 −5.50
When favourite
4.3%
n=23 · A/E 0.19 · £1 −18.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.1%−2.0
n=146 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −69.80
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.1
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Fairyhouse 12.8% vs 6.1% · n=47
At Naas 0% vs 6.1% · n=62
With debutants 0% vs 6.1% · n=35
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 6.1% · n=34
At Cork 0% vs 6.1% · n=31
Off a 0-7-day break 11.1% vs 6.1% · n=63
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 522 33 6.3% −204.72
Hurdle 24 1 4.2% −18.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 198 8 4% −108.25
Good 182 17 9.3% −19.50
Heavy 73 3 4.1% −48.80
Good to Soft 58 4 6.9% −24.17
Standard (AW) 31 2 6.5% −18.00
Good to Firm 11 0 0% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 145 11 7.6% −11.80
Naas 62 0 0% −62.00
Leopardstown 49 5 10.2% +0.50
Fairyhouse 47 6 12.8% +4.00
Navan 42 2 4.8% −34.75
Cork 31 0 0% −31.00
Roscommon 26 2 7.7% −0.50
Dundalk (AW) 22 0 0% −22.00
Gowran Park 22 1 4.5% −17.50
Galway 17 0 0% −17.00
Bellewstown 13 3 23.1% +12.33
Down Royal 11 1 9.1% −3.00
Tipperary 11 0 0% −11.00
Punchestown 10 0 0% −10.00
Ballinrobe 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 31 2 6.5% 0.31 −22.30
2nd–3rd fav 61 11 18% 1.19 −2.92
4th–6th fav 130 11 8.5% 1.17 −25.00
7th+ in betting 331 10 3% 1.10 −179.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Loingseoir (IRE) 60 3 16 15 Oct 26
Verhoyen (GB) 56 5 12 10 Sep 26
Amanirenas (IRE) 42 6 8 21 Sep 26
Gazelle D'or (IRE) 25 5 11 10 Oct 26
Brown Eagle (IRE) 21 1 5 30 Oct 23
Glory To Be (IRE)from Kevin Prendergast 17 3 10 21 Sep 26
Alqabeela (IRE)from Kevin Prendergast 17 0 1 20 Aug 23
Lilac Lady (IRE)then Mark Michael McNiff 15 0 3 23 Oct 24
Stellium (IRE)from Ms Sheila Lavery · then Michael Flannery 15 0 4 2 Sep 24
Mollys Glory (IRE)from Denis W Cullen 14 1 4 13 May 24
Elanora (IRE) 14 0 5 29 Mar 23
Amavasya (IRE) 13 1 1 23 Aug 26
All 55 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 55 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Kevin Prendergast (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Thomas Dowling (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 6
Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0003888371080
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderW J Lee
22% of all rides
8.4% SR · A/E 1.01
RiderRWSR£1
W J Lee 119 10 8.4% −34.00
Danny Sheehy 86 6 7% −27.30
Jack Cleary 49 4 8.2% +14.00
W. M. Lordan 46 3 6.5% −23.75
Robbie Colgan 40 2 5% −19.50
Gavin Ryan 31 2 6.5% −14.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
61
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£1.19m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 10 wins
Verhoyen (GB) — Tote Scurry Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Jul 2019
£73,750
Truth Be Told (IRE) — Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap Leopardstown (IRE) · Oct 2026
£30,000
Gazelle D'or (IRE) — Sky Bet Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Jun 2025
£29,500
Notable horses
Verhoyen (GB) Loingseoir (IRE) Texas Rock (IRE) Amanirenas (IRE) Gazelle D'or (IRE) Glory To Be (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Henrythenavigator (USA) 5% · 3–60
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,713 runs since 2008 (217 horses).
Piccolo (GB) 8.9% · 5–56
Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.
War Command (USA) 14.3% · 6–42
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,273 runs since 2008 (200 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 285.
Gleneagles (IRE) 5.9% · 2–34
Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,547 runs since 2008 (444 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.2% from 279.
Churchill (IRE) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 11% of 4,776 runs since 2008 (458 horses).
Equiano (FR) 20% · 5–25
Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,537 runs since 2008 (549 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,093 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,093 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 February 2013 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Truth Be Told (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 1st 5/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Loingseoir (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 8th 12/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Gazelle D'or (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Naas Farm Machinery Handicap5f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 16/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Mr Perth (IRE)J: Shay Wallace Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div II)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 4th 9/2J
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Lily Bear (IRE)J: W. M. Lordan Navan Racing Festival Hospitality On Sale Now Nursery Handicap6f · Yielding · 10 ran 6th 9/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Port Arthur (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Buy Now & Save With The Real Deal Bundle Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 5th 8/1
04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Loingseoir (IRE)J: Shay Wallace 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap8f · Soft · 16 ran 2nd 10/1
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) White Smoke (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Johnny Sullivan Memorial Maiden5f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran 1st 12/1
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Port Arthur (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Celebrating County Kildare And Lexington Twinning Maiden6f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 25/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Gazelle D'or (IRE)J: W. M. Lordan Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap5f · Yielding · 20 ran 13th 16/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Lohoobb (GB)J: N G McCullagh Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Rated Race7f · Yielding · 9 ran 9th 50/1
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) White Smoke (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden6f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 9/1
21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Amanirenas (IRE)J: E E Ryan Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap6f · Good · 17 ran 7th 66/1
21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Glory To Be (IRE)J: W. M. Lordan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap7f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 8/1
21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Loingseoir (IRE)J: Shay Wallace La Bucca Restaurant Handicap7f · Good · 18 ran 12th 25/1
21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Mr Perth (IRE)J: W. M. Lordan La Bucca Restaurant Handicap7f · Good · 18 ran 9th 20/1
17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Lily Bear (IRE)J: Colin Keane Colm White Bookmakers Nursery Handicap5f · Yielding · 14 ran 5th 6/1
17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Abletai (IRE)J: Colin Keane Goffs Two Million Series Maiden5f · Yielding · 8 ran 7th 7/2
15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Port Arthur (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden9f · Good · 14 ran 11th 28/1
13 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Gazelle D'or (IRE)J: Colin Keane BAR 1 Betting Flying Five Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 5f · Yielding · 17 ran 13th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M C Grassick's strike rate?
M C Grassick has won 34 of 553 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M C Grassick do best at?
Fairyhouse by strike rate: 6 wins from 47 runners (12.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M C Grassick?
W J Lee, with 119 runners since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (8.4%).
Is M C Grassick in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M C Grassick's Fair A/E?
0.99, from 552 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 19 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).