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Horse profile

Little Chance (GB)

4yo filly (at last run, Sep 2022) · Last trainer Simon West · Last owner Mrs Barbara Hothersall
by Milk It Mick (GB) out of Slim Chance (IRE) (Clodovil)
11 runs · 6 courses · from Jun 2020
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 26 Sep 2022 — 1,500 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Sep 2022 · 9th of 10 Last raced off OR 45
KTB Profile

Little Chance (GB) is a maiden who was yet to win from 11 starts. Her best effort came when third of six at Newcastle (AW) in Jun 2020. The filly raced on six different courses, five times over 6f to 7f, and seven times on the all-weather. She finished ninth of 10 in a Class 6 handicap at Newcastle (AW) in Sep 2022, last raced off an official rating of 45.

Based on 11 archived runs · updated 5 Nov 2026
Official rating45↓ 7lb off peak
45 45–52

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 69 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Redcar, 27 Aug 2022

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 11 figures · best 71C · median 62
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)771C62—
Good to Firm269A66—
Good1———
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
6f – 7f569A63—
Under 6f349A42—
1m2f – 1m4f271C66.5—
1m – 1m1f1———

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 33C the best of the last 3 rated runs · Newcastle (AW), 20 Sep 2022 Official rating 45 at the last run, 26 Sep 2022

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 11 figures · best 61B · median 33
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)761B35—
Good to Firm232A23—
Good1———
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
6f – 7f561B35—
Under 6f338A28—
1m2f – 1m4f237C35—
1m – 1m1f1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Milk It Mick (GB)

Progeny in our archive have won 5.9% of 726 runs since May 2011 (52 horses).

Strongest on good to firm going: 9.2% from 152.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm100%−5.9—
Good to Firm152149.2%+3.30 from 2
Good14585.5%−0.40 from 1
Good to Soft6646.1%+0.20 from 1
Soft7157%+1.1—
Heavy800%−5.9—
Standard (AW)283124.2%−1.70 from 7
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f236208.5%+2.60 from 3
6f – 7f370215.7%−0.20 from 5
1m – 1m1f7422.7%−3.20 from 1
1m2f – 1m4f3000%−5.90 from 2
1m5f – 2m800%−5.9—
2m1f – 2m4f500%−5.9—
2m5f – 3m300%−5.9—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since May 2011 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Slim Chance (IRE) (Clodovil)

1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Fighting Chance (GB)280——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Good 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 6 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Carlisle 1 0 0% −1.00
Redcar 1 0 0% −1.00
Catterick 1 0 0% −1.00
Hamilton 1 0 0% −1.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 5 0 0% −5.00
Under 6f 3 0 0% −3.00
1m2f – 1m4f 2 0 0% −2.00
1m – 1m1f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Andrew Elliott 4 0 0% −4.00
Andrew Mullen 3 0 0% −3.00
Paula Muir 2 0 0% −2.00
Jimmy Quinn 1 0 0% −1.00
Jason Hart 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 9 0 0% −9.00
Visor 1 0 0% −1.00
Tongue tie 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2022 6 0 0% −6.00
2020 5 0 0% −5.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2022 · 6 runs
26 Sep 22+6d Newcastle (AW) Best Odds Guaranteed At Vickers.Bet Everyday Handicap Class 6 · 1m · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 9/10 4 8-6 4569C27C Paula Muir 200/1
20 Sep 22+21d Newcastle (AW) At The Races App Market Movers Handicap (Div 2) Class 6 · 1m2f · Standard · 12 ran 11/12 ¾ 9-2 4571C33C Paula Muir 150/1
30 Aug 22+3d Carlisle Greenwell Handicap Class 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 15/15 4¾ 8-12 4563C14C Andrew Elliott 100/1
27 Aug 22+85d Redcar Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap (Div 1) Class 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8/10 9 9-0 4569A32A Andrew Elliott 100/1
03 Jun 22+24d Catterick Racing Again 6th July Handicap (Div 1) Class 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 12/13 2¾ 9-3 4562C36C Andrew Elliott 150/1
10 May 22+595d Newcastle (AW) Parkland Mini Golf Handicap Class 6 · 1m2f · Standard · 13 ran 13/13 9½ 8-9 4562C37C Andrew Elliott 150/1
2020 · 5 runs
22 Sep 20+40d Newcastle (AW) Download The attheraces App Nursery Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 10/12 1½ 8-11 5055A35A Jimmy Quinn 66/1
13 Aug 20+47d Hamilton Bet At racingtv.com Nursery Class 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8/8 3¾ 8-8 5249A14A Andrew Mullen 14/1
27 Jun 20+15d Newcastle (AW) Setting The Odds On The Betfair Exchange / EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10) Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 3/6 6 8-11 —68A61B Jason Hart 66/1
12 Jun 20+10d Wolverhampton (AW) Watch Royal Ascot On Sky Sports Racing Novice Stakes Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 5/6 2¼ 9-0 —32C28C Andrew Mullen 150/1
02 Jun 20 Newcastle (AW) Betway Heed Your Hunch/British Stallion Studs EBF Race Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 1) Class 5 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 10/12 4 9-0 —42A38A Andrew Mullen 150/1

Quick answers

How many races has Little Chance won?
Little Chance (GB) has yet to win, from 11 archived starts between 2020 and 2022.
Who trained Little Chance?
Little Chance (GB) was trained by Simon West on the most recent run on record, at Newcastle (AW) on 26 September 2022.
Who is Little Chance's sire?
Little Chance (GB) is by Milk It Mick (GB) out of Slim Chance (IRE), whose sire is Clodovil.
What is Little Chance's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 45, from the run on 26 September 2022. The highest on record is 52.
What is Little Chance's sire's record?
Milk It Mick (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 5.9% of 726 runs since May 2011 (52 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 9.2% from 152.
Who are Little Chance's siblings?
Out of Slim Chance (IRE), Little Chance (GB) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from June 2020. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.